CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
61 Trolley
B Composite 74.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$50,000

61 Trolley · Harveys Lake, PA 18618
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,796 sqft · SingleFamily · 21 Days on market
Poor condition 4,708 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Please be careful entering the property. Charming fixer upper cottage-style home featuring 3 bedrooms and 1 full bath in a peaceful setting near Harveys Lake. This cozy property offers comfortable living spaces, a functional layout, and plenty of character throughout. A great opportunity for year-round living, a weekend getaway, or an investment property.

Key facts

  • 4,708 sq ft lot
  • Listed 21 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Cleared lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedrooms and living spaces combined)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#923 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lake-Lehman SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #176 of 539 in PA (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $858 appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
  • Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $49,250 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.91%
Cap rate
35.06%
Cash-on-cash
102.73%
DSCR
5.57
GRM
2.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$544,188
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
54 Old Lake Road Rd 0.20mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,692 (-6%) 12mo $512,500 $303 59
21 Sunset Ter 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,944 (+8%) 24mo $285,000 $147 50
22 Annabelle Ave 0.44mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,568 (-13%) 6mo $240,000 $153 45
3203 Lakeside Dr 0.48mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,560 (-13%) 12mo $1,050,000 $673 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.72% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.65×
Total profit
$79,077
Equity at exit
$18,959
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.78×
Total profit
$178,917
Equity at exit
$26,728

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18618

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
36
Price-to-rent
2.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,955 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $750/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$410
Net cashflow
$1,199

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 34%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,233 -5% $1,216 +0% $1,199 +5% $1,181 +10% $1,164
Rent -10% $1,044 -5% $1,121 +0% $1,199 +5% $1,276 +10% $1,353
Rate -1.0pp $1,224 -0.5pp $1,211 base $1,199 +0.5pp $1,186 +1.0pp $1,172

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $50,000 Pending 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 21 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $50,000 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $50,000 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 11 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $50,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-27
    listed $50,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,454
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$750
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,876
− Management
−$1,876
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$14,446
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,467
After-tax cash flow
$10,915/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, siding, and landscaping. Immediate action is needed to stabilize the structure and improve its appearance for resale or rental.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Missing shingles and exposed framing
  • Major siding — Weathered and peeling
  • Major exterior walls — Exposed framing and structural damage
  • Major landscaping — Overgrown and debris present

Value-add opportunities

  • Both roof replacement — Critical to the structural integrity and appearance of the home
  • Both exterior siding repair/replacement — Improves the home's curb appeal and structural integrity
  • Both landscaping and debris removal — Enhances the home's appearance and safety
  • Both fencing repair — Ensures safety and property boundary integrity

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · Missing shingles and exposed framing Major $15,000–50,000
siding · Weathered and peeling Major $15,000–50,000
exterior walls · Exposed framing and structural damage Major $15,000–50,000
landscaping · Overgrown and debris present Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both roof replacement — Critical to the structural integrity and appearance of the home
  • Both exterior siding repair/replacement — Improves the home's curb appeal and structural integrity
  • Both landscaping and debris removal — Enhances the home's appearance and safety
  • Both fencing repair — Ensures safety and property boundary integrity

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake-Lehman SD
NCES district ID
4213020
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$60,161
Composite
42.85/100
National rank
#3129
State rank
#176 of 539 in PA

Livability — Harveys Lake

Score
68/100
State rank
#923
US rank
#9992

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harveys Lake, PA
City population
3,583
Population (ZIP)
3,583

Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
319,505 people
By 2030
319,943 · +0.1%
By 2040
322,643 · +1.0%
By 2050
330,817 · +3.5%
By 2075
379,145 · +18.7%
By 2100
431,908 · +35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 17% Scotch-Irish 3% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.72%
Current HPI
314.2169
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $50,000 LCAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…