426 Spring Ln · Silver Springs Shores, FL 34472

$219,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,169 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market

Built 1991 0.41 ac lot Est $181k · 21% over

---

Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +9.1/30.0
• Appreciation +8.0/10.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• DSCR +2.5/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +2.3/10.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0

Listing remarks MLS

BEAUTIFUL LIKE NEW HOME 3/2 SPLIT PLAN, CATHEDRAL CEILING, OPEN FLOOR PLAN, WOOD LAMINATE FLOORS THROUGHOUT, PORCELAIN TILE IN BATHROOMS, BEAUTIFUL GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, MAPLE CABINETS WITH CROWN MOLDING. FRENCH DOORS FROM DINING AREA LEADS YOU TO A LARGE ENCLOSED FLORIDA ROOM OVERLOOKING BEAUTIFUL LANDSCAPED BACKYARD WITH WOOD PRIVACY FENCE. THIS HOME WAS COMPLETELY RENOVATED IN 2010. A MUST SEE.

Key facts

• Oversized lanai
• French doors
• Vinyl fence

Tags

• VINYL FENCE
• OVERSIZED LANAI
• FRENCH DOORS
• CENTRAL AIR
• DIRECT ACCESS TO GARAGE

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Property type: Residential, single family; Zoning: R1; Furnished: Partially
• HOA & community: No HOA; Senior community

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 2-car garage
• Utilities: Private water source (well); Septic tank; Electricity connected; Cable available
• Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces east
• Construction: Cement siding and stucco with insulated concrete forms (ICFs); Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on an oversized lot (~0.41 acre)
• Exterior features: Rear porch; French doors; Vinyl fencing; Landscaped, level and private yard; Paved access

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Laminate
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heat; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Open floor plan; Vaulted ceilings; Free standing fireplace
• Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Gas dryer hookup; Laundry area located in garage

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-171 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $190k (13.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (27.2% below list).
• Recommended offer: $160k (27.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#527 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
• Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Emerald Shores Elementary School (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,797 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 666 students, 74% FRL); Lake Weir Middle School (math 37% / reading 33%, grade F, #416 of 571 statewide, top 74%, 1,207 students, 76% FRL); Lake Weir High School (math 23% / reading 34%, grade F, #458 of 667 statewide, top 69%, 1,483 students, 68% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 683 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $15k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
• Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $125k; list at $220k implies a 76% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $160,097 (27.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.73% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.36%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.33%
• DSCR: 0.85
• GRM: 11.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $181,195
• Comps found: 7

Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
34 Bahia Court Trak	0.29mi	3/2.0	1,211 (+4%)	17mo	$154,979	$128	66
430 Spring Dr	0.10mi	3/2.0	1,015 (-13%)	13mo	$230,000	$227	62
47 Lake Court Loop	0.72mi	3/2.0	1,151 (-2%)	4mo	$140,000	$122	61
9321 Pine Ln	0.26mi	3/1.0	1,217 (+4%)	22mo	$188,750	$155	58
35 Pine Radl	0.63mi	3/2.0	1,091 (-7%)	2mo	$237,000	$217	58
43 Pine Radl	0.58mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,242 (+6%)	4mo	$165,000	$133	54
806 Bahia Cir	0.67mi	3/2.0	1,270 (+9%)	23mo	$261,000	$206	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.93% appreciation · 0.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 11.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.77×
• Total profit: $47,258
• Equity at exit: $137,302

10-year hold

• IRR: 11.6%
• Equity multiple: 3.27×
• Total profit: $139,700
• Equity at exit: $248,186

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34472

• Home prices YoY: 2.4%
• Rents YoY: 0.2%
• Active inventory: 683
• Price-to-rent: 11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,601 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,153
• Tax from tax record: −$191 /mo · $2,292/yr
• Insurance: −$92
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$336
• Net cashflow: $-171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,817

Max offer price $189,692

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-47	-5% $-109	+0% $-171	+5% $-233	+10% $-295
Rent	-10% $-297	-5% $-234	+0% $-171	+5% $-108	+10% $-45
Rate	-1.0pp $-60	-0.5pp $-115	base $-171	+0.5pp $-228	+1.0pp $-286

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $54,975
• Closing costs: $6,597
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 39 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
446 Water Rd Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1248	$1,425	$1.14	23d	1	0.23mi
455 Water Rd Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1275	$1,450	$1.14	15d	1	0.26mi
478 Water Pl Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1228	$1,650	$1.34	23d	1	0.39mi
60 Bahia Court Trak Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1413	$1,695	$1.20	23d	1	0.41mi
9337 Bahia Rd Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1402	$1,765	$1.26	15d	1	0.45mi
12 Spring Loop Ocala, FL	2.0	1.0	900	$1,350	$1.50	15d	1	0.54mi
13 Pine Radial Dr Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1453	$1,795	$1.24	23d	1	0.54mi
9649 Bahia Rd Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1282	$1,595	$1.24	23d	1	0.56mi
54 Pine Trak Unit 104F Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	832	$1,300	$1.56	23d	1	0.71mi
5 Cedar Ln Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1064	$1,750	$1.64	23d	1	0.74mi
58 Pine Trak Unit 104D Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	832	$1,050	$1.26	23d	1	0.74mi
62 Pine Trak Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	832	$1,250	$1.50	23d	1	0.75mi
708 Bahia Cir Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1352	$1,500	$1.11	23d	1	0.88mi
544 Silver Crse Ocala, FL	2.0	1.0	904	$1,395	$1.54	15d	1	0.95mi
7 Pine Run Ter Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1432	$1,500	$1.05	15d	1	1.08mi
633 Silver Pass Unit B Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	1072	$1,500	$1.40	23d	1	1.09mi
593 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL	2.0	1.5	1031	$1,200	$1.16	23d	1	1.09mi
43 Water Track Loop Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1287	$1,799	$1.40	15d	1	1.11mi
549 Fairways Dr Unit A Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	1072	$1,200	$1.12	23d	1	1.14mi
561 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL	2.0	1.5	1031	$1,250	$1.21	23d	1	1.16mi
532 Bahia Cir Unit A Ocala, FL	2.0	1.5	1027	$1,300	$1.27	23d	1	1.17mi
553 Fairways Cir Unit B Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	1304	$1,700	$1.30	15d	1	1.18mi
8 Ash Pass Run Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1128	$1,650	$1.46	23d	1	1.23mi
520 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL	2.0	1.5	1027	$1,100	$1.07	23d	1	1.23mi
582 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	1304	$1,500	$1.15	23d	1	1.24mi
548 Fairways Cir Unit C102 Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	850	$1,400	$1.65	23d	1	1.24mi
510 Fairways Cir Unit A Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	1000	$1,299	$1.30	23d	1	1.25mi
576 Fairways Ln Unit M104 Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	837	$1,250	$1.49	23d	1	1.28mi
162 Bahia Terrace Dr Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	984	$1,375	$1.40	23d	1	1.28mi
2 Ash Dr Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1083	$1,750	$1.62	15d	1	1.28mi
454 Fairways Cir Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	837	$1,200	$1.43	23d	1	1.32mi
454 Fairways Cir Unit B203 Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	850	$1,375	$1.62	23d	1	1.32mi
454 Fairways Cir Unit B204 Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	837	$1,289	$1.54	23d	1	1.32mi
567 Midway Trak Unit H201 Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1029	$1,350	$1.31	15d	1	1.33mi
681 Midway Dr Unit A Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	1000	$1,250	$1.25	15d	1	1.37mi
681 Midway Dr Unit A Ocala, FL	2.0	2.0	1000	$1,250	$1.25	23d	1	1.37mi
7455 Midway Ter Unit K Ocala, FL	2.0	1.0	904	$1,249	$1.38	23d	1	1.40mi
43 Bahia Pass Ocala, FL	3.0	2.0	1188	$1,475	$1.24	23d	1	1.41mi
608 Midway Dr Unit A Ocala, FL	2.0	1.5	1054	$1,500	$1.42	15d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-05-13
   status Pending
2. 2026-05-02
   price $219,900
3. 2026-04-21
   price $224,900
4. 2026-03-19
   listed $249,900 Active
5. 2018-02-05
   soldstatus $125,000
6. 2018-01-31
   soldstatus $125,000 399-char remark

   Show marketing remark (399 chars)

   BEAUTIFUL LIKE NEW HOME 3/2 SPLIT PLAN, CATHEDRAL CEILING, OPEN FLOOR PLAN, WOOD LAMINATE FLOORS THROUGHOUT, PORCELAIN TILE IN BATHROOMS, BEAUTIFUL GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, MAPLE CABINETS WITH CROWN MOLDING. FRENCH DOORS FROM DINING AREA LEADS YOU TO A LARGE ENCLOSED FLORIDA ROOM OVERLOOKING BEAUTIFUL LANDSCAPED BACKYARD WITH WOOD PRIVACY FENCE. THIS HOME WAS COMPLETELY RENOVATED IN 2010. A MUST SEE.

7. 2017-11-08
   listed $138,800 399-char remark

   Show marketing remark (399 chars)

   BEAUTIFUL LIKE NEW HOME 3/2 SPLIT PLAN, CATHEDRAL CEILING, OPEN FLOOR PLAN, WOOD LAMINATE FLOORS THROUGHOUT, PORCELAIN TILE IN BATHROOMS, BEAUTIFUL GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, MAPLE CABINETS WITH CROWN MOLDING. FRENCH DOORS FROM DINING AREA LEADS YOU TO A LARGE ENCLOSED FLORIDA ROOM OVERLOOKING BEAUTIFUL LANDSCAPED BACKYARD WITH WOOD PRIVACY FENCE. THIS HOME WAS COMPLETELY RENOVATED IN 2010. A MUST SEE.

8. 2014-02-14
   soldstatus $72,000
9. 2014-02-10
   soldstatus $72,000 133-char remark

   Show marketing remark (133 chars)

   Like new condition, split bedroom plan, cathedral ceilings, wood floors, large covered patio on back. Wood fence around back of home.

10. 2014-01-03
    listed $79,900 133-char remark

    Show marketing remark (133 chars)

    Like new condition, split bedroom plan, cathedral ceilings, wood floors, large covered patio on back. Wood fence around back of home.

11. 2013-12-17
    soldstatus $43,000
12. 2013-07-15
    listed $45,200
13. 2001-05-15
    soldstatus $57,000
14. 2001-05-15
    soldstatus $57,000
15. 1991-01-01
    soldstatus $11,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,292 · $191/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,292 · $191/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,212
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,318
• − Property taxes: −$2,292
• − Insurance: −$1,100
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,537
• − Management: −$1,537
• − Depreciation: −$6,397
• Taxable loss: −$5,968
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,432
• After-tax cash flow: $-620/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Marion
• NCES district ID: 1201260
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $40,015
• Composite: 35.61/100
• National rank: #4890
• State rank: #61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Silver Springs Shores

• Score: 68/100
• State rank: #527
• US rank: #9854

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Silver Springs Shores, FL
• County: Marion County · 315,796 people
• City population: 34,665
• Metro: Ocala, FL
• Population (ZIP): 35,851
• Household income: $64,208
• Rent vs Own: 19.9% rent · 80.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 655.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 365,905 people
• By 2030: 376,768 · +3.0%
• By 2040: 396,555 · +8.4%
• By 2050: 412,723 · +12.8%
• By 2075: 446,090 · +21.9%
• By 2100: 436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
• Race & ethnicity: White 50% Hispanic / Latino 25% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Cuban 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
• Languages at home: 78% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 5.93%
• Current HPI: 255.0714
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.17%
• Metro: Ocala, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+1899.1% since first listed

15 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-13 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-05-02 Price Changed $219,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-21 Price Changed $224,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-19 Listed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2018-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
• 2018-01-31 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2017-11-08 Listed $138,800 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2014-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
• 2014-02-10 Sold (MLS) $72,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2014-01-03 Listed $79,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2013-12-17 Sold (MLS) $43,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2013-07-15 Listed $45,200 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2001-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
• 2001-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
• 1991-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,292 · +12.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.