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123 Cheryl Ann Dr
D+ Composite 49.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$200,000

123 Cheryl Ann Dr · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA 30813
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · Other public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1985 2.24 ac lot $204/sqft · 21% above area Est $330k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Enjoy peaceful country living with easy access to town on this affordable manufactured home on spacious and private 2.24-acre property in Grovetown, Columbia County. 3 spacious bedrooms, each with its own private ensuite bathroom, providing comfort, privacy, and flexibility for families, guests, or multi-generational living. The owner's suite features a walk-in closet and a tiled shower, creating a relaxing private retreat. Inside, you'll find luxury vinyl plank flooring throughout--no carpet, along with multiple storage nooks and crannies that make everyday living easy. The home includes a living room with a wood-burning fireplace, a separate den, and two bonus rooms perfect for a home off

Key facts

  • Manufactured home
  • 2.24-acre property
  • Walk-in closet

Tags

MANUFACTURED HOMEPERMANENT FOUNDATION2.24-ACRE PROPERTYPRIVATE ENSUITE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETTILED SHOWER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Land is leased
  • HOA & community: Street lights

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with storage; 1 garage parking space (1 total parking space)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Other utilities
  • Home design: Manufactured home (residential); One-level; Entry level 1
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding; Composition roof; Crawl space foundation; Year built not provided
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Porch; Fenced yard; Greenhouse; Outbuilding; Wooded lot; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in electric oven; Dishwasher; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; Accessible full bath
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Forced air heating; Electric heating; Fireplace(s)
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Pantry; Eat-in kitchen; Insulated windows; Built-in electric oven; Dishwasher; Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($655/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (21.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (21.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Columbia County (suburban): math 49% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #13 of 174 in GA (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: North Harlem Elementary School (math 41% / reading 40%, grade F, #419 of 1,228 statewide, top 35%, 862 students, 48% FRL); Harlem Middle School (math 36% / reading 42%, grade F, #155 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 981 students, 39% FRL); Harlem High School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 1,223 students, 33% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Columbia County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 724 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,213 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Columbia County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $200k implies a 433% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $157,802 (21.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.62%
Cash-on-cash
1.17%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$330,000
List price
$200,000
Delta
-39.39%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.15% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.3%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-31,911
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
-11.3%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-35,095
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30813

Home prices YoY
-29.2%
Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
724
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,578 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $719/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,509
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $200,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $200,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $200,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $200,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $200,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $200,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $200,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $200,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $200,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $200,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $200,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $200,000 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    historical
  17. 2026-04-28
    price $205,000
  18. 2026-04-14
    price $210,000
  19. 2026-02-10
    listed $220,000 Active
  20. 2026-02-10
    listed $205,000 Active 1846-char remark
  21. 1987-05-01
    soldstatus $37,500
  22. 1986-03-01
    soldstatus $9,300
  23. 1985-03-01
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$719 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,840 · $153/mo
Expected delta
+$1,121/yr (+$93/mo · 155.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,936
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$719
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,515
− Management
−$1,515
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$2,834
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$680
After-tax cash flow
$1,335/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia County
NCES district ID
1301410
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$69,358
Composite
45.04/100
National rank
#2695
State rank
#13 of 174 in GA

Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Columbia County · 154,184 people
City population
154,035
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
52,466
Household income
$86,923
Rent vs Own
27.2% rent · 72.8% own
Severe rent burden
960.0

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,073 people
By 2030
212,277 · +12.3%
By 2040
259,480 · +37.2%
By 2050
306,991 · +62.4%
By 2075
421,213 · +122.8%
By 2100
496,722 · +162.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.6) · D 36.8% · R 62.5%
2008→2024 swing
+17.0pp toward D · 2008: -42.7pp · 2024: -25.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.6 2020: R+25.8 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+43.0 2008: R+42.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.24%
Current HPI
233.821
Rent YoY
▲ 1.15%
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1900.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $200,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-28 Price Changed $205,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $210,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $220,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $205,000 Hive MLS
  • 1987-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
  • 1986-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $9,300 Public Records
  • 1985-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $719 · -4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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