4723 Castle Rose · San Antonio, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +1.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3-bed, 1-bath home offering the perfect mix of cozy comfort and outdoor freedom! This move-in-ready property features new flooring and fresh paint throughout. Enjoy the flexibility of NO HOA restrictions-make this space truly your own. Perfectly located near Randolph AFB and Fort Sam Houston with convenient access to major interstates. Whether you're looking for a personal home or a turnkey investment, this one is ready for you.
Key facts
- Near randolph afb
- Fresh paint
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Down payment resources not indicated
- HOA & community: Subdivision: EAST VILLAGE; Subdivision legal name: EAST VILLAGE JD/NE
Exterior
- Utilities: Gas supplied by CPS; Electricity supplied by CPS; Water supplied by SAWS; Sewer supplied by SAWS; Garbage service by SAWS
- Home design: Pre-owned property; Approximate age: 55 years
- Construction: Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Brick and wood exterior; Water and sewer system services
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove/Range; Kitchen approx. 9 x 8
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on lower level (12 x 11); Bedroom 2 (12 x 9); Bedroom 3 (9 x 9)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Washer and dryer connections; Stove/Range included; Living/Dining room combination; All window coverings remain; One living area
- Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $56 ($677/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.8% in San Antonio — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#31 in TX, #1,616 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Judson ISD (suburban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #660 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Park Village El (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #4,021 of 4,322 statewide, top 94%, 441 students, 88% FRL); Kirby Middle (math 11% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,520 of 1,662 statewide, top 92%, 683 students, 94% FRL); Karen Wagner H S (math 12% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,389 of 1,632 statewide, top 86%, 2,366 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 57% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.6%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $895 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.87%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,620
- List price
- $129,500
- Delta
- -26.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4806 Castle Brg | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-1%) | 15mo | $185,000 | $206 | 71 |
| 4818 Castle Inn | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-5%) | 12mo | $179,500 | $208 | 69 |
| 6022 Castle Vw | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (-5%) | 20mo | $170,000 | $197 | 64 |
| 5878 Midcrown Dr | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 896 (-2%) | 17mo | $139,995 | $156 | 57 |
| 5806 Castle Yard | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 984 (+8%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $132 | 46 |
| 5814 Castle Lk | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 998 (+9%) | 12mo | $178,500 | $179 | 44 |
| 7006 Cozy Run | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,023 (+12%) | 22mo | $185,000 | $181 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-21,321
- Equity at exit
- $19,309
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-29,108
- Equity at exit
- $11,197
Cash invested: $36,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78218
- Home prices YoY
- -16.1%
- Rents YoY
- -5.6%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,377 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$679
- Tax from tax record
- −$298 /mo · $3,579/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $56
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $130 | -5% $93 | +0% $56 | +5% $20 | +10% $-17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-52 | -5% $2 | +0% $56 | +5% $111 | +10% $165 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $122 | -0.5pp $89 | base $56 | +0.5pp $23 | +1.0pp $-11 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,375
- Closing costs
- $3,885
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4839 Castle Strm San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $1,300 | $1.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 7027 Farm-To-Market Road 78 Unit 9204 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 954 | $1,780 | $1.87 | 6d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7027 Farm to Market Road 78 Unit 14203 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 881 | $1,580 | $1.79 | 4d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7027 Farm to Market Road 78 Unit 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 881 | $1,115 | $1.27 | 0d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7027 FM 78 San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 868 | $2,351 | $2.71 | 22d | 10 | 0.95mi |
| 7526 Windsor Oaks Unit 7526 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $900 | $1.23 | 9d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7107 Winding Shelf San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1016 | $1,408 | $1.39 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4843 Castle Shield San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,350 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 7548 Windsor Oaks Unit 7548 San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5415 N Foster Rd San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 966 | $1,655 | $1.71 | 0d | 23 | 1.06mi |
| 7571 Windsor Oaks San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $695 | $0.93 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 7651 Oak Chase San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1034 | $1,695 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5613 Lochmoor #2 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5613 Lochmoor #2 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 45d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 5609 Lochmoor Unit 1 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $825 | $1.03 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5607 Lochmoor Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $875 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 7018 Elmbank San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,200 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 7027 Farm To Market RD San Antonio, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 868 | $1,599 | $1.84 | 0d | 31 | 1.19mi |
| 5529 Lochmoor Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $875 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 7017 Silver Cyn Unit 7017-SC San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1055 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4830 Ray Bon Dr Unit 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,158 | $1.36 | 0d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5527 Lochmoor Unit 2 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $875 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5528 Lochmoor San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 987 | $1,775 | $1.80 | 4d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5414 Midcrown Dr Unit 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 998 | $1,031 | $1.03 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 4807 Georges Farm San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5507 Roanwood San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 0d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 7812 Broadwick San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,075 | $1.22 | 19d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5100 Eisenhauer Rd Unit 710 San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1088 | $1,196 | $1.10 | 0d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 5819 Woodhill San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1015 | $1,300 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 4711 Gavlick Farm San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,250 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 7603 Glen Vis San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,200 | $1.22 | 9d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4411 Mystic Sunrise Dr San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $2,000 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5143 Village Lawn San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,450 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 7643 Glen Shire San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 868 | $1,475 | $1.70 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 7323 Golf Vista Blvd San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 7614 Glen Hurst San Antonio, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 5954 Summer Fest Dr San Antonio, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 919 | $1,300 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $129,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $129,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $129,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $129,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-04-20$129,500 New 440-char remark
-
2026-04-17$1,400
-
2026-04-16historical $1,400
-
2026-04-16historical
-
2026-02-11$139,500 New
-
2025-12-31historical
-
2025-12-06$1,400
-
2025-12-06historical $1,500
-
2025-12-05price $149,000
-
2025-11-12$1,500
-
2025-08-16price $159,000
-
2025-06-26price $168,000
-
2025-04-18$169,500 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,579 · $298/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,579 · $298/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,522
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,254
- − Property taxes
- −$3,579
- − Insurance
- −$648
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,322
- − Management
- −$1,322
- − Depreciation
- −$3,767
- Taxable loss
- −$1,369
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$329
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,006/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Judson ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824990
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,542
- Composite
- 24.39/100
- National rank
- #7689
- State rank
- #660 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Antonio
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #1616
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Antonio, TX
- County
- Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
- City population
- 1,806,925
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,428
- Household income
- $57,285
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2508.0
Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,336,851 people
- By 2030
- 2,560,728 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 3,020,569 · +29.3%
- By 2050
- 3,493,522 · +49.5%
- By 2075
- 4,668,459 · +99.8%
- By 2100
- 5,533,242 · +136.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% Two or more races 26% White 25% Black 14% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 41% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 34% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bexar
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.17%
- Current HPI
- 271.2807
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -5.56%
- Metro
- San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
||
Price history
-23.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $129,500 LERA
- 2026-04-17 Listed for Rent $1,400 RENTEC
- 2026-04-16 Rental Removed $1,400 SABOR
- 2026-04-16 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2026-02-11 Listed $139,500 LERA
- 2025-12-31 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2025-12-06 Listed for Rent $1,400 SABOR
- 2025-12-06 Rental Removed $1,500 RENTEC
- 2025-12-05 Price Changed $149,000 LERA
- 2025-11-12 Listed for Rent $1,500 RENTEC
- 2025-08-16 Price Changed $159,000 LERA
- 2025-06-26 Price Changed $168,000 LERA
- 2025-04-18 Listed $169,500 LERA
Property tax history
+14.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,579 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…