1806 Avenue H · Scottsbluff, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$76,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Built 1925
- Listed 4 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Frame and stucco construction
- Exterior features: Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Heating present
- Interior features: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $76k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($829 rent vs $76k).
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.1% in Scottsbluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#127 in NE, #4,862 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities D-.
- Scottsbluff Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #89 of 111 in NE (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Scottsbluff Senior High School (math 37% / reading 56%, grade D-, #144 of 261 statewide, top 55%, 1,118 students, 57% FRL).
- Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Scotts Bluff County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scotts Bluff County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $13k; list at $76k implies a 485% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.84%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $153,468
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 Avenue E | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 | 780 (+3%) | 4mo | $143,000 | $183 | 74 |
| 1310 Avenue H | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 764 (+1%) | 11mo | $137,500 | $180 | 74 |
| 1518 Avenue F | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 750 (-1%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $213 | 73 |
| 405 W Overland | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-5%) | 1mo | $159,000 | $221 | 70 |
| 2015 Avenue E | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+11%) | 6mo | $64,000 | $76 | 62 |
| 2417 Avenue F | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 816 (+8%) | 2mo | $168,800 | $207 | 54 |
| 2202 Avenue D | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 676 (-11%) | 9mo | $115,000 | $170 | 50 |
| 1516 Cowen Dr | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 828 (+10%) | 16mo | $150,000 | $181 | 49 |
| 2513 Avenue F | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 720 (-5%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $208 | 46 |
| 1410 Avenue G | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 868 (+15%) | 10mo | $198,000 | $228 | 46 |
| 2618 Avenue D | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+11%) | 16mo | $119,900 | $143 | 37 |
| 2502 Avenue B | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 860 (+14%) | 13mo | $175,000 | $203 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-1,213
- Equity at exit
- $11,332
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.62×
- Total profit
- $13,197
- Equity at exit
- $6,571
Cash invested: $21,280 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 69361
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $829 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$399
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $601/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$174
- Net cashflow
- $175
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $218 | -5% $196 | +0% $175 | +5% $153 | +10% $132 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $109 | -5% $142 | +0% $175 | +5% $207 | +10% $240 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $213 | -0.5pp $194 | base $175 | +0.5pp $155 | +1.0pp $135 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,000
- Closing costs
- $2,280
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-01status $76,000 Pending 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $76,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $76,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$76,000 Active
-
1994-05-23soldstatus $13,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $601 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,315 · $110/mo
- Expected delta
- +$714/yr (+$60/mo · 118.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,947
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,257
- − Property taxes
- −$601
- − Insurance
- −$380
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$796
- − Management
- −$796
- − Depreciation
- −$2,211
- Taxable income
- $906
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$218
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,877/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scottsbluff Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3176470
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,931
- Composite
- 36.14/100
- National rank
- #4745
- State rank
- #89 of 111 in NE
Livability — Scottsbluff
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #127
- US rank
- #4862
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Scottsbluff, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,965
Population outlook (Scotts Bluff County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,740 people
- By 2030
- 35,229 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 34,160 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 33,656 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 35,257 · -1.4%
- By 2100
- 39,158 · +9.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 12% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scotts Bluff
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.7) · D 25.6% · R 73.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -47.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.7 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+48.9 2012: R+37.7 2008: R+33.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -181.96%
- Current HPI
- 169.5952
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+484.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $76,000 WNBOR
- 1994-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $601 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…