16323 Navarro Ct · Burnt Store Marina, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$329,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in desirable Punta Gorda surrounded by existing homes, in a very nice neighborhood. The lot is 15 minutes away from the Burnt Store Marina, which features a 27-hole executive golf course and only a short drive to historic downtown Punta Gorda. Close to stores and restaurants. Do not wait and build your dream home. Invest now.
Key facts
- 3 car garage
- 9,550 sq ft lot
- 3 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total acreage: less than 1/4 acre (approx. 0.22 acres); Lot size ~0.22 acres (approximately 887 m²); Builder license CRC 056762
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply; Home warranty included
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee ($230 / $19.17 monthly); Association handled in care of Tom Schwartz; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 3 spaces; Driveway; Garage door opener
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electric service
- Home design: Single family residence; One-story; East-facing; New construction (projected completion May 15, 2026); Completed condition
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built by Maronda Homes (Melody C model)
- Exterior features: Rear screened porch; Sliding doors; Hurricane shutters; Irrigation equipment; Paved lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Disposal; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Tray ceilings; Thermostat; Walk-in closets; Blinds; ENERGY STAR qualified windows; Thermal windows; Smoke detectors
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups; Great room / inside utility
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $330k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-34 ($-406/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $324k (1.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (26.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $242k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.8% in Burnt Store Marina — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#354 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 68%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 761 students, 52% FRL); Punta Gorda Middle School (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C+, #209 of 571 statewide, top 37%, 1,120 students, 41% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: 1490 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 714 days — a 12% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $130k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 714 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.44%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-55,782
- Equity at exit
- $49,189
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-52,038
- Equity at exit
- $28,524
Cash invested: $92,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33955
- Home prices YoY
- -24.5%
- Active inventory
- 1490
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,418 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,730
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $687/yr
- Insurance
- −$137
- HOA
- −$19
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$508
- Net cashflow
- $-34
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $153 | -5% $60 | +0% $-34 | +5% $-503 | +10% $-617 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-225 | -5% $-129 | +0% $-34 | +5% $62 | +10% $157 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $132 | -0.5pp $50 | base $-34 | +0.5pp $-119 | +1.0pp $-206 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $82,475
- Closing costs
- $9,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25214 Cadiz Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,295 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 25222 Cadiz Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,295 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 25377 Doredo Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2092 | $2,300 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 16195 Maya Cir Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2077 | $2,495 | $1.20 | 15d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 25904 Prada Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $2,111 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 16107 Badalona Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 16077 Badalona Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 25186 Alicante Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1717 | $2,095 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 16229 Cape Horn Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1726 | $2,749 | $1.59 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 24378 Belize Ct Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2251 | $6,750 | $3.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 17314 Cape Horn Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2216 | $2,800 | $1.26 | 15d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 17434 Oro Ct Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1864 | $2,000 | $1.07 | 22d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 14040 Heritage Landing Blvd #113 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $6,500 | $4.52 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $19 · $228/yr
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-10status $329,900 Pending 714 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $329,900 Active 714 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $329,900 Active 713 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $329,900 Active 709 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $329,900 Active 707 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $329,900 Active 706 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $329,900 Active 705 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $329,900 Active 704 DOM
-
2026-04-24price $329,900
-
2026-01-13price $379,900
-
2025-05-28soldstatus $377,214
-
2025-03-13price $399,900
-
2024-10-25price $444,900
-
2024-06-25$459,900 Active
-
2024-05-24soldstatus $96,500
-
2024-05-14soldstatus $50,000 Sold 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Located in desirable Punta Gorda surrounded by existing homes, in a very nice neighborhood. The lot is 15 minutes away from the Burnt Store Marina, which features a 27-hole executive golf course and only a short drive to historic downtown Punta Gorda. Close to stores and restaurants. Do not wait and build your dream home. Invest now.
-
2024-04-09status Pending 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Located in desirable Punta Gorda surrounded by existing homes, in a very nice neighborhood. The lot is 15 minutes away from the Burnt Store Marina, which features a 27-hole executive golf course and only a short drive to historic downtown Punta Gorda. Close to stores and restaurants. Do not wait and build your dream home. Invest now.
-
2024-03-25$50,000 Active 335-char remark
Show marketing remark (335 chars)
Located in desirable Punta Gorda surrounded by existing homes, in a very nice neighborhood. The lot is 15 minutes away from the Burnt Store Marina, which features a 27-hole executive golf course and only a short drive to historic downtown Punta Gorda. Close to stores and restaurants. Do not wait and build your dream home. Invest now.
-
2024-03-21soldstatus $38,000
-
2012-04-20soldstatus $3,500
-
2011-03-21$3,800
-
1996-02-02soldstatus $8,000
-
1986-11-01soldstatus $19,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $687 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,738 · $228/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,051/yr (+$171/mo · 298.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone D · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,011
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,480
- − Property taxes
- −$687
- − Insurance
- −$1,650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,321
- − Management
- −$2,321
- − HOA
- −$228
- − Depreciation
- −$9,597
- Taxable loss
- −$6,271
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,505
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,099/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Burnt Store Marina
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #354
- US rank
- #6145
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,399
- Household income
- $76,943
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 226.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.71%
- Current HPI
- 242.9043
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+1566.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $329,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-13 Price Changed $379,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $377,214 Public Records
- 2025-03-13 Price Changed $399,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-25 Price Changed $444,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-06-25 Listed $459,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $96,500 Public Records
- 2024-05-14 Sold (MLS) $50,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2024-04-09 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2024-03-25 Listed $50,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2024-03-21 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 2012-04-20 Sold (MLS) $3,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-03-21 Listed $3,800 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
- 1986-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $19,800 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $687 · +58.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…