4100 S Coventry Dr · Independence, MO
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.1/30.0
- ARV discount +11.8/15.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Remarks inc.
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- 3 garage spots
- Built 1967
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property age listed as 101 years or more
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage that faces the front; 3-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Raised ranch; Approximately 1,912 above-grade living area; Not in a flood plain
- Construction: Wood siding exterior; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Metal fencing; Adjoins greenspace; Corner, level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen / kitchen-dining combo; Kitchen with wood flooring
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms (all on the first/main level); Bedroom 1 with ceiling fan and wood flooring; Bedroom 2 with ceiling fan; Bedroom 3 with ceiling fan; Bedroom 4 with built-in features and ceiling fan
- Flooring: Wood flooring in bedrooms, dining room, and kitchen; Vinyl and ceramic tile in basement bathroom
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; One bathroom with shower only (main level); One bathroom with separate shower and tub (main level); One basement bathroom with shower (ceramic tile/vinyl)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling (central air)
- Interior features: Raised ranch floor plan; Family room on main level; Main floor primary bedroom; Main floor bedrooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $116 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (5.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $212k (5.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 5.0% in Independence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in MO, #1,296 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
- Blue Springs R-IV (suburban): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #17 of 324 in MO (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 200 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.20%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $248,615
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -9.50%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4013 S Maybrook Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,100 (+10%) | 3mo | $325,000 | $155 | 69 |
| 17317 E 41st St S | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,724 (-10%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $131 | 67 |
| 17401 E 37th Ter | 0.43mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,962 (+3%) | 7mo | $275,000 | $140 | 63 |
| 16405 E 40th St | 0.63mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,900 (-1%) | 3mo | $260,000 | $137 | 60 |
| 4005 S Coachman Dr | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,789 (-6%) | 3mo | $267,500 | $150 | 59 |
| 16800 E 43rd St S | 0.46mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,816 (-5%) | 10mo | $299,000 | $165 | 56 |
| 3920 S Milton Dr | 0.51mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,800 (-6%) | 8mo | $229,000 | $127 | 53 |
| 3524 S Maybrook Ave | 0.67mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,091 (+9%) | 2mo | $325,000 | $155 | 45 |
| 4225 S Milton Dr | 0.54mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,184 (+14%) | 1mo | $285,999 | $131 | 43 |
| 17507 E 35th Ter | 0.64mi | 4/3.0 | 2,110 (+10%) | 10mo | $310,000 | $147 | 43 |
| 16213 E 40th St S | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,748 (-9%) | 11mo | $249,000 | $142 | 35 |
| 4217 E 42nd Street Way S | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,638 (-14%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $143 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-24,496
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- 1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $7,836
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64055
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 200
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,124 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$289 /mo · $3,468/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$446
- Net cashflow
- $116
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4020 S Crackerneck Rd Independence, MO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1488 | $2,200 | $1.48 | 1d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 4815 S Kendall Dr Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2128 | $2,070 | $0.97 | 1d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 17304 E 49th Terrace Ct S Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2500 | $2,250 | $0.90 | 1d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 16504 E 33rd St S Independence, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $2,055 | $1.37 | 1d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 16816 E 31st St S Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1696 | $1,749 | $1.03 | 1d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 17312 E 50th Terrace Ct S Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $2,050 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 16700 E 31st Ter S Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1639 | $2,150 | $1.31 | 19d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 15403 E 43rd Ter S Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1689 | $2,046 | $1.21 | 1d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4631 S Eastland Center Dr Independence, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1022 | $2,044 | $2.00 | 43d | 29 | 1.32mi |
| 4631 S Eastland Center Dr Independence, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1022 | $1,919 | $1.88 | 1d | 22 | 1.32mi |
| 15001 E 39th Ter S Independence, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $1,811 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-11status Pending 12-char remark
Show marketing remark (12 chars)
Remarks inc.
-
2026-05-11historical Active Under Contract 362-char remark
Show marketing remark (12 chars)
Remarks inc.
-
2026-05-06$225,000 Active 362-char remark
-
2026-04-23historical $225,000 362-char remark
-
2026-04-22$225,000 Active 12-char remark
Show marketing remark (12 chars)
Remarks inc.
-
2001-08-22soldstatus
-
1999-05-05soldstatus
-
1994-02-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,468 · $289/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,468 · $289/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,494
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$3,468
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,040
- − Management
- −$2,040
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$2,327
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$559
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,946/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Blue Springs R-IV
- NCES district ID
- 2905310
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,959
- Composite
- 50.71/100
- National rank
- #1819
- State rank
- #17 of 324 in MO
Livability — Independence
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #10
- US rank
- #1296
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Independence, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 117,675
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,960
- Household income
- $62,439
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1404.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 9% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -180.54%
- Current HPI
- 245.3636
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.09%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Pending — WCAR
- 2026-05-11 Contingent — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-06 Listed $225,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-23 Coming Soon $225,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Listed $225,000 WCAR
- 2001-08-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-05-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1994-02-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,468 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…