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15393 Bellamar Cir
C- Composite 53.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

15393 Bellamar Cir · Iona, FL 33908
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,043 sqft · SingleFamily · 16 Days on market
Built 2004 Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Immaculate 2nd floor corner unit condo is looking for a new owner!! This pet friendly & amp; centrally located gated community is Walking distance to shopping, restaurants and less than 5 miles to Sanibel Island & amp; Fort Myers Beach. HOA fees are $563 a month and allows owners to lease 12 times a year with a 30 day minimum making this neighborhood great for a 2nd home or rental/investment property. This cute, clean, and cozy condo has been well kept and has an open floor plan. A/C & amp; Water heater were replaced in 2016. 2025 appliances and new floors! Amenities include a community pool & amp; Spa and a fitness center.

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Fitness center
  • Community pool

Tags

CENTRALLY LOCATEDGATED COMMUNITYWALKING DISTANCE TO SHOPPINGCOMMUNITY POOLFITNESS CENTER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $207k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.1% in Iona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#359 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Heights Elementary School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade A-, #333 of 2,144 statewide, top 16%, 1,109 students, 38% FRL); Lexington Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 1,138 students, 44% FRL); South Fort Myers High School (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #489 of 667 statewide, top 74%, 1,917 students, 50% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 1251 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $206,850 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
7.90%
Cash-on-cash
5.72%
DSCR
1.25
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.0%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-26,750
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
-9.8%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-30,270
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33908

Home prices YoY
-32.8%
Rents YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
1251
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,192 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax est. 1.5%
$262 /mo · $3,150/yr
Insurance
$88
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,921
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $359 -5% $287 +0% $214 +5% $141 +10% $69
Rent -10% $41 -5% $127 +0% $214 +5% $301 +10% $387
Rate -1.0pp $320 -0.5pp $267 base $214 +0.5pp $160 +1.0pp $104

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15401 Bellamar Cir #621 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,700 $1.63 13d 1 0.03mi
15385 Bellamar Cir #413 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1043 $1,600 $1.53 25d 1 0.04mi
15417 Bellamar Cir #823 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1043 $1,650 $1.58 23d 1 0.07mi
15417 Bellamar Cir #823 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1043 $1,650 $1.58 25d 1 0.07mi
15430 Bellamar Cir #3023 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1043 $3,500 $3.36 5d 1 0.12mi
15430 Bellamar Cir Unit 1546283P Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1033 $1,873 $1.81 16d 1 0.12mi
15430 Bellamar Cir Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1043 $2,400 $2.30 17d 2 0.12mi
15270 Ballast Point Dr Fort Myers, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1094 $2,003 $1.83 3d 20 0.13mi
15433 Bellamar Cir Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1021 $2,575 $2.52 25d 2 0.13mi
15449 Bellamar Cir #1225 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1043 $1,700 $1.63 15d 1 0.18mi
10770 Clear Lake Loop Fort Myers, FL 2.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1108 $1,680 $1.52 25d 14 0.26mi
11400 Ocean Walk Ln Fort Myers, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 856 $1,500 $1.75 5d 2 0.27mi
15625 Ocean Walk Cir #103 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1287 $1,450 $1.13 23d 1 0.29mi
15655 Ocean Walk Cir Fort Myers, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 856 $3,200 $3.74 16d 2 0.33mi
10743 Robinson St Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1216 $2,000 $1.64 25d 1 0.35mi
14967 Rivers Edge Ct Unit B2 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1166 $1,700 $1.46 5d 1 0.36mi
11271 Jacana Ct #1706 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1487 $4,500 $3.03 25d 1 0.39mi
15645 Ocean Walk Cir Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1287 $3,699 $2.87 4d 2 0.40mi
15645 Ocean Walk Cir Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1227 $2,774 $2.26 5d 3 0.40mi
14971 Rivers Edge Ct #101 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1273 $2,000 $1.57 25d 1 0.40mi
15037 Tamarind Cay Ct #1503 Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1487 $2,000 $1.34 25d 1 0.43mi
14977 Rivers Edge Ct #219 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1128 $1,599 $1.42 25d 1 0.45mi
15091 Tamarind Cay Ct #907 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1487 $5,000 $3.36 25d 1 0.49mi
14873 Crescent Cove Dr Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1134 $3,500 $3.09 25d 1 0.53mi
11651 Pointe Cir Unit 1546272P Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1367 $1,249 $0.91 17d 1 0.60mi
603 McGregor Park Cir Fort Myers, FL 3.0 3.0 1345 $2,250 $1.67 25d 1 0.63mi
15773 Beachcomber Ave Unit 1264830P Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1496 $3,133 $2.09 15d 1 0.63mi
11093 Kelly Rd Fort Myers, FL 2.0 1.0 830 $2,000 $2.41 23d 1 0.65mi
7199 Blanquilla Ct Unit 1545910P Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1345 $2,341 $1.74 17d 1 0.69mi
7171 Drake Dr Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1346 $2,350 $1.75 25d 1 0.78mi
5421 Peppertree Dr Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 25d 1 0.78mi
7105 Quail Run Ct W #1 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1124 $1,750 $1.56 25d 1 0.79mi
7113 Quail Run Ct W Unit W9 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1028 $1,795 $1.75 25d 1 0.80mi
15514 Kapok Ct Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 900 $1,850 $2.06 25d 1 0.86mi
11921 Seabreeze Cove Ln #208 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1455 $4,399 $3.02 5d 1 0.89mi
5479 Peppertree Dr Unit E13 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 964 $1,950 $2.02 25d 1 0.91mi
16001 Amberwood Lake Ct #1 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.5 1060 $2,100 $1.98 25d 1 0.91mi
11601 Navarro Way #2102 Fort Myers, FL 2.0 2.0 1378 $4,500 $3.27 25d 1 0.93mi
11701 Pasetto Ln Unit 1049715P Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1496 $2,960 $1.98 23d 1 0.96mi
14320 Harbour Links Ct Unit 10A Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.0 1498 $5,000 $3.34 13d 1 0.98mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $210,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $210,000 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $210,000 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $210,000 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $210,000 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    remarks 631-char remark
  8. 2026-06-07
    listed $210,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,304
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$3,150
− Insurance
−$1,847
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,104
− Management
−$2,104
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable loss
−$774
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$186
After-tax cash flow
$2,754/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained single-family home in a gated community is ready for a new owner. It features a good condition roof, exterior, and interior, with minimal maintenance required. Painting the exterior and improving landscaping would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and rental value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and rental value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Iona

Score
72/100
State rank
#359
US rank
#6253

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Iona, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
37,423
Household income
$75,396
Rent vs Own
28.3% rent · 71.7% own
Severe rent burden
1944.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.22%
Current HPI
209.7595
Rent YoY
▼ -1.18%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $210,000 FSBO.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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