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D+ Composite 47.04
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$42,900

443 Stowe Ln Unit CP59 · Cocoa West, FL 32926
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,088 sqft · SingleFamily · 293 Days on market
Built 2025

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cocoa Point is an all-age, pet-friendly neighborhood just minutes from the stunning beaches of Florida's Space Coast. This community offers a variety of homes for sale catering to diverse lifestyles and needs. Residents enjoy the perfect balance of tranquility and convenience, with easy access to local shops, restaurants, and entertainment options. Situated near popular attractions and outdoor activities, Cocoa Point is ideal for those seeking fun, adventure, and a welcoming place to call home.

Key facts

  • Built 2025
  • Listed 293 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: List price $42,900

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electric service; Central air for cooling
  • Home design: Condominium/townhome unit at 443 Stowe Ln Unit CP59, Cocoa FL 32926; Spec home plan: The Coral Cove
  • Exterior features: Living area approximately 1088

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Active listing (Spec plan named The Coral Cove)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $43k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $43k).
  • Recommended offer: $38k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#481 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $297 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 293 days — a 12% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $37,752 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 293 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.43%
Cap rate
40.04%
Cash-on-cash
120.53%
DSCR
6.36
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.6% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.25×
Total profit
$75,028
Equity at exit
$6,397
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.53×
Total profit
$186,501
Equity at exit
$3,709

Cash invested: $12,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32926

Home prices YoY
-16.9%
Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
291
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,903 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$225
Tax est. 1.5%
$54 /mo · $644/yr
Insurance
$18
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$400
Net cashflow
$1,207

Break-even live

Break-even rent $375
Max offer price $42,900
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,236 -5% $1,221 +0% $1,207 +5% $1,192 +10% $1,177
Rent -10% $1,056 -5% $1,131 +0% $1,207 +5% $1,282 +10% $1,357
Rate -1.0pp $1,228 -0.5pp $1,217 base $1,207 +0.5pp $1,195 +1.0pp $1,184

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,725
Closing costs
$1,287
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3782 Catalina Dr Cocoa, FL 3.0 2.0 1404 $2,075 $1.48 24d 1 0.20mi
557 Cox St Cocoa, FL 3.0 1.0 814 $1,730 $2.13 24d 1 0.32mi
527 A Ln Cocoa, FL 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,800 $1.20 24d 1 0.49mi
305 Laredo Dr Cocoa, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1481 $2,319 $1.57 14d 28 0.89mi
2506 Stratford Dr Cocoa, FL 3.0 1.5 936 $1,700 $1.82 24d 1 1.05mi
412 Country Lane Dr Cocoa, FL 2.0 1.0 816 $1,300 $1.59 14d 1 1.17mi
902 Canal Dr Cocoa, FL 2.0 1.0 928 $1,350 $1.45 14d 1 1.23mi
2467 Mercury Dr Cocoa, FL 2.0 1.5 814 $1,400 $1.72 24d 1 1.29mi
2449 Mercury Dr Cocoa, FL 2.0 2.0 984 $1,650 $1.68 21d 1 1.33mi
706 Lunar Lake Cir Unit B Cocoa, FL 2.0 2.0 843 $1,450 $1.72 19d 1 1.38mi
4164 Fishermans Pl Cocoa, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $1,625 $1.35 24d 1 1.40mi
739 Lunar Lake Cir Cocoa, FL 2.0 1.0 814 $1,100 $1.35 24d 1 1.45mi

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,830
− Mortgage interest
−$2,403
− Property taxes
−$644
− Insurance
−$214
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,826
− Management
−$1,826
− Depreciation
−$1,248
Taxable income
$14,669
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,520
After-tax cash flow
$10,958/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Brevard
NCES district ID
1200150
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,426
Composite
46.86/100
National rank
#2370
State rank
#19 of 73 in FL

Livability — Cocoa West

Score
69/100
State rank
#481
US rank
#8792

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cocoa West, FL
County
Brevard County · 602,871 people
Metro
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,505
Household income
$70,735
Rent vs Own
20.3% rent · 79.7% own
Severe rent burden
782.0

Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
623,254 people
By 2030
648,420 · +4.0%
By 2040
690,009 · +10.7%
By 2050
715,669 · +14.8%
By 2075
775,744 · +24.5%
By 2100
776,687 · +24.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brevard

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.32%
Current HPI
335.1251
Rent YoY
▲ 5.60%
Metro
Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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