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2035 N US-31 N Unit 2502-43 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 46.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$9,900

2035 N US-31 N Unit 2502-43 · Traverse City, MI 49686
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,060 sqft · Condo · 609 Days on market
Built 2006 $9/sqft · 97% below area $51/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

"Tamarack Lodge sells their condos fractionally. This is Junior Penthouse Suite 2502 (Cedar) and is a 1,060 sq ft, 2br 2ba 5th floor penthouse unit that directly faces the water and has magnificent views of Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. It has a private patio facing the water and the beach is as sandy as you can hope for, perfect for sunbathing and swimming. Comes turn key, fully furnished (beds, couches, tables, chairs, TVs, linens, etc), gas fireplace, well appointed kitchen complete with appliances, silverware, pots & pans, etc, and it has its own washer/dryer. The purchase price is a one time fee which guarantees week 43 every year (exact dates change slightly each year) for as long as you own the unit, pay the monthly HOA fee ($51), annual property taxes ($340) and cleaning fee ($210 at the end of the week). The HOA fee covers gas, electric, cable TV, WIFI, water, sewer, trash removal, snow removal, building insurance, content & liability insurance, outside and inside maintenance. Basically, after you pay the one time purchase price (plus approximately $1,000 in closing costs) your out of pocket expenses going forward are then only the monthly HOA, annual property taxes and the cleaning fee. This could be your "Up North" vacation destination for the years to come!”

Key facts

  • Directly faces water
  • Gas fireplace
  • Private patio

Tags

DIRECTLY FACES WATERPRIVATE PATIOGAS FIREPLACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $9,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$310,543) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $10k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $10k).
  • Recommended offer: $9k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 167.7% vs local median 1.7% in Traverse City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 91/100 on livability (#4 in MI, #46 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Traverse City Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #94 of 540 in MI (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 322 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 883 units permitted in Grand Traverse County in 2024 (501 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $68 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $297 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Grand Traverse County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 609 days — a 12% lower offer ($9k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $8,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 609 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
18.56%
Cap rate
167.75%
Cash-on-cash
576.63%
DSCR
26.66
GRM
0.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$310,543
List price
$9,900
Delta
-96.81%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
29.11×
Total profit
$77,908
Equity at exit
$1,476
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
57.46×
Total profit
$156,513
Equity at exit
$856

Cash invested: $2,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49686

Rents YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
322
Price-to-rent
0.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,837 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$52
Tax est. 1.5%
$12 /mo · $148/yr
Insurance
$4
HOA
$51
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$386
Net cashflow
$1,332

Break-even live

Break-even rent $151
Max offer price $9,900
Occupancy floor 22%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,475
Closing costs
$297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3341 Mikhail Blvd Traverse City, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 883 $1,949 $2.21 43d 10 0.36mi
4170 Lilac Ln Unit 905 Traverse City, MI 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,419 $1.27 43d 1 1.37mi
4418 E Daisy Ln Unit 156 Traverse City, MI 2.0 2.0 896 $1,649 $1.84 43d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$51 · $612/yr
Likely covers
watersewertrashgaselectricinternetcablesnow removalinsurance
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $9,900 Active 609 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $9,900 Active 608 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $9,900 Active 607 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $9,900 Active 606 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $9,900 Active 605 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $9,900 Active 603 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $9,900 Active 602 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $9,900 Active 599 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $9,900 Active 598 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $9,900 Active 597 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $9,900 Active 593 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $9,900 Active 592 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $9,900 Active 591 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $9,900 Active 590 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $9,900 Active 589 DOM
  16. 2026-04-16
    price $9,900 1341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1341 chars)

    "Tamarack Lodge sells their condos fractionally. This is Junior Penthouse Suite 2502 (Cedar) and is a 1,060 sq ft, 2br 2ba 5th floor penthouse unit that directly faces the water and has magnificent views of Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. It has a private patio facing the water and the beach is as sandy as you can hope for, perfect for sunbathing and swimming. Comes turn key, fully furnished (beds, couches, tables, chairs, TVs, linens, etc), gas fireplace, well appointed kitchen complete with appliances, silverware, pots & pans, etc, and it has its own washer/dryer. The purchase price is a one time fee which guarantees week 43 every year (exact dates change slightly each year) for as long as you own the unit, pay the monthly HOA fee ($51), annual property taxes ($340) and cleaning fee ($210 at the end of the week). The HOA fee covers gas, electric, cable TV, WIFI, water, sewer, trash removal, snow removal, building insurance, content & liability insurance, outside and inside maintenance. Basically, after you pay the one time purchase price (plus approximately $1,000 in closing costs) your out of pocket expenses going forward are then only the monthly HOA, annual property taxes and the cleaning fee. This could be your "Up North" vacation destination for the years to come!”

  17. 2026-01-20
    price $10,900 1341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1341 chars)

    "Tamarack Lodge sells their condos fractionally. This is Junior Penthouse Suite 2502 (Cedar) and is a 1,060 sq ft, 2br 2ba 5th floor penthouse unit that directly faces the water and has magnificent views of Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. It has a private patio facing the water and the beach is as sandy as you can hope for, perfect for sunbathing and swimming. Comes turn key, fully furnished (beds, couches, tables, chairs, TVs, linens, etc), gas fireplace, well appointed kitchen complete with appliances, silverware, pots & pans, etc, and it has its own washer/dryer. The purchase price is a one time fee which guarantees week 43 every year (exact dates change slightly each year) for as long as you own the unit, pay the monthly HOA fee ($51), annual property taxes ($340) and cleaning fee ($210 at the end of the week). The HOA fee covers gas, electric, cable TV, WIFI, water, sewer, trash removal, snow removal, building insurance, content & liability insurance, outside and inside maintenance. Basically, after you pay the one time purchase price (plus approximately $1,000 in closing costs) your out of pocket expenses going forward are then only the monthly HOA, annual property taxes and the cleaning fee. This could be your "Up North" vacation destination for the years to come!”

  18. 2024-10-18
    listed $12,500 Active 1341-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1341 chars)

    "Tamarack Lodge sells their condos fractionally. This is Junior Penthouse Suite 2502 (Cedar) and is a 1,060 sq ft, 2br 2ba 5th floor penthouse unit that directly faces the water and has magnificent views of Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. It has a private patio facing the water and the beach is as sandy as you can hope for, perfect for sunbathing and swimming. Comes turn key, fully furnished (beds, couches, tables, chairs, TVs, linens, etc), gas fireplace, well appointed kitchen complete with appliances, silverware, pots & pans, etc, and it has its own washer/dryer. The purchase price is a one time fee which guarantees week 43 every year (exact dates change slightly each year) for as long as you own the unit, pay the monthly HOA fee ($51), annual property taxes ($340) and cleaning fee ($210 at the end of the week). The HOA fee covers gas, electric, cable TV, WIFI, water, sewer, trash removal, snow removal, building insurance, content & liability insurance, outside and inside maintenance. Basically, after you pay the one time purchase price (plus approximately $1,000 in closing costs) your out of pocket expenses going forward are then only the monthly HOA, annual property taxes and the cleaning fee. This could be your "Up North" vacation destination for the years to come!”

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,047
− Mortgage interest
−$555
− Property taxes
−$148
− Insurance
−$50
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,764
− Management
−$1,764
− HOA
−$612
− Depreciation
−$288
Taxable income
$16,867
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,048
After-tax cash flow
$11,936/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Traverse City Area Public Schools
NCES district ID
2633870
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$53,645
Composite
43.51/100
National rank
#2990
State rank
#94 of 540 in MI

Livability — Traverse City

Score
91/100
State rank
#4
US rank
#46

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime A Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Grand Traverse County · 47,077 people
City population
47,077
Metro
Traverse City, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,492
Household income
$71,609
Rent vs Own
27.5% rent · 72.5% own
Severe rent burden
676.0

Population outlook (Grand Traverse County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
102,241 people
By 2030
107,172 · +4.8%
By 2040
115,676 · +13.1%
By 2050
122,377 · +19.7%
By 2075
136,554 · +33.6%
By 2100
137,871 · +34.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Grand Traverse

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 50.1% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+1.3pp toward D · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -1.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.7 2020: R+3.0 2016: R+12.5 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+3.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -276.28%
Current HPI
352.4866
Rent YoY
▼ -0.49%
Metro
Traverse City, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-20.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $10,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-10-18 Listed $12,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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