619 W Indiana Ave · Elkhart, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$111,599
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,190 sq ft of comfortable living space! Now vacant and ready for immediate occupancy, this property is perfect for an owner-occupant looking to make it their own. Features a functional layout with spacious living areas and great natural light throughout. The large backyard provides plenty of room for entertaining, gardening, pets, or future expansion. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and main roadways for easy daily living. A great opportunity to own instead of rent
Key facts
- Great natural light
- Large backyard
- Functional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $112k).
- Recommended offer: $102k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.0% in Elkhart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#224 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Elkhart Community Schools (urban): math 18% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #271 of 301 in IN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 149 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 484 units permitted in Elkhart County in 2024 (136 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $771 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Elkhart County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.35%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $128,269
- List price
- $111,599
- Delta
- -13.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 735 W Blaine Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (+4%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $142 | 72 |
| 722 W Wolf Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (-4%) | 7mo | $58,650 | $51 | 72 |
| 1516 10th St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,242 (+4%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $109 | 68 |
| 919 W Wolf Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,276 (+7%) | 1mo | $128,000 | $100 | 64 |
| 1222 W Blaine Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+1%) | 7mo | $271,000 | $226 | 63 |
| 1218 Lafayette St | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,242 (+4%) | 4mo | $89,900 | $72 | 61 |
| 1213 Hudson St | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,230 (+3%) | 4mo | $87,500 | $71 | 55 |
| 190 S Shore Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,292 (+9%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $93 | 50 |
| 346 W Dinehart Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-13%) | 7mo | $230,000 | $221 | 45 |
| 2023 Prairie St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,328 (+12%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $139 | 44 |
| 1432 W Indiana Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (+13%) | 5mo | $95,500 | $71 | 43 |
| 2010 Roys Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,330 (+12%) | 9mo | $125,000 | $94 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-7,515
- Equity at exit
- $16,640
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $7,179
- Equity at exit
- $9,649
Cash invested: $31,248 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46516
- Active inventory
- 149
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,231 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$585
- Tax from tax record
- −$176 /mo · $2,108/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $165
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $228 | -5% $197 | +0% $165 | +5% $134 | +10% $102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $68 | -5% $117 | +0% $165 | +5% $214 | +10% $263 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $222 | -0.5pp $194 | base $165 | +0.5pp $136 | +1.0pp $107 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,900
- Closing costs
- $3,348
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 524 W High St Unit 1/2 Elkhart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 660 Stamp Dr Elkhart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 647 W Lexington Ave Unit C Elkhart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $995 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1568 W Franklin St Elkhart, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1486 | $1,600 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 229 W Jackson Blvd Elkhart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $725 | $1.16 | 45d | 2 | 0.86mi |
| 1308 Princeton St Elkhart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $1,350 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 323 Sherman St Unit A Elkhart, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 200 Jr. Achievement Dr Elkhart, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 946 | $1,770 | $1.87 | 22d | 10 | 1.13mi |
| 2629 Decamp Ave Elkhart, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $950 | $1.23 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 2700 Ridgewood Dr Elkhart, IN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 720 | $1,450 | $2.01 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $111,599 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $111,599 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $111,599 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $111,599 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $111,599 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $111,599 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $111,599 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $111,599 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $111,599 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $111,599 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $111,599 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $111,599 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $111,599 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $111,599 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $111,599 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $111,599 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $111,599 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $111,599 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-04-08price $114,500 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (524 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,190 sq ft of comfortable living space! Now vacant and ready for immediate occupancy, this property is perfect for an owner-occupant looking to make it their own. Features a functional layout with spacious living areas and great natural light throughout. The large backyard provides plenty of room for entertaining, gardening, pets, or future expansion. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and main roadways for easy daily living. A great opportunity to own instead of rent
-
2026-03-03$116,500 Active 524-char remark
Show marketing remark (524 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering 1,190 sq ft of comfortable living space! Now vacant and ready for immediate occupancy, this property is perfect for an owner-occupant looking to make it their own. Features a functional layout with spacious living areas and great natural light throughout. The large backyard provides plenty of room for entertaining, gardening, pets, or future expansion. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, and main roadways for easy daily living. A great opportunity to own instead of rent
-
2025-09-22$116,500 Active
-
2022-06-10historical
-
2022-05-02$99,995
-
2021-02-27$99,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,108 · $176/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,108 · $176/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,775
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,251
- − Property taxes
- −$2,108
- − Insurance
- −$558
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,182
- − Management
- −$1,182
- − Depreciation
- −$3,247
- Taxable income
- $247
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$59
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,924/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Elkhart Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1803270
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,881
- Composite
- 18.45/100
- National rank
- #8928
- State rank
- #271 of 301 in IN
Livability — Elkhart
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #224
- US rank
- #9852
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elkhart, IN
- County
- Elkhart County · 107,928 people
- City population
- 74,260
- Metro
- Elkhart-Goshen, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,871
- Household income
- $56,492
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 995.0
Population outlook (Elkhart County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 213,761 people
- By 2030
- 218,103 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 225,381 · +5.4%
- By 2050
- 229,447 · +7.3%
- By 2075
- 232,856 · +8.9%
- By 2100
- 214,088 · +0.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 26% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Elkhart
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.1% · R 65.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.2pp · 2024: -32.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.4 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+32.4 2012: R+26.5 2008: R+11.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -233.42%
- Current HPI
- 239.2508
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Elkhart-Goshen, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+15.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $114,500 IRMLS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $116,500 IRMLS
- 2025-09-22 Listed $116,500 IRMLS
- 2022-06-10 Delisted — IRMLS
- 2022-05-02 Listed $99,995 IRMLS
- 2021-02-27 Listed $99,500 IRMLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,108 · +25.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…