15393 Bellamar Cir · Iona, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Immaculate 2nd floor corner unit condo is looking for a new owner!! This pet friendly & amp; centrally located gated community is Walking distance to shopping, restaurants and less than 5 miles to Sanibel Island & amp; Fort Myers Beach. HOA fees are $563 a month and allows owners to lease 12 times a year with a 30 day minimum making this neighborhood great for a 2nd home or rental/investment property. This cute, clean, and cozy condo has been well kept and has an open floor plan. A/C & amp; Water heater were replaced in 2016. 2025 appliances and new floors! Amenities include a community pool & amp; Spa and a fitness center.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Fitness center
- Community pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $210k).
- Recommended offer: $207k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 2.1% in Iona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#359 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Heights Elementary School (math 74% / reading 67%, grade A-, #333 of 2,144 statewide, top 16%, 1,109 students, 38% FRL); Lexington Middle School (math 55% / reading 54%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 1,138 students, 44% FRL); South Fort Myers High School (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #489 of 667 statewide, top 74%, 1,917 students, 50% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 1251 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.72%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-26,750
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-30,270
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33908
- Home prices YoY
- -32.8%
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 1251
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,192 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$262 /mo · $3,150/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $214
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $359 | -5% $287 | +0% $214 | +5% $141 | +10% $69 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $41 | -5% $127 | +0% $214 | +5% $301 | +10% $387 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $320 | -0.5pp $267 | base $214 | +0.5pp $160 | +1.0pp $104 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15401 Bellamar Cir #621 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,700 | $1.63 | 13d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 15385 Bellamar Cir #413 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1043 | $1,600 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 15417 Bellamar Cir #823 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1043 | $1,650 | $1.58 | 23d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 15417 Bellamar Cir #823 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1043 | $1,650 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 15430 Bellamar Cir #3023 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1043 | $3,500 | $3.36 | 5d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 15430 Bellamar Cir Unit 1546283P Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1033 | $1,873 | $1.81 | 16d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 15430 Bellamar Cir Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1043 | $2,400 | $2.30 | 17d | 2 | 0.12mi |
| 15270 Ballast Point Dr Fort Myers, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1094 | $2,003 | $1.83 | 3d | 20 | 0.13mi |
| 15433 Bellamar Cir Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1021 | $2,575 | $2.52 | 25d | 2 | 0.13mi |
| 15449 Bellamar Cir #1225 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1043 | $1,700 | $1.63 | 15d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 10770 Clear Lake Loop Fort Myers, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1108 | $1,680 | $1.52 | 25d | 14 | 0.26mi |
| 11400 Ocean Walk Ln Fort Myers, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 856 | $1,500 | $1.75 | 5d | 2 | 0.27mi |
| 15625 Ocean Walk Cir #103 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1287 | $1,450 | $1.13 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 15655 Ocean Walk Cir Fort Myers, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 856 | $3,200 | $3.74 | 16d | 2 | 0.33mi |
| 10743 Robinson St Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 14967 Rivers Edge Ct Unit B2 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1166 | $1,700 | $1.46 | 5d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 11271 Jacana Ct #1706 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $4,500 | $3.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 15645 Ocean Walk Cir Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1287 | $3,699 | $2.87 | 4d | 2 | 0.40mi |
| 15645 Ocean Walk Cir Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1227 | $2,774 | $2.26 | 5d | 3 | 0.40mi |
| 14971 Rivers Edge Ct #101 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $2,000 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 15037 Tamarind Cay Ct #1503 Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $2,000 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 14977 Rivers Edge Ct #219 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1128 | $1,599 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 15091 Tamarind Cay Ct #907 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $5,000 | $3.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 14873 Crescent Cove Dr Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $3,500 | $3.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 11651 Pointe Cir Unit 1546272P Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1367 | $1,249 | $0.91 | 17d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 603 McGregor Park Cir Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1345 | $2,250 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 15773 Beachcomber Ave Unit 1264830P Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,133 | $2.09 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 11093 Kelly Rd Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $2,000 | $2.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 7199 Blanquilla Ct Unit 1545910P Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1345 | $2,341 | $1.74 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 7171 Drake Dr Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1346 | $2,350 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 5421 Peppertree Dr Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7105 Quail Run Ct W #1 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $1,750 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 7113 Quail Run Ct W Unit W9 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $1,795 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 15514 Kapok Ct Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 11921 Seabreeze Cove Ln #208 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $4,399 | $3.02 | 5d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5479 Peppertree Dr Unit E13 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 964 | $1,950 | $2.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 16001 Amberwood Lake Ct #1 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1060 | $2,100 | $1.98 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 11601 Navarro Way #2102 Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $4,500 | $3.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 11701 Pasetto Ln Unit 1049715P Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $2,960 | $1.98 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 14320 Harbour Links Ct Unit 10A Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $5,000 | $3.34 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $210,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $210,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 631-char remark
-
2026-06-07$210,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,304
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$3,150
- − Insurance
- −$1,847
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,104
- − Management
- −$2,104
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$774
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$186
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,754/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This well-maintained single-family home in a gated community is ready for a new owner. It features a good condition roof, exterior, and interior, with minimal maintenance required. Painting the exterior and improving landscaping would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and rental value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and rental value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — Iona
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #359
- US rank
- #6253
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Iona, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,423
- Household income
- $75,396
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1944.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.22%
- Current HPI
- 209.7595
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.18%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $210,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…