1255 16th Ave SW · Florida Ridge, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.0/30.0
- ARV discount +4.4/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Ditch the landlord for this West Vero gem! Perfect for a couple or savvy investor, this cozy 2BR/1BA features a brand-new metal roof and no HOA! Rest easy with the peace of mind that comes with a 2021 water heater and shutters for every window. Enjoy a renovated bathroom, new stove, and a cool garage conversion perfect for a flex room. The large fenced yard with an epoxy patio is prime for BBQs, and tile floors make cleaning a breeze. Near Osceola Magnet and the IG Center, it has washer/dryer included. Whether you’re starting out or building your rental portfolio, this is the one!
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Renovated bathroom
- Tile floors
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: No association; Community has gutters
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces east; Has view
- Construction: Block and concrete construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Patio; Rain gutters
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Bedroom (11x11); Bedroom (12x11); Converted Garage (12x11)
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric, one unit)
- Interior features: Blinds; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-57 ($-684/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $230k (4.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (26.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.5% in Florida Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#353 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
- Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 348 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $94k; list at $240k implies a 155% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.02%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $224,420
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1340 18th Ave SW | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 | 951 (-3%) | 2mo | $249,900 | $263 | 86 |
| 1140 11th Ter SW | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 984 (+0%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $218 | 75 |
| 1270 SW 11th Ct Ct SW | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,002 (+2%) | 10mo | $216,999 | $217 | 70 |
| 1676 17th Pl SW | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-2%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $203 | 67 |
| 1286 15th Ave SW | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,095 (+12%) | 12mo | $275,000 | $251 | 66 |
| 1175 13th Ave SW | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,118 (+14%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $242 | 61 |
| 1256 16th Ave SW | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,104 (+13%) | 10mo | $225,000 | $204 | 60 |
| 1395 25th Ave Ave SW | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 | 1,051 (+7%) | 2mo | $239,000 | $227 | 60 |
| 1420 18th Ave SW | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 1,090 (+11%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $229 | 59 |
| 1375 26th Ave SW | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,036 (+6%) | 0mo | $153,000 | $148 | 55 |
| 1545 22nd Ave SW | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 938 (-4%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $283 | 54 |
| 1465 24th Ave SW | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+12%) | 11mo | $285,000 | $259 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-40,487
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-31,362
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32962
- Rents YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 348
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,775 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,205/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $-57
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2975 5th St SW Unit B Vero Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,600 | $2.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 355 6th Rd SW Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,800 | $2.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $240,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $240,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $240,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $240,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $240,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $240,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $240,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-03-12$240,000 Active
-
2026-03-06$240,000 Active
-
2016-09-30soldstatus $94,000
-
2016-09-02soldstatus $94,000
-
2016-07-20historical
-
2016-07-16$94,000
-
2016-07-16$94,000
-
2014-04-23soldstatus $46,800
-
2009-06-23soldstatus $65,000
-
2009-06-17soldstatus $50,000
-
2006-02-01soldstatus $115,000
-
2001-01-11soldstatus $57,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,205 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,992 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- +$787/yr (+$66/mo · 65.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,296
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$1,205
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,704
- − Management
- −$1,704
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$4,942
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,186
- After-tax cash flow
- $502/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River
- NCES district ID
- 1200930
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,597
- Composite
- 42.45/100
- National rank
- #3218
- State rank
- #35 of 73 in FL
Livability — Florida Ridge
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #353
- US rank
- #6129
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florida Ridge, FL
- County
- Indian River County · 143,738 people
- City population
- 25,629
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,522
- Household income
- $66,664
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 425.0
Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,104 people
- By 2030
- 172,869 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 185,640 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 194,465 · +17.8%
- By 2075
- 211,115 · +27.9%
- By 2100
- 211,781 · +28.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indian River
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -182.13%
- Current HPI
- 333.3274
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.18%
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+321.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Listed $240,000 SCMLS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $240,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2016-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $94,000 Public Records
- 2016-09-02 Sold (MLS) $94,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2016-07-20 Listing Removed — Beaches MLS
- 2016-07-16 Listed $94,000 Beaches MLS
- 2016-07-16 Listed $94,000 SCMLS
- 2014-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $46,800 Public Records
- 2009-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2009-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2006-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2001-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,205 · +26.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…