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128 Church St 🏷️ Likely Rental
D- Composite 39.42
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$325,000

128 Church St · Hamden, CT 06514
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 3,723 sqft · MultiFamily · 9 Days on market
Built 1925 Fair condition 9,583 sqft lot Est $454k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks

Incredible Investment opportunity to purchase a single family in need of rehab and a 2000 SQ FT single story commercial building in Hamden with excellent long-term tenant. The single-family home features 4 bedrooms, 1.5 baths and 1680 SQ FT of living space. The main level of the home features a formal living room with hardwood floors & fireplace, large eat in kitchen and two spacious bedrooms with full bath. The second level of the home features two additional bedrooms and a half bath. The home has a large basement with finishing potential. The rear building features a 2000 SQ FT one story commercial space rented to a long term and well-established tenant. The space is in good conditi

Key facts

  • Single family
  • Large eat in kitchen
  • Large basement

Tags

SINGLE FAMILYFORMAL LIVING ROOMHARDWOOD FLOORSLARGE EAT IN KITCHENSPACIOUS BEDROOMSLARGE BASEMENT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved driveway parking; 4 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Electric power (assumed standard service)
  • Home design: Multi-family 2-family property
  • Construction: Frame construction; Concrete and stone foundation; Asphalt shingle and flat roof; Vinyl and aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Gutters; Exterior lighting; Private paved driveway

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 2 half baths
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Radiator heating; Oil-fired heat; fuel tank located in basement; Hot water: other
  • Interior features: 9 total rooms; Full basement; Attic with crawl space and hatch access
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry hookups in basement; Some units include washer/dryer; Unit 1 has hook-up

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $325,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$454,206) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $325k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-322 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $278k (14.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $244k (25.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $244k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Hamden School District (suburban): math 30% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #106 of 153 in CT (top 69%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hamden High School (math 21% / reading 44%, grade F, #125 of 194 statewide, top 66%, 1,672 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 107 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,059 units permitted in South Central Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (779 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $243,594 (25.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.11%
Cash-on-cash
-4.24%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$454,206
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
34 Bradley Ave 0.37mi 5/3.0 (+1) 3,283 (-12%) 15mo $475,000 $145 41
52 Collins St 0.28mi 5/3.0 (+1) 3,271 (-12%) 22mo $400,000 $122 39
28 3rd St 0.72mi 4/4.0 3,861 (+4%) 21mo $450,000 $117 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.7%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-69,101
Equity at exit
$48,459
10-year hold
IRR
-12.0%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-69,396
Equity at exit
$28,100

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06514

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
107
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,436 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax est. 1.5%
$406 /mo · $4,875/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$512
Net cashflow
$-322

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,843
Max offer price $278,464
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-97 -5% $-209 +0% $-322 +5% $-434 +10% $-546
Rent -10% $-514 -5% $-418 +0% $-322 +5% $-225 +10% $-129
Rate -1.0pp $-158 -0.5pp $-239 base $-322 +0.5pp $-406 +1.0pp $-491

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1428 Dixwell Ave Fl 2 Hamden, CT 3.0 1.0 3096 $2,100 $0.68 44d 1 0.24mi
327 Augur St Unit 3 Hamden, CT 3.0 1.0 3036 $1,800 $0.59 3d 1 0.95mi
1546 Whitney Ave Hamden, CT 4.0 2.0 2491 $3,400 $1.36 44d 1 1.22mi
918 Winchester Ave Unit 2 New Haven, CT 3.0 1.0 3603 $1,900 $0.53 44d 1 1.45mi
106 Butler St New Haven, CT 4.0 2.0 3045 $2,600 $0.85 15d 1 1.48mi
322 Bassett St Unit 2 New Haven, CT 3.0 1.0 2936 $1,900 $0.65 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $325,000 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $325,000 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $325,000 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $325,000 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $325,000 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $325,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    remarks 695-char remark
  8. 2026-06-09
    listed $325,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,231
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$4,875
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,339
− Management
−$2,339
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$9,605
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,305
After-tax cash flow
$-1,554/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive renovations, including kitchen and bathroom updates, exterior repairs, and landscaping. The investment opportunity presents a significant potential for value appreciation.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exposed plumbing — Visible damage
  • Major Exposed cabinets — No doors or shelves

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and property value
  • Both Kitchen and bathroom renovations — Updates outdated spaces and increases value
  • Both Exterior painting and repairs — Enhances curb appeal and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exposed plumbing · Visible damage Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed cabinets · No doors or shelves Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $30,000–100,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and property value
  • Both Kitchen and bathroom renovations — Updates outdated spaces and increases value
  • Both Exterior painting and repairs — Enhances curb appeal and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamden School District
NCES district ID
0901860
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$68,821
Composite
33.34/100
National rank
#5490
State rank
#106 of 153 in CT

Livability — Hamden

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
New Haven County · 688,236 people
City population
61,150
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
Population (ZIP)
26,803
Household income
$88,900
Rent vs Own
38.7% rent · 61.3% own
Severe rent burden
1228.0

Population outlook (South Central Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
608,362

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 43% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 7% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% German 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 10% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · South Central Connecticut

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.1) · D 59.0% · R 38.9% · Other 2.1%
All cycles
2024: D+20.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -222.59%
Current HPI
251.556
Rent YoY
▲ 4.61%
Metro
New Haven-Milford, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $325,000 Smart MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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