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37617 Amigo Dr
C Composite 56.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

37617 Amigo Dr · Pasadena Hills, FL 33541
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,482 sqft · Manufactured public records · 161 Days on market
Built 1990 3,806 sqft lot Est $213k · 18% under $142/mo HOA · 8% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

In M/H Community

Key facts

  • Interior laundry
  • Panoramic pond views
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENPANORAMIC POND VIEWSINTERIOR LAUNDRYENCLOSED PORCHUTILITY SINKBONUS SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Furnished; Universal property ID available
  • Financial info: Total monthly fees $142; total annual fees $1,704; Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $142 (required) — association name: Nancy; Association amenities include cable TV, pool, internet, grounds maintenance, recreational facilities, trash, clubhouse, pickleball, shuffleboard, tennis courts, storage; Buyer/association approval required; Senior community; golf carts allowed; Pets allowed with restrictions (cats OK, dogs OK, breed restrictions, number limit)

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking; Driveway; 2-space carport
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story (one level); South-facing
  • Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction; Membrane roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built as a manufactured home
  • Exterior features: Lighting; Private mailbox; Storage; Pond view; Paved, private lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/family room combo; Open floorplan; Split bedroom layout; Thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments (blinds)
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Inside utility

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.7% in Pasadena Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#723 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 856 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($154k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.04%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$213,408
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
37526 Rio Ln 0.15mi 2/2.0 1,448 (-2%) 3mo $180,000 $124 87
7131 EL Dewitt St 0.21mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-3%) 6mo $150,000 $104 80
7149 Naranja St 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,539 (+4%) 7mo $210,000 $136 75
7109 EL Matador St 0.16mi 2/2.0 1,332 (-10%) 9mo $128,000 $96 68
37501 Campo Ave 0.21mi 2/2.0 1,296 (-13%) 2mo $140,000 $108 68
37510 New Horizons Blvd 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,488 (+0%) 2mo $215,000 $144 63
37630 Landis Ave 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (+2%) 4mo $189,000 $125 63
37652 New Horizons Blvd 0.58mi 2/2.0 1,396 (-6%) 3mo $240,000 $172 60
37551 Lilly Bea Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (+2%) 5mo $225,000 $149 55
37635 Gill Ave 0.72mi 2/2.0 1,407 (-5%) 3mo $217,000 $154 55
37551 Gill Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,488 (+0%) 9mo $235,000 $158 52
37539 Gill Ave 0.74mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (+2%) 6mo $219,000 $145 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.6%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-23,188
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-27,298
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33541

Home prices YoY
-15.2%
Rents YoY
-2.5%
Active inventory
856
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,853 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$166 /mo · $1,991/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$142
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$389
Net cashflow
$165

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,644
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
37814 Daughtery Rd Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 1070 $1,395 $1.30 4d 1 0.20mi
6633 Foxmoor Dr Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 24d 1 0.62mi
6335 Maisie Rd Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1363 $1,650 $1.21 20d 1 0.70mi
6262 Maisie Rd Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1363 $1,700 $1.25 24d 1 0.75mi
6246 Timberly Ln Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1363 $1,900 $1.39 24d 1 0.76mi
37732 Cecil Ln Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,800 $1.73 24d 1 0.77mi
37661 Aaralyn Rd Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1363 $1,800 $1.32 24d 1 0.77mi
6249 Maisai Rd #6 Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1561 $1,550 $0.99 2d 1 0.77mi
7660 Emerson Hill Cir Zephyrhills, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1077 $1,964 $1.82 1d 34 0.78mi
38350 Ironwood Pl #5 Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 1094 $1,800 $1.65 24d 1 0.83mi
6302 Abbott Station Dr Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 1.0–2.5 855 $1,732 $2.02 1d 142 0.84mi
6773 Branham Mill Ct Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.0 1454 $1,950 $1.34 24d 1 0.85mi
6788 Basswood Cir Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 1067 $1,250 $1.17 24d 1 0.88mi
6195 Daerr Ridge St Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1386 $2,000 $1.44 17d 1 0.97mi
7064 Ripple Pond Loop Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1787 $2,047 $1.15 14d 1 0.97mi
38300 Henry Dr Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 1152 $1,650 $1.43 4d 1 1.06mi
6136 Pina Colada St Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1386 $2,100 $1.52 12d 1 1.06mi
37812 15th Ave Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,850 $1.85 24d 1 1.30mi
36507 Camp Fire Ter Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.0 1537 $2,500 $1.63 24d 1 1.36mi
8313 Wheat Stone Dr Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.0 1864 $2,275 $1.22 24d 1 1.39mi
36403 Well Hill Way Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1528 $2,200 $1.44 24d 1 1.43mi
36406 Well Hill Way Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,000 $1.22 17d 1 1.44mi
36401 Camp Fire Ter Unit 36401 Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $1,895 $1.16 19d 1 1.45mi
36352 Well Hill Way Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $1,950 $1.19 2d 1 1.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$142 · $1,704/yr

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-21
    price $175,000
  3. 2026-01-03
    price $185,000
  4. 2025-11-26
    listed $195,000 Active
  5. 2025-06-30
    historical
  6. 2025-04-28
    price $199,500
  7. 2025-03-08
    price $209,000
  8. 2024-11-08
    listed $215,000 Active
  9. 2022-04-18
    soldstatus $180,000
  10. 2020-07-22
    soldstatus $122,000
  11. 2020-07-08
    soldstatus $122,000 16-char remark
    Show marketing remark (16 chars)

    In M/H Community

  12. 2020-07-08
    listed $122,000 16-char remark
    Show marketing remark (16 chars)

    In M/H Community

  13. 2019-09-24
    historical
  14. 2019-09-20
    listed $125,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,991 · $166/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,991 · $166/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,233
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$1,991
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,779
− Management
−$1,779
− HOA
−$1,704
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$788
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$189
After-tax cash flow
$2,170/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL

Livability — Pasadena Hills

Score
63/100
State rank
#723
US rank
#15499

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pasadena Hills, FL
County
Pasco County · 524,098 people
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
24,654
Household income
$56,579
Rent vs Own
14.0% rent · 86.0% own
Severe rent burden
393.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -55.21%
Current HPI
308.0619
Rent YoY
▼ -2.51%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.0% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-21 Price Changed $175,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-03 Price Changed $185,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-26 Listed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-30 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-28 Price Changed $199,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-08 Price Changed $209,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-08 Listed $215,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-18 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
  • 2020-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $122,000 Public Records
  • 2020-07-08 Listed $122,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-08 Sold (MLS) $122,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-24 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-20 Listed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+11.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,991 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…