255 Buck Fever Trl · Mount Pocono, PA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$54,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Affordable getaway in a peaceful, wooded setting! This vintage single-wide offers a unique retro feel with an open living area and classic kitchen full of character. Situated on a quarter-acre lot, the property features a wooden patio, outdoor firepit, and a cozy exterior fireplace--perfect for relaxing weekends or entertaining under the trees. Enjoy your own septic system and community-provided summer water from April through November. Located just minutes from state parks, hiking, and outdoor recreation, this is an ideal escape for nature lovers or anyone seeking a part-time retreat. Being sold as-is--bring your vision and make it your own!
Key facts
- Outdoor firepit
- Classic kitchen
- Open living area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $951 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $50k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.1% vs local median 5.0% in Mount Pocono — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
- Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $819 appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
- Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask is 900% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $55k implies a 377% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 74.21%
- DSCR
- 4.30
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.49% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 77.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.09×
- Total profit
- $62,921
- Equity at exit
- $20,160
- IRR
- 78.1%
- Equity multiple
- 10.42×
- Total profit
- $144,812
- Equity at exit
- $27,923
Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18355
- Home prices YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,671 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$15 /mo · $180/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$44
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $951
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $982 | -5% $966 | +0% $951 | +5% $935 | +10% $919 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $819 | -5% $885 | +0% $951 | +5% $1,017 | +10% $1,083 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $978 | -0.5pp $965 | base $951 | +0.5pp $936 | +1.0pp $922 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,725
- Closing costs
- $1,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $44 · $528/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $54,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $54,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $54,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $54,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $54,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $54,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $54,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $54,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $54,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $54,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $54,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $54,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $54,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $54,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $54,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-03-18price $54,900 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
Affordable getaway in a peaceful, wooded setting! This vintage single-wide offers a unique retro feel with an open living area and classic kitchen full of character. Situated on a quarter-acre lot, the property features a wooden patio, outdoor firepit, and a cozy exterior fireplace--perfect for relaxing weekends or entertaining under the trees. Enjoy your own septic system and community-provided summer water from April through November. Located just minutes from state parks, hiking, and outdoor recreation, this is an ideal escape for nature lovers or anyone seeking a part-time retreat. Being sold as-is--bring your vision and make it your own!
-
2026-03-18$5,490 Active 650-char remark
Show marketing remark (650 chars)
Affordable getaway in a peaceful, wooded setting! This vintage single-wide offers a unique retro feel with an open living area and classic kitchen full of character. Situated on a quarter-acre lot, the property features a wooden patio, outdoor firepit, and a cozy exterior fireplace--perfect for relaxing weekends or entertaining under the trees. Enjoy your own septic system and community-provided summer water from April through November. Located just minutes from state parks, hiking, and outdoor recreation, this is an ideal escape for nature lovers or anyone seeking a part-time retreat. Being sold as-is--bring your vision and make it your own!
-
2025-11-21historical
-
2025-09-13price $67,900
-
2025-07-15$69,900 Active
-
2025-07-14$69,900 Active
-
2019-05-29soldstatus $11,500
-
2018-11-14$20,000
-
2016-10-11$12,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $180 · $15/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $524 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$343/yr (+$29/mo · 190.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,057
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,075
- − Property taxes
- −$180
- − Insurance
- −$274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,605
- − Management
- −$1,605
- − HOA
- −$528
- − Depreciation
- −$1,597
- Taxable income
- $11,192
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,686
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,721/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pocono Mountain SD
- NCES district ID
- 4219500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,317
- Composite
- 39.91/100
- National rank
- #3856
- State rank
- #245 of 539 in PA
Livability — Mount Pocono
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #362
- US rank
- #3166
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,628
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,099 people
- By 2030
- 161,412 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 154,616 · -5.8%
- By 2050
- 146,710 · -10.6%
- By 2075
- 140,830 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 138,472 · -15.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Asian 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 3% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 6% Armenian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Vietnamese 6% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.49%
- Current HPI
- 191.1566
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+339.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-18 Price Changed $54,900 PMAR
- 2026-03-18 Listed $5,490 PMAR
- 2025-11-21 Listing Removed — GLVRMLS
- 2025-09-13 Price Changed $67,900 GLVRMLS
- 2025-07-15 Listed $69,900 PMAR
- 2025-07-14 Listed $69,900 GLVRMLS
- 2019-05-29 Sold (MLS) $11,500 PMAR
- 2018-11-14 Listed $20,000 PMAR
- 2016-10-11 Listed $12,500 PMAR
Property tax history
-11.0%/yrLatest (2026): $180 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…