8341 Chickasaw Trl · Bradfordville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +12.1/15.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$298,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Gorgeous home, wonderful neighborhood with lots of curb appeal! No carpet here! All tiled and wood floor, 3/2, 2-car garage. Large living room, kitchen with granite counter top. Large concrete paver patio overlooking green space. Roof 2014. AS IS WHERE IS with right to inspect.
Key facts
- Premier neighborhood
- Split floor plan
- Custom tile work
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- HOA fee of $120 monthly (includes common areas)Street lights in community
Exterior
- Parking
- Carport with 2 spaces
- Utilities
- Electric service
- Home design
- Single-storyFiber cement and Masonite exteriorSlab foundation
- Construction
- Built with fiber cement and Masonite materials
- Exterior features
- PatioPublic maintained paved roadHas view
Interior
- Kitchen
- RefrigeratorOvenMicrowaveIcemakerDishwasherDisposal
- Bedrooms
- Bedroom 2 (12x11)Bedroom 3 (11x11)
- Flooring
- HardwoodTile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Electric heatingHeat pumpCentral airCeiling fan(s)
- Interior features
- Stall showerPantrySplit bedroomsWalk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility
- WasherDryerUtility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $298k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-37/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $298k (0.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (16.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $250k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.0% in Bradfordville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Killearn Lakes Elementary School (math 74% / reading 78%, grade A, #198 of 2,144 statewide, top 10%, 777 students, 17% FRL); Deerlake Middle School (math 81% / reading 73%, grade A, #28 of 571 statewide, top 5%, 894 students, 16% FRL); Lawton Chiles High School (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B, #69 of 667 statewide, top 11%, 1,900 students, 12% FRL) — zoned schools average 15% FRL vs 45% district-wide (30 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 73% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+23 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Leon average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 192 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $218k; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.04%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $332,820
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2253 Tuscavilla | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,466 (-5%) | 3mo | $280,000 | $191 | 80 |
| 1704 Greenridge Trl | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 | 1,500 (-3%) | 1mo | $330,000 | $220 | 74 |
| 8432 Ivy Brook Ln | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,474 (-5%) | 5mo | $332,000 | $225 | 74 |
| 8204 Chickasaw Trl | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,432 (-8%) | 3mo | $288,000 | $201 | 72 |
| 2245 Tuscavilla Rd | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (-11%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $208 | 71 |
| 8618 Milford Ct | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,617 (+4%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $216 | 69 |
| 2760 Whitmore Ct | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,521 (-2%) | 2mo | $329,000 | $216 | 69 |
| 8312 Innsbrook Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,628 (+5%) | 4mo | $350,000 | $215 | 67 |
| 1442 Landon Hills Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.5 | 1,622 (+5%) | 2mo | $401,234 | $247 | 63 |
| 1841 Acorn Ridge Trl | 0.27mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,759 (+14%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $185 | 59 |
| 1764 Broken Bow Trl | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,459 (-6%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $206 | 58 |
| 1899 Folkstone Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,648 (+6%) | 6mo | $332,000 | $201 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-51,440
- Equity at exit
- $44,507
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-56,568
- Equity at exit
- $25,809
Cash invested: $83,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32312
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,498 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,565
- Tax from tax record
- −$277 /mo · $3,322/yr
- Insurance
- −$124
- HOA
- −$10
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $-3
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $166 | -5% $81 | +0% $-3 | +5% $-88 | +10% $-172 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-200 | -5% $-102 | +0% $-3 | +5% $96 | +10% $194 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $147 | -0.5pp $73 | base $-3 | +0.5pp $-80 | +1.0pp $-159 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,625
- Closing costs
- $8,955
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8311 Hunters Ridge Trl Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,399 | $1.71 | 17d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 9306 Tuscany Dr Unit NA Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $2,700 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 7720 Bass Ridge Trl Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1583 | $1,950 | $1.23 | 17d | 1 | 1.10mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $10 · $120/yr
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-23days on market $298,500 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-22days on market $298,500 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $298,500 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $298,500 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $298,500 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $298,500 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $298,500 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $298,500 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $298,500 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $298,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $298,500 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $298,500 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $298,500 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $298,500 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $298,500 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $298,500 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $298,500 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-24price $298,500
-
2026-03-29price $307,500
-
2026-02-12price $317,500
-
2026-01-29$320,000 Active
-
2020-12-15soldstatus $218,000
-
2020-12-11soldstatus $218,000 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Gorgeous home, wonderful neighborhood with lots of curb appeal! No carpet here! All tiled and wood floor, 3/2, 2-car garage. Large living room, kitchen with granite counter top. Large concrete paver patio overlooking green space. Roof 2014. AS IS WHERE IS with right to inspect.
-
2020-09-09$235,000 284-char remark
Show marketing remark (284 chars)
Gorgeous home, wonderful neighborhood with lots of curb appeal! No carpet here! All tiled and wood floor, 3/2, 2-car garage. Large living room, kitchen with granite counter top. Large concrete paver patio overlooking green space. Roof 2014. AS IS WHERE IS with right to inspect.
-
2005-06-23soldstatus $184,000
-
1998-10-27soldstatus $98,000
-
1994-06-06soldstatus $89,000
-
1993-11-08soldstatus $15,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,322 · $277/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,322 · $277/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,976
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,721
- − Property taxes
- −$3,322
- − Insurance
- −$1,492
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,398
- − Management
- −$2,398
- − HOA
- −$120
- − Depreciation
- −$8,684
- Taxable loss
- −$5,158
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,238
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,201/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Leon
- NCES district ID
- 1201110
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,339
- Composite
- 42.84/100
- National rank
- #3131
- State rank
- #33 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bradfordville
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bradfordville, FL
- County
- Leon County · 294,472 people
- City population
- 31,966
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,216
- Household income
- $123,032
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 630.0
Population outlook (Leon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,507 people
- By 2030
- 330,677 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 358,465 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 386,804 · +22.6%
- By 2075
- 465,480 · +47.5%
- By 2100
- 519,959 · +64.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 4% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Leon
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.3% · R 38.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 24.3pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+28.3 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.79%
- Current HPI
- 240.8961
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.85%
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1838.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-24 Price Changed $298,500 CATRS
- 2026-03-29 Price Changed $307,500 CATRS
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $317,500 CATRS
- 2026-01-29 Listed $320,000 CATRS
- 2020-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $218,000 Public Records
- 2020-12-11 Sold (MLS) $218,000 CATRS
- 2020-09-09 Listed $235,000 CATRS
- 2005-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $184,000 Public Records
- 1998-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
- 1994-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records
- 1993-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $15,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,322 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…