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1804 S 30th S
D+ Composite 46.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.3/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

1804 S 30th S · Fort Pierce, FL 34947
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,096 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1950 7,092 sqft lot Est $240k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family home provides a fantastic opportunity to add value and customize to your liking. Featuring a functional layout and solid bones, the property requires cosmetic updates and repairs throughout, making it the ideal a fix-and-flip or a profitable rental investment. Don't miss out on this high-potential project!

Key facts

  • 7,092 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed with no restrictions

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage (2 covered spaces, total parking for 2 vehicles)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable connected; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Resale property; Facing east
  • Construction: Concrete construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No special interior features specified; Furnished: negotiable
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry: other (details not specified)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $53 ($631/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (9.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $199k (9.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.5% in Fort Pierce — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#226 in FL, #3,360 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, employment F.
  • St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Manatee Academy K-8 (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 1,664 students, 65% FRL); Southern Oaks Middle School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #353 of 571 statewide, top 63%, 894 students, 76% FRL); Fort Pierce Central High School (math 15% / reading 45%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 3,091 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,991/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 625% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $199,110 (9.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.02%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$240,024
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2110 S 31st St 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,176 (+7%) 12mo $290,000 $247 65
1609 S 29th St 0.11mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,198 (+9%) 22mo $110,000 $92 56
2105 S 37th St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-5%) 19mo $219,000 $211 50
3109 Kentucky Ave 0.42mi 3/3.0 1,042 (-5%) 22mo $239,000 $229 46
1006 Apple St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,230 (+12%) 20mo $269,000 $219 30
1925 Royal Palm Dr 0.69mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,228 (+12%) 20mo $267,000 $217 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.6%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-32,269
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
-5.9%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-23,664
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34947

Home prices YoY
-8.6%
Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,991 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax est. 1.5%
$275 /mo · $3,300/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$418
Net cashflow
$53

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,925
Max offer price $220,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $205 -5% $129 +0% $53 +5% $-23 +10% $-99
Rent -10% $-105 -5% $-26 +0% $53 +5% $131 +10% $210
Rate -1.0pp $163 -0.5pp $109 base $53 +0.5pp $-4 +1.0pp $-62

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3005 Tennessee Ave Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1222 $2,400 $1.96 25d 1 0.26mi
2100 S 34th St Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1262 $2,200 $1.74 25d 1 0.36mi
3208 Louisiana Ave Apt 3 Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,500 $1.43 25d 1 0.41mi
2403 S 25th St Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.0 576 $1,775 $3.08 25d 1 0.62mi
1820 Nebraska Ave Apt 201 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1035 $1,699 $1.64 25d 1 0.77mi
1820 Nebraska Ave Apt 102 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 997 $1,679 $1.68 25d 1 0.77mi
1215 Hartman Rd Unit 1215-09 Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 1.0 700 $1,800 $2.57 16d 1 0.78mi
1830 Nebraska Ave Fort Pierce, FL 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.0 924 $1,799 $1.95 16d 5 0.79mi
1840 Nebraska Ave Apt 106 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 997 $1,679 $1.68 16d 1 0.79mi
1840 Nebraska Ave Apt 101 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1035 $1,699 $1.64 16d 1 0.79mi
1810 Nebraska Ave Unit 106 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1042 $1,699 $1.63 16d 1 0.80mi
1810 Nebraska Ave Apt 101 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1035 $1,699 $1.64 25d 1 0.80mi
1800 Nebraska Ave Unit 202 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1312 $1,749 $1.33 25d 1 0.82mi
1567 Pheasant Walk Unit B Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1280 $1,900 $1.48 16d 1 0.85mi
1904 Havana Ave #16 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1196 $1,900 $1.59 16d 1 0.90mi
2516 S 19th St #208 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1190 $1,700 $1.43 25d 1 0.95mi
2513 S 17th St #207 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1190 $1,600 $1.34 25d 1 0.97mi
1439 Captains Walk Unit 20D Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1280 $2,000 $1.56 23d 1 0.99mi
2820 Stoneway Ln Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1005 $1,575 $1.57 25d 1 1.01mi
2811 Stoneway Ln Unit 2811A Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.0 1274 $1,700 $1.33 16d 1 1.03mi
2101 Linda Sue Cir Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.5 1300 $1,750 $1.35 25d 1 1.03mi
1911 Boston Ave Fort Pierce, FL 4.0 3.0 930 $3,500 $3.76 25d 1 1.17mi
204 N 28th St Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 25d 1 1.23mi
1717 Linwood Ave Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.0 712 $1,800 $2.53 25d 1 1.25mi
100 Corner Dr Fort Pierce, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 926 $1,487 $1.60 16d 32 1.26mi
205 N 22nd St Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,500 $1.43 25d 1 1.30mi
312 N 27th St Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.0 868 $1,600 $1.84 25d 1 1.32mi
2302 Sunrise Blvd #201 Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.0 966 $1,500 $1.55 25d 1 1.36mi
1406 Citrus Ave Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.0 930 $1,600 $1.72 16d 1 1.38mi
2016 S 10th St Unit A Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 2.5 1120 $1,595 $1.42 25d 1 1.40mi
1817 Party Pl Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1389 $2,250 $1.62 25d 1 1.41mi
510 Texas Ct Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,400 $1.87 25d 1 1.42mi
306 N 18th Ct #2 Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1192 $2,150 $1.80 25d 1 1.45mi
2908 Dunbar St Fort Pierce, FL 2.0 1.0 942 $1,300 $1.38 23d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $220,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $220,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $220,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $220,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $220,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $220,000 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    remarks 348-char remark
  9. 2026-06-10
    listed $220,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,893
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$3,300
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,911
− Management
−$1,911
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$3,053
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$733
After-tax cash flow
$1,364/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Lucie
NCES district ID
1201770
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,737
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#4449
State rank
#51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fort Pierce

Score
76/100
State rank
#226
US rank
#3360

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Pierce, FL
County
Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
City population
78,556
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
12,804
Household income
$51,811
Rent vs Own
52.4% rent · 47.6% own
Severe rent burden
625.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
338,016 people
By 2030
355,687 · +5.2%
By 2040
385,521 · +14.1%
By 2050
406,106 · +20.1%
By 2075
441,054 · +30.5%
By 2100
436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Black 52% Hispanic / Latino 22% White 17% Two or more races 10% Asian 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada
Languages at home
73% English-only · Spanish 17% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.68%
Current HPI
356.2528
Rent YoY
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $220,000 Beaches MLS

Property tax history

+12.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $195 · +11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…