127 Conway St · Longview, TX 75601

$160,000

5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,890 sqft · SingleFamily public records

Built 1946 0.53 ac lot ↓ 11% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.9/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.6/10.0
• 1% rule +5.2/10.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +3.3/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Owner will finance; $20K down; 5.95% interest rate! Rare Opportunity: Versatile 5-Bedroom Home on Expansive Lot in Longview! This is the one you’ve been searching for—a spacious, flexible, and high-potential property at 127 Conway Street. The Home: • Size & Space: You’ll find 1,890 square feet of living space with 5 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, offering plenty of room to spread out and make this home your own. • Ultimate Flexibility: The interior is uniquely designed with two separate living/kitchen areas. This makes it the ideal setup for multi-generational living (perfect for aging parents or adult children), rental income opportunities (live on one sid

Key facts

• 0.53 acre lot
• Built 1946

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
• Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.0% in Longview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#213 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, schools D.
• Longview ISD (urban): math 49% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #244 of 826 in TX (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 153 active listings in the ZIP; 193 units permitted in Gregg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $160,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.02% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.96%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.95%
• DSCR: 1.26
• GRM: 8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -6.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.75×
• Total profit: $-11,309
• Equity at exit: $23,857

10-year hold

• IRR: 3.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.23×
• Total profit: $10,329
• Equity at exit: $13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75601

• Home prices YoY: -29.9%
• Rents YoY: 3.3%
• Active inventory: 153
• Price-to-rent: 8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,630 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$839
• Tax from tax record: −$160 /mo · $1,918/yr
• Insurance: −$67
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$342
• Net cashflow: $222

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,349

Max offer price $160,000

Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $40,000
• Closing costs: $4,800
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-05-21
   historical
2. 2026-05-21
   listed $160,000
3. 2026-02-09
   price $159,900
4. 2025-12-10
   price $169,900
5. 2025-11-18
   listed $179,900 Active
6. 2022-10-27
   soldstatus
7. 1997-12-10
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,918 · $160/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,928 · $244/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,010/yr (+$84/mo · 52.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,559
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,962
• − Property taxes: −$1,918
• − Insurance: −$800
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,565
• − Management: −$1,565
• − Depreciation: −$4,655
• Taxable income: $94
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$23
• After-tax cash flow: $2,642/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Longview ISD
• NCES district ID: 4828110
• Math proficiency: 49% ▼ -4.00%
• Reading proficiency: 46% ▼ -1.00%
• Median HH income: $39,837
• Composite: 39.76/100
• National rank: #3889
• State rank: #244 of 826 in TX

Livability — Longview

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #213
• US rank: #5287

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Longview, TX
• County: Gregg County · 128,826 people
• City population: 103,792
• Metro: Longview, TX
• Population (ZIP): 15,780
• Household income: $65,700
• Rent vs Own: 39.1% rent · 60.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 761.0

Population outlook (Gregg County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 125,947 people
• By 2030: 126,542 · +0.5%
• By 2040: 127,311 · +1.1%
• By 2050: 127,289 · +1.1%
• By 2075: 124,954 · -0.8%
• By 2100: 113,737 · -9.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: White 53% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 17%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gregg

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.5% · R 70.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -4.6pp toward R · 2008: -37.6pp · 2024: -42.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+36.9 2016: R+41.3 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+37.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -107.73%
• Current HPI: 252.0752
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• Metro: Longview, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-11.1% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-21 Listed $160,000 LAAR
• 2026-05-21 Delisted — LAAR
• 2026-02-09 Price Changed $159,900 LAAR
• 2025-12-10 Price Changed $169,900 LAAR
• 2025-11-18 Listed $179,900 LAAR
• 2022-10-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 1997-12-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,918 · +19.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.