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17 Carriagebrook Cir
D- Composite 38.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.6/15.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

17 Carriagebrook Cir · Camden, SC 29020
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,264 sqft · SingleFamily · 20 Days on market
Built 2021 8,712 sqft lot Est $294k · at est. $29/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

5 bedrooms / 3 bathrooms - The Bentgrass B by GSH HOA Includes: Common Areas

Key facts

  • Big island
  • Dual sinks
  • Separate tub

Tags

FENCED BACKYARDLARGE KITCHENBIG ISLANDWALK-IN CLOSETDUAL SINKSSEPARATE TUB

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $350 (covers grounds maintenance)

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; House
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built with residential construction materials
  • Exterior features: Patio; Wood fencing; Landscaped yard; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher; Exhaust fan; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Blinds; Gas fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $7 ($80/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (21.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $236k (21.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.8% in Camden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#218 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Kershaw 01 (rural): math 38% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #25 of 80 in SC (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Pine Tree Hill Elementary (math 40% / reading 51%, grade D-, #221 of 597 statewide, top 37%, 501 students, 73% FRL); Camden Middle (math 30% / reading 43%, grade F, #98 of 229 statewide, top 43%, 828 students, 100% FRL); Camden High (math 37% / reading 77%, grade C, #120 of 196 statewide, top 64%, 1,124 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 49% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 239 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 491 units permitted in Kershaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kershaw County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $220k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $236,500 (21.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.32%
Cash-on-cash
0.10%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$294,320
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 Carriagebrook Cir 0.12mi 5/3.0 2,245 (-1%) 1mo $300,000 $134 93
22 Shoal Ct 0.38mi 5/3.0 2,264 (0%) 8mo $343,000 $152 76
62 Carriagebrook Cir 0.14mi 5/3.0 2,245 (-1%) 20mo $269,900 $120 76
45 Rapid Run Rd 0.29mi 4/2.5 (-1) 2,248 (-1%) 23mo $293,000 $130 59
253 & 253a Rush Ln 0.54mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,290 (+1%) 8mo $184,000 $80 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.2%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-48,282
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
-7.9%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-41,880
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29020

Home prices YoY
-29.7%
Active inventory
239
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,365 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$134 /mo · $1,613/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$29
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$497
Net cashflow
$7

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,357
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $176 -5% $92 +0% $7 +5% $-78 +10% $-163
Rent -10% $-180 -5% $-87 +0% $7 +5% $100 +10% $194
Rate -1.0pp $158 -0.5pp $83 base $7 +0.5pp $-71 +1.0pp $-150

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
252 W Rapid Run Camden, SC 5.0 3.0 2225 $2,365 $1.06 25d 1 0.72mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$29 · $348/yr

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $300,000 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $300,000 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $300,000 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $300,000 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $300,000 Active 14 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $300,000 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $300,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $300,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $300,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $300,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $300,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $300,000 Active 2 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    remarks 687-char remark
  14. 2026-06-02
    listed $300,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,613 · $134/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,710 · $142/mo
Expected delta
+$97/yr (+$8/mo · 6.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,380
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$1,613
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,270
− Management
−$2,270
− HOA
−$348
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$5,154
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,237
After-tax cash flow
$1,317/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kershaw 01
NCES district ID
4502550
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$44,585
Composite
37.66/100
National rank
#4371
State rank
#25 of 80 in SC

Livability — Camden

Score
61/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#18355

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Camden, SC
Population (ZIP)
22,868

Population outlook (Kershaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
67,683 people
By 2030
69,374 · +2.5%
By 2040
71,936 · +6.3%
By 2050
73,292 · +8.3%
By 2075
75,762 · +11.9%
By 2100
72,620 · +7.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Kershaw

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.2) · D 35.3% · R 63.5% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-9.5pp toward R · 2008: -18.7pp · 2024: -28.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.2 2020: R+23.1 2016: R+24.8 2012: R+18.6 2008: R+18.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -95.81%
Current HPI
227.0389
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.5% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Listed $300,000 SBOR
  • 2021-07-07 Sold (MLS) $219,800 SBOR
  • 2021-04-18 Delisted Consolidated MLS
  • 2021-02-12 Listed $219,800 Consolidated MLS

Property tax history

+71.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,613 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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