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4020 34th St SW
D- Composite 36.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.0/30.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.3/10.0

$348,900

4020 34th St SW · Lehigh Acres, FL 33976
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,696 sqft · Land · 101 Days on market
Built 2026 0.25 ac lot ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move in ready private lot by the canal! Welcome to your dream home, stunning brand-new single-family home, offering the perfect blend of modern luxury and comfortable living. Boasting 4 spacious bedrooms, 2 bathrooms. including elegant tile floors, impact-resistant windows and 10 feet high ceilings as the new model version. The kitchen features premium materials and opens seamlessly to the living room and dining area, perfect for entertaining. A spacious owners suite with a large walk-in closet and an in-suite bathroom with two separated vanities with a glass enclosed walk-in shower. Stunning quartz countertops with backsplash, a large center island and true gourmet kitchen with, featuring

Key facts

  • Private lot
  • Large walk-in closet
  • Premium materials

Tags

PRIVATE LOTIMPACT-RESISTANT WINDOWS10 FEET HIGH CEILINGSPREMIUM MATERIALSSPACIOUS OWNERS SUITELARGE WALK-IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is rectangular and on a dead-end, public maintained paved road; Lot dimensions approx. 80 x 137 x 80 x 137 (survey/plans); Irrigation supplied by well
  • Financial info: Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: Non-gated community; No association fee

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Driveway; Paved parking; Garage door opener; 2 covered parking spaces
  • Security: Door man; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable available
  • Home design: Single-story; New construction; Entry level 1; Faces south
  • Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof; New construction
  • Exterior features: Patio (open); Porch; Sprinkler/irrigation system (automatic); Security/high impact doors; Has a view; North exposure

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Freezer; Disposal; Water purifier
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom; Additional bedroom
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Dual sinks in at least one bath; Separate shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Built-in features; Cathedral ceilings; Dual sinks; Family/dining room; Living/dining room; Custom mirrors; Shower only with separate shower; Cable TV; Walk-in closets; Split bedroom floor plan; Impact glass windows; Unfurnished; Tile flooring
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Inside laundry; Laundry tub; Utility room; Garage

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $349k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-669 ($-8k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $252k (27.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (36.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (36.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Veterans Park Academy For The Arts (math 41% / reading 45%, grade F, #1,366 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 2,133 students, 36% FRL); Oak Hammock Middle School (math 43% / reading 41%, grade D-, #340 of 571 statewide, top 61%, 1,563 students, 56% FRL); Lehigh Senior High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #394 of 667 statewide, top 60%, 2,476 students, 57% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 788 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $37k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $35k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$60k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($317k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→32/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $220,494 (36.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
3.99%
Cash-on-cash
-8.22%
DSCR
0.63
GRM
13.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.8%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$140,966
Equity at exit
$314,317
10-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
5.47×
Total profit
$437,138
Equity at exit
$677,836

Cash invested: $97,692 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33976

Home prices YoY
6.8%
Rents YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
788
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,205 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,830
Tax est. 1.5%
$436 /mo · $5,234/yr
Insurance
$145
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$463
Net cashflow
$-669

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,052
Max offer price $252,057
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-428 -5% $-549 +0% $-669 +5% $-790 +10% $-910
Rent -10% $-843 -5% $-756 +0% $-669 +5% $-582 +10% $-495
Rate -1.0pp $-494 -0.5pp $-581 base $-669 +0.5pp $-760 +1.0pp $-852

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,225
Closing costs
$10,467
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4101 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1698 $2,200 $1.30 16d 1 0.04mi
4020 36th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1354 $2,050 $1.51 25d 1 0.11mi
4021 28th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1529 $1,800 $1.18 25d 1 0.33mi
3809 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 2133 $1,745 $0.82 25d 1 0.45mi
3807 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 2133 $1,745 $0.82 25d 1 0.46mi
3805 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 2133 $1,745 $0.82 25d 1 0.48mi
3803 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 2133 $1,745 $0.82 25d 1 0.49mi
3802 35th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1269 $1,640 $1.29 25d 1 0.50mi
3801 33rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 2133 $1,745 $0.82 25d 1 0.51mi
2904 Wanda Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1501 $1,900 $1.27 25d 1 0.62mi
4203 23rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,850 $1.01 21d 1 0.65mi
4001 22nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1055 $1,950 $1.85 4d 1 0.70mi
4412 25th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1205 $1,700 $1.41 23d 1 0.76mi
4421 25th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1253 $1,250 $1.00 12d 1 0.78mi
3604 29th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1776 $2,500 $1.41 25d 1 0.81mi
4435 27th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1158 $1,250 $1.08 21d 1 0.84mi
2504 Vera Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 3.0 1643 $2,400 $1.46 25d 1 0.84mi
4440 28th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,495 $1.25 13d 1 0.84mi
14158 Gardeners Way Fort Myers, FL 3.0 2.5 1871 $2,600 $1.39 4d 1 0.87mi
4453 29th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1198 $1,660 $1.39 25d 1 0.88mi
4455 29th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1198 $1,660 $1.39 25d 1 0.88mi
4401 22nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1109 $1,345 $1.21 25d 1 0.88mi
4449 26th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 2242 $1,900 $0.85 25d 1 0.89mi
1578 Gretchen Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1728 $2,000 $1.16 25d 1 0.91mi
4501 28th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1196 $1,660 $1.39 25d 1 0.96mi
4501-4503 28th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1196 $1,660 $1.39 25d 1 0.96mi
3419 36th St Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1920 $1,850 $0.96 25d 1 0.98mi
4221 18th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1600 $2,600 $1.62 16d 1 0.98mi
4508 30th St SW Unit 4510 Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1114 $1,700 $1.53 25d 1 1.01mi
4522 29th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,650 $1.38 25d 1 1.06mi
3418 26th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 3.0 2030 $2,300 $1.13 18d 1 1.06mi
4523 22nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1125 $1,700 $1.51 25d 1 1.07mi
14279 Winding Cedar Way Fort Myers, FL 4.0 3.0 2032 $3,000 $1.48 4d 1 1.08mi
4528 24th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,300 $1.92 18d 1 1.12mi
4535 26th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1105 $1,375 $1.24 25d 1 1.12mi
14129 Pine Lodge Ln Fort Myers, FL 3.0 3.0 1934 $2,300 $1.19 23d 1 1.13mi
3316 35th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 2133 $1,745 $0.82 25d 1 1.14mi
11091 Canopy Loop Fort Myers, FL 4.0 3.0 2032 $3,300 $1.62 5d 1 1.14mi
3314 35th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 2133 $1,745 $0.82 25d 1 1.16mi
3714 17th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,890 $1.03 25d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    pricedays on market $348,900 Active 101 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $349,900 Active 97 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $349,900 Active 96 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $349,900 Active 95 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $349,900 Active 93 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $353,900 Active 90 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $353,900 Active 89 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $353,900 Active 87 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $355,900 Active 83 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $355,900 Active 82 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $355,900 Active 81 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $355,900 Active 80 DOM
  13. 2026-05-19
    price $355,900
  14. 2026-05-11
    price $359,900
  15. 2026-05-04
    price $362,900
  16. 2026-04-09
    price $364,900
  17. 2026-03-26
    price $369,900
  18. 2026-03-21
    price $373,900
  19. 2026-03-12
    price $375,000
  20. 2026-03-12
    listed $379,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 32 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,459
− Mortgage interest
−$19,544
− Property taxes
−$5,234
− Insurance
−$1,744
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,117
− Management
−$2,117
− Depreciation
−$10,150
Taxable loss
−$14,446
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,467
After-tax cash flow
$-4,564/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
20,277
Household income
$72,679
Rent vs Own
28.2% rent · 71.8% own
Severe rent burden
574.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% Two or more races 30% White 24% Black 20% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 18% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
35% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
46% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.77%
Current HPI
340.4255
Rent YoY
▼ -1.54%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $355,900 FORTMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $359,900 FORTMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $362,900 FORTMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $364,900 FORTMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $369,900 FORTMLS
  • 2026-03-21 Price Changed $373,900 FORTMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $375,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $379,900 FORTMLS

Property tax history

+19.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $520 · +33.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…