🏷️ Likely Rental
128 Church St · Hamden, CT
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +8.1/30.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +2.5/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- DSCR +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
Incredible Investment opportunity to purchase a single family in need of rehab and a 2000 SQ FT single story commercial building in Hamden with excellent long-term tenant. The single-family home features 4 bedrooms, 1.5 baths and 1680 SQ FT of living space. The main level of the home features a formal living room with hardwood floors & fireplace, large eat in kitchen and two spacious bedrooms with full bath. The second level of the home features two additional bedrooms and a half bath. The home has a large basement with finishing potential. The rear building features a 2000 SQ FT one story commercial space rented to a long term and well-established tenant. The space is in good conditi
Key facts
- Single family
- Large eat in kitchen
- Large basement
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Paved driveway parking; 4 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Electric power (assumed standard service)
- Home design: Multi-family 2-family property
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete and stone foundation; Asphalt shingle and flat roof; Vinyl and aluminum siding
- Exterior features: Level lot; Gutters; Exterior lighting; Private paved driveway
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 2 half baths
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Radiator heating; Oil-fired heat; fuel tank located in basement; Hot water: other
- Interior features: 9 total rooms; Full basement; Attic with crawl space and hatch access
- Laundry & utility: Laundry hookups in basement; Some units include washer/dryer; Unit 1 has hook-up
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $325k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-322 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $278k (14.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (25.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $244k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hamden School District (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #106 of 153 in CT (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hamden High School (math 21% / reading 44%, grade F, #125 of 194 statewide, top 66%, 1,672 students, 39% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.75% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.24%
- DSCR
- 0.81
- GRM
- 11.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $454,206
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Bradley Ave | 0.37mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 3,283 (-12%) | 15mo | $475,000 | $145 | 41 |
| 52 Collins St | 0.28mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 3,271 (-12%) | 22mo | $400,000 | $122 | 39 |
| 28 3rd St | 0.72mi | 4/4.0 | 3,861 (+4%) | 21mo | $450,000 | $117 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-69,101
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-69,396
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06514
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 107
- Price-to-rent
- 11.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,436 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$406 /mo · $4,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$512
- Net cashflow
- $-322
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-97 | -5% $-209 | +0% $-322 | +5% $-434 | +10% $-546 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-514 | -5% $-418 | +0% $-322 | +5% $-225 | +10% $-129 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-158 | -0.5pp $-239 | base $-322 | +0.5pp $-406 | +1.0pp $-491 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1428 Dixwell Ave Fl 2 Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3096 | $2,100 | $0.68 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 327 Augur St Unit 3 Hamden, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3036 | $1,800 | $0.59 | 3d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1546 Whitney Ave Hamden, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2491 | $3,400 | $1.36 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 918 Winchester Ave Unit 2 New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3603 | $1,900 | $0.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 106 Butler St New Haven, CT | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3045 | $2,600 | $0.85 | 15d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 322 Bassett St Unit 2 New Haven, CT | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2936 | $1,900 | $0.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 8 events
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2026-06-18days on market $325,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $325,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $325,000 Active 7 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $325,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $325,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $325,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-09remarks 695-char remark
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2026-06-09$325,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,231
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$4,875
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,339
- − Management
- −$2,339
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable loss
- −$9,605
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,305
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,554/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires extensive renovations, including kitchen and bathroom updates, exterior repairs, and landscaping. The investment opportunity presents a significant potential for value appreciation.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exposed plumbing — Visible damage
- Major Exposed cabinets — No doors or shelves
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and property value
- Both Kitchen and bathroom renovations — Updates outdated spaces and increases value
- Both Exterior painting and repairs — Enhances curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exposed plumbing · Visible damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exposed cabinets · No doors or shelves | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $30,000–100,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and property value ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom renovations — Updates outdated spaces and increases value ↑
- Both Exterior painting and repairs — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hamden School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901860
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,821
- Composite
- 33.34/100
- National rank
- #5490
- State rank
- #106 of 153 in CT
Livability — Hamden
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- New Haven County · 688,236 people
- City population
- 61,150
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,803
- Household income
- $88,900
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1228.0
Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 608,362
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% German 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 10% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -222.59%
- Current HPI
- 251.556
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.61%
- Metro
- New Haven-Milford, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $325,000 Smart MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…