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20267 Ashton Ave
C Composite 58.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.6/30.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

20267 Ashton Ave · Detroit, MI 48219
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,085 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 24 Days on market
Built 1950 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3-bedroom, 1-bath brick bungalow sits on a quiet street just steps from O'Hair Park in an established Detroit neighborhood. The 1,128 sq ft layout offers a functional floor plan with a main-floor bedrooms, an upper-level primary suite, a full basement, and a 1.5-car detached garage. Conveniently located near Southfield Road and 8 Mile with schools, parks, and everyday amenities close by — a solid opportunity in the city.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Property has a current lease

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas; Forced air heating
  • Home design: Residential 2-story home; Built in 1950; Faces within a city neighborhood (Detroit)
  • Construction: Brick construction; Basement foundation
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Paved street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Entry-level kitchen (10 x 8)
  • Bedrooms: Second-floor primary bedroom (20 x 16); Entry-level bedroom (10 x 10); Entry-level bedroom (approx. 10 wide)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (entry level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel
  • Interior features: Five total rooms; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Basement utilities (unfinished basement)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $257 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 15 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 9434% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $123,026 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.76%
Cash-on-cash
8.82%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$70,525
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20569 Biltmore St 0.46mi 3/1.5 1,073 (-1%) 2mo $174,000 $162 73
20510 Fenmore St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,194 (+10%) 5mo $64,500 $54 70
19950 Oakfield St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,001 (-8%) 5mo $40,000 $40 66
19338 Fenmore St 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,120 (+3%) 1mo $116,000 $104 64
16442 Pembroke Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,050 (-3%) 4mo $40,000 $38 63
19481 Fenmore St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,152 (+6%) 5mo $65,000 $56 62
16910 Pembroke Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,150 (+6%) 1mo $50,000 $43 61
19455 Avon Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,023 (-6%) 2mo $72,000 $70 61
20004 Southfield Fwy 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 929 (-14%) 1mo $20,000 $22 60
20534 Grandville Ave 0.59mi 3/1.5 1,155 (+6%) 3mo $213,500 $185 57
19425 Faust Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-8%) 5mo $65,000 $65 56
20309 Gilchrist St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,221 (+12%) 5mo $136,900 $112 53

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.10×
Total profit
$3,468
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
16.3%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$57,460
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
308
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,386 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$130 /mo · $1,565/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$257

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,060
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $328 -5% $293 +0% $257 +5% $222 +10% $186
Rent -10% $148 -5% $202 +0% $257 +5% $312 +10% $367
Rate -1.0pp $320 -0.5pp $289 base $257 +0.5pp $225 +1.0pp $192

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20200 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 17d 1 0.08mi
20527 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 2.0 975 $1,528 $1.57 44d 1 0.11mi
20510 Fenmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1194 $1,300 $1.09 2d 1 0.16mi
20043 Fenmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1030 $1,453 $1.41 44d 1 0.20mi
19970 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 44d 1 0.22mi
20068 Faust Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 25d 1 0.23mi
20259 Oakfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,250 $1.18 17d 1 0.24mi
19918 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 915 $1,375 $1.50 16d 1 0.31mi
19818 Fenmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 902 $1,275 $1.41 44d 1 0.36mi
20203 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1031 $1,250 $1.21 6d 1 0.37mi
20011 Avon Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 6d 1 0.38mi
20314 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,500 $1.44 6d 1 0.39mi
20210 Biltmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1033 $1,350 $1.31 25d 1 0.45mi
19400 Harlow St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1298 $1,275 $0.98 17d 1 0.62mi
19445 Avon Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,550 $1.52 44d 1 0.62mi
20271 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,550 $1.53 24d 1 0.64mi
19329 Stahelin Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 833 $1,250 $1.50 44d 1 0.76mi
19372 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 733 $1,050 $1.43 16d 1 0.83mi
19503 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 17d 1 0.86mi
20555 Motor Dr Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $1,222 $1.63 16d 5 0.91mi
19467 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1002 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 0.92mi
19176 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 941 $1,300 $1.38 6d 1 0.95mi
19440 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 25d 1 0.96mi
16500 N Park Dr Southfield, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1500 $2,289 $1.53 0d 1 0.97mi
18494 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 17d 1 1.09mi
19457 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 44d 1 1.09mi
18699 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 44d 1 1.09mi
18659 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 763 $1,373 $1.80 13d 1 1.12mi
20284 Melrose St Southfield, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 44d 1 1.19mi
18452 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,500 $1.62 17d 1 1.24mi
20079 Patton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,550 $1.35 6d 1 1.27mi
19781 Fielding St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,294 $1.29 6d 1 1.28mi
18276 Oakfield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,175 $1.62 44d 1 1.28mi
18450 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 44d 1 1.33mi
18675 Forrer St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,225 $1.02 6d 1 1.34mi
16200 W 9 Mile Rd Southfield, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 971 $1,700 $1.75 6d 2 1.37mi
16300 W 9 Mile Rd Southfield, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 950 $1,350 $1.42 44d 1 1.37mi
18400 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,400 $1.33 4d 1 1.44mi
17654 Greenview Ave Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1377 $1,350 $0.98 17d 1 1.44mi
18268 Mansfield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 17d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 48 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $124,900 Active 24 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $124,900 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-25
    historical $124,900
  16. 2026-05-21
    historical $1,310
  17. 2026-05-21
    listed $1,310
  18. 2026-05-16
    listed $1,310
  19. 2026-05-12
    historical $1,310
  20. 2026-04-30
    price $1,310
  21. 2026-03-27
    price $1,375
  22. 2026-01-31
    listed $1,400
  23. 2026-01-31
    historical $1,400
  24. 2026-01-29
    listed $1,400
  25. 2026-01-29
    historical $1,400
  26. 2026-01-21
    listed $1,400
  27. 2025-04-26
    historical $1,150
  28. 2025-04-22
    listed $1,150
  29. 2025-04-21
    historical $1,150
  30. 2025-03-25
    listed $1,150
  31. 2025-03-25
    historical $1,150
  32. 2025-03-05
    listed $1,150
  33. 2025-03-05
    historical $1,150
  34. 2025-03-04
    listed $1,150
  35. 2025-03-04
    historical $1,150
  36. 2025-02-23
    listed $1,150
  37. 2025-02-20
    historical $1,150
  38. 2025-02-20
    price $1,150
  39. 2025-02-17
    listed $1,250
  40. 2025-02-17
    historical $1,250
  41. 2024-12-18
    listed $1,250
  42. 2024-12-18
    historical $1,250
  43. 2024-12-06
    listed $1,250
  44. 2024-12-06
    historical $1,250
  45. 2024-12-05
    price $1,250
  46. 2024-11-28
    listed $1,200
  47. 2024-11-28
    historical $1,200
  48. 2024-11-28
    listed $1,200

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,565 · $130/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,744 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$179/yr (+$15/mo · 11.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,627
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,565
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,330
− Management
−$1,330
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$1,148
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$275
After-tax cash flow
$2,811/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+10308.3% since first listed
34 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Coming Soon $124,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Rental Removed $1,310 REALSOURCE
  • 2026-05-21 Listed for Rent $1,310 REALSOURCE
  • 2026-05-16 Listed for Rent $1,310 SHOWMOJO
  • 2026-05-12 Rental Removed $1,310 REALSOURCE
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $1,310 REALSOURCE
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $1,375 REALSOURCE
  • 2026-01-31 Listed for Rent $1,400 REALSOURCE
  • 2026-01-31 Rental Removed $1,400 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-29 Listed for Rent $1,400 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-29 Rental Removed $1,400 SHOWMOJO
  • 2026-01-21 Listed for Rent $1,400 SHOWMOJO
  • 2025-04-26 Rental Removed $1,150 PROPERTYWARE
  • 2025-04-22 Listed for Rent $1,150 PROPERTYWARE
  • 2025-04-21 Rental Removed $1,150 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-25 Listed for Rent $1,150 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-25 Rental Removed $1,150 REALSOURCE
  • 2025-03-05 Listed for Rent $1,150 REALSOURCE
  • 2025-03-05 Rental Removed $1,150 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-04 Listed for Rent $1,150 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-04 Rental Removed $1,150 PROPERTYWARE
  • 2025-02-23 Listed for Rent $1,150 PROPERTYWARE
  • 2025-02-20 Rental Removed $1,150 REALSOURCE
  • 2025-02-20 Price Changed $1,150 REALSOURCE
  • 2025-02-17 Listed for Rent $1,250 REALSOURCE
  • 2025-02-17 Rental Removed $1,250 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-18 Listed for Rent $1,250 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-18 Rental Removed $1,250 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-06 Listed for Rent $1,250 REALCOMP
  • 2024-12-06 Rental Removed $1,250 PROPERTYWARE
  • 2024-12-05 Price Changed $1,250 PROPERTYWARE
  • 2024-11-28 Listed for Rent $1,200 PROPERTYWARE
  • 2024-11-28 Rental Removed $1,200 SHOWMOJO
  • 2024-11-28 Listed for Rent $1,200 SHOWMOJO

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,565 · -9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…