123 Cheryl Ann Dr · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Enjoy peaceful country living with easy access to town on this affordable manufactured home on spacious and private 2.24-acre property in Grovetown, Columbia County. 3 spacious bedrooms, each with its own private ensuite bathroom, providing comfort, privacy, and flexibility for families, guests, or multi-generational living. The owner's suite features a walk-in closet and a tiled shower, creating a relaxing private retreat. Inside, you'll find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout--no carpet, along with multiple storage nooks and crannies that make everyday living easy. The home includes a living room with a wood-burning fireplace, a separate den, and two bonus rooms perfect for a home off
Key facts
- Manufactured home
- 2.24-acre property
- Walk-in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land is leased
- HOA & community: Street lights
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with storage; 1 garage parking space (1 total parking space)
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Other utilities
- Home design: Manufactured home (residential); One-level; Entry level 1
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Year built not provided
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Porch; Fenced yard; Greenhouse; Outbuilding; Wooded lot; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in electric oven; Dishwasher; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; Accessible full bath
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Forced air heating; Electric heating; Fireplace(s)
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Pantry; Eat-in kitchen; Insulated windows; Built-in electric oven; Dishwasher; Electric water heater
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($655/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (21.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Columbia County (suburban): math 49% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 174 in GA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: North Harlem Elementary School (math 41% / reading 40%, grade F, #419 of 1,228 statewide, top 35%, 862 students, 48% FRL); Harlem Middle School (math 36% / reading 42%, grade F, #155 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 981 students, 39% FRL); Harlem High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 1,223 students, 33% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Columbia County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 724 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,213 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbia County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $200k implies a 433% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.17%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $330,000
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- -39.39%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-31,911
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-35,095
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30813
- Home prices YoY
- -29.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 724
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,578 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $719/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$331
- Net cashflow
- $55
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $200,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $200,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $200,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-11historical
-
2026-04-28price $205,000
-
2026-04-14price $210,000
-
2026-02-10$220,000 Active
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2026-02-10$205,000 Active 1846-char remark
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1987-05-01soldstatus $37,500
-
1986-03-01soldstatus $9,300
-
1985-03-01soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $719 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,840 · $153/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,121/yr (+$93/mo · 155.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,936
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$719
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,515
- − Management
- −$1,515
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$2,834
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$680
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,335/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbia County
- NCES district ID
- 1301410
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,358
- Composite
- 45.04/100
- National rank
- #2695
- State rank
- #13 of 174 in GA
Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Columbia County · 154,184 people
- City population
- 154,035
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,466
- Household income
- $86,923
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,073 people
- By 2030
- 212,277 · +12.3%
- By 2040
- 259,480 · +37.2%
- By 2050
- 306,991 · +62.4%
- By 2075
- 421,213 · +122.8%
- By 2100
- 496,722 · +162.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.6) · D 36.8% · R 62.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +17.0pp toward D · 2008: -42.7pp · 2024: -25.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.6 2020: R+25.8 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+43.0 2008: R+42.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.24%
- Current HPI
- 233.821
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.15%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+1900.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $200,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-05-11 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $205,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $210,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-02-10 Listed $220,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-02-10 Listed $205,000 Hive MLS
- 1987-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
- 1986-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,300 Public Records
- 1985-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $719 · -4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…