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656 W Wilkinson St
D- Composite 39.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$324,900

656 W Wilkinson St · Corona de Tucson, AZ 85641
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,583 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 2023 8,581 sqft lot $205/sqft · 14% below area Est $377k · 14% under $23/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully maintained 3-bed, 2-bath home in Corona de Tucson with a private backyard retreat! This single-level gem features vaulted ceilings, tile in main areas, and carpeted bedrooms. The kitchen offers quartz countertops and stainless steel appliances. The primary suite includes a large walk-in shower and dual vanities. Enjoy a north-facing backyard with a sparkling pool and a 2-person spa for relaxing under the stars. Homes behind, but the fully walled yard adds privacy. Assumable VA financing at 5% interest for qualified buyers and special financing options available—ask for details. Located in the Vail School District near I-10, shopping, and outdoor recreation. Welcome to 656 W Wilkinson St, where smart design meets desert living in the heart of Corona de Tucson. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a bright, open layout with vaulted ceilings, tile in all main living areas, and cozy carpeting in each bedroom. The kitchen is thoughtfully designed with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, bar seating, and generous cabinet space perfect for both entertaining and everyday life. The primary suite features a walk-in closet, dual sinks, and a large walk-in shower, offering a clean, functional retreat. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, home office space, or hobbies. Out back, your north-facing backyard is built for Arizona living, featuring a cooling pool, a 2-person spa for stargazing, and a fully walled yard for privacy even with homes behind the lot. =° Take advantage of available special financing options ask for details. And for qualified buyers, assumable VA financing at a 5% interest rate could make this home an even smarter investment. Located in the sought-after Vail School District with quick access to I-10, parks, hiking, and shopping, this home checks all the boxes. Whether you're settling in for the first time or moving up, 656 W Wilkinson offers the lifestyle, location, and opportunity you've been waiting for.

Key facts

  • 8,581 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2023

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 74' x 116'; Lot size information available
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with $23 monthly fee (paid quarterly); HOA transfer fee of $50

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces
  • Security: Alarm installed; Smart panel
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family home; One story; Facing information not provided
  • Construction: Frame with stucco exterior; Tile roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Block fencing; Shrubs and decorative gravel; Front sprinklers; Sidewalks; Subdivided lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Gas range; Microwave; Reverse osmosis
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Walk-in closets; Alarm installed; Smart panel
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer and dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-372 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $259k (20.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (31.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $222k (31.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.8% in Corona de Tucson — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#38 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Vail Unified District (4413) (rural): math 52% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #26 of 249 in AZ (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Copper Ridge Elementary (math 54% / reading 53%, grade C, #224 of 1,109 statewide, top 20%, 398 students, 17% FRL); Corona Foothills Middle School (math 45% / reading 52%, grade C-, #32 of 218 statewide, top 15%, 606 students, 20% FRL); Mica Mountain High (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #60 of 381 statewide, top 16%, 1,161 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools at 18% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 662 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 5,268 units permitted in Pima County in 2024 (996 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pima County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $222,271 (31.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.92%
Cash-on-cash
-4.90%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$377,198
List price
$324,900
Delta
-3.76%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
703 W Wilkinson St 0.10mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,635 (+3%) 10mo $353,000 $216 73
455 W Lexington St 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,635 (+3%) 1mo $403,000 $246 72
17461 S Indigo Crest Pass 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,547 (-2%) 1mo $364,000 $235 71
443 W Weldon St 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,583 (0%) 6mo $325,000 $205 68
1130 S Nedra Pl 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,423 (-10%) 10mo $359,900 $253 68
1235 S Nedra Pl 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,423 (-10%) 8mo $356,900 $251 67
1234 S Nedra Pl 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,423 (-10%) 9mo $367,325 $258 66
604 W Grantham St 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,628 (+3%) 9mo $300,000 $184 66
491 W Camino Del Toro 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,581 (-0%) 10mo $330,000 $209 64
1034 S Chatfield Ave 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,423 (-10%) 7mo $349,900 $246 64
762 S Courts Redford Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,627 (+3%) 8mo $299,999 $184 59
17621 S Bronze Mountain Pass 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,776 (+12%) 5mo $320,000 $180 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.02% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.6%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-71,745
Equity at exit
$48,444
10-year hold
IRR
-12.7%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-73,398
Equity at exit
$28,091

Cash invested: $90,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85641

Home prices YoY
-22.1%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
662
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,223 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$265 /mo · $3,184/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$23
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$467
Net cashflow
$-372

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,693
Max offer price $259,257
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-188 -5% $-280 +0% $-372 +5% $-464 +10% $-556
Rent -10% $-547 -5% $-459 +0% $-372 +5% $-284 +10% $-196
Rate -1.0pp $-208 -0.5pp $-289 base $-372 +0.5pp $-456 +1.0pp $-541

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,225
Closing costs
$9,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
538 W Chatfield St Vail, AZ 3.0 2.0 2086 $2,150 $1.03 45d 1 0.27mi
477 W Aberdeen Pl Vail, AZ 3.0 2.0 1583 $2,700 $1.71 21d 1 0.32mi
543 W Weldon St Vail, AZ 3.0 2.0 1583 $1,900 $1.20 3d 1 0.39mi
757 S Harry P Stagg Dr Vail, AZ 3.0 2.0 1627 $1,900 $1.17 16d 1 0.54mi
655 S Willis Ray Ave Vail, AZ 3.0 2.0 1310 $1,725 $1.32 3d 1 0.62mi
731 S Ramsay Pollard Pl Vail, AZ 4.0 2.0 1844 $2,000 $1.08 3d 1 0.69mi
17173 S Sienna Bluffs Trl Vail, AZ 4.0 2.0 2141 $2,100 $0.98 45d 1 0.71mi
551 S Courts Redford Dr Vail, AZ 4.0 2.0 2172 $2,500 $1.15 3d 1 0.82mi
80 W James L Sullivan St Unit 2 Corona De Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1079 $1,499 $1.39 45d 1 1.35mi
80 W James L Sullivan St Unit 2 Corona De Tucson, AZ 3.0 2.0 1079 $1,499 $1.39 12d 1 1.35mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$23 · $276/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on market $324,900 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    pricestatusdays on marketlisting id $324,900 Active 1 DOM
  3. 2026-05-11
    price $359,000
  4. 2026-05-11
    historical
  5. 2026-04-14
    price $363,000
  6. 2026-03-24
    price $365,000
  7. 2026-02-12
    listed $375,000 Active
  8. 2025-08-15
    soldstatus $379,000 Closed 2007-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2007 chars)

    Beautifully maintained 3-bed, 2-bath home in Corona de Tucson with a private backyard retreat! This single-level gem features vaulted ceilings, tile in main areas, and carpeted bedrooms. The kitchen offers quartz countertops and stainless steel appliances. The primary suite includes a large walk-in shower and dual vanities. Enjoy a north-facing backyard with a sparkling pool and a 2-person spa for relaxing under the stars. Homes behind, but the fully walled yard adds privacy. Assumable VA financing at 5% interest for qualified buyers and special financing options available—ask for details. Located in the Vail School District near I-10, shopping, and outdoor recreation. Welcome to 656 W Wilkinson St, where smart design meets desert living in the heart of Corona de Tucson. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a bright, open layout with vaulted ceilings, tile in all main living areas, and cozy carpeting in each bedroom. The kitchen is thoughtfully designed with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, bar seating, and generous cabinet space perfect for both entertaining and everyday life. The primary suite features a walk-in closet, dual sinks, and a large walk-in shower, offering a clean, functional retreat. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, home office space, or hobbies. Out back, your north-facing backyard is built for Arizona living, featuring a cooling pool, a 2-person spa for stargazing, and a fully walled yard for privacy even with homes behind the lot. =° Take advantage of available special financing options ask for details. And for qualified buyers, assumable VA financing at a 5% interest rate could make this home an even smarter investment. Located in the sought-after Vail School District with quick access to I-10, parks, hiking, and shopping, this home checks all the boxes. Whether you're settling in for the first time or moving up, 656 W Wilkinson offers the lifestyle, location, and opportunity you've been waiting for.

  9. 2025-08-15
    soldstatus $379,000
    Show marketing remark (2007 chars)

    Beautifully maintained 3-bed, 2-bath home in Corona de Tucson with a private backyard retreat! This single-level gem features vaulted ceilings, tile in main areas, and carpeted bedrooms. The kitchen offers quartz countertops and stainless steel appliances. The primary suite includes a large walk-in shower and dual vanities. Enjoy a north-facing backyard with a sparkling pool and a 2-person spa for relaxing under the stars. Homes behind, but the fully walled yard adds privacy. Assumable VA financing at 5% interest for qualified buyers and special financing options available—ask for details. Located in the Vail School District near I-10, shopping, and outdoor recreation. Welcome to 656 W Wilkinson St, where smart design meets desert living in the heart of Corona de Tucson. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a bright, open layout with vaulted ceilings, tile in all main living areas, and cozy carpeting in each bedroom. The kitchen is thoughtfully designed with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, bar seating, and generous cabinet space perfect for both entertaining and everyday life. The primary suite features a walk-in closet, dual sinks, and a large walk-in shower, offering a clean, functional retreat. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, home office space, or hobbies. Out back, your north-facing backyard is built for Arizona living, featuring a cooling pool, a 2-person spa for stargazing, and a fully walled yard for privacy even with homes behind the lot. =° Take advantage of available special financing options ask for details. And for qualified buyers, assumable VA financing at a 5% interest rate could make this home an even smarter investment. Located in the sought-after Vail School District with quick access to I-10, parks, hiking, and shopping, this home checks all the boxes. Whether you're settling in for the first time or moving up, 656 W Wilkinson offers the lifestyle, location, and opportunity you've been waiting for.

  10. 2025-08-11
    status Pending 2007-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2007 chars)

    Beautifully maintained 3-bed, 2-bath home in Corona de Tucson with a private backyard retreat! This single-level gem features vaulted ceilings, tile in main areas, and carpeted bedrooms. The kitchen offers quartz countertops and stainless steel appliances. The primary suite includes a large walk-in shower and dual vanities. Enjoy a north-facing backyard with a sparkling pool and a 2-person spa for relaxing under the stars. Homes behind, but the fully walled yard adds privacy. Assumable VA financing at 5% interest for qualified buyers and special financing options available—ask for details. Located in the Vail School District near I-10, shopping, and outdoor recreation. Welcome to 656 W Wilkinson St, where smart design meets desert living in the heart of Corona de Tucson. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a bright, open layout with vaulted ceilings, tile in all main living areas, and cozy carpeting in each bedroom. The kitchen is thoughtfully designed with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, bar seating, and generous cabinet space perfect for both entertaining and everyday life. The primary suite features a walk-in closet, dual sinks, and a large walk-in shower, offering a clean, functional retreat. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, home office space, or hobbies. Out back, your north-facing backyard is built for Arizona living, featuring a cooling pool, a 2-person spa for stargazing, and a fully walled yard for privacy even with homes behind the lot. =° Take advantage of available special financing options ask for details. And for qualified buyers, assumable VA financing at a 5% interest rate could make this home an even smarter investment. Located in the sought-after Vail School District with quick access to I-10, parks, hiking, and shopping, this home checks all the boxes. Whether you're settling in for the first time or moving up, 656 W Wilkinson offers the lifestyle, location, and opportunity you've been waiting for.

  11. 2025-07-02
    historical Active Contingent 2007-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2007 chars)

    Beautifully maintained 3-bed, 2-bath home in Corona de Tucson with a private backyard retreat! This single-level gem features vaulted ceilings, tile in main areas, and carpeted bedrooms. The kitchen offers quartz countertops and stainless steel appliances. The primary suite includes a large walk-in shower and dual vanities. Enjoy a north-facing backyard with a sparkling pool and a 2-person spa for relaxing under the stars. Homes behind, but the fully walled yard adds privacy. Assumable VA financing at 5% interest for qualified buyers and special financing options available—ask for details. Located in the Vail School District near I-10, shopping, and outdoor recreation. Welcome to 656 W Wilkinson St, where smart design meets desert living in the heart of Corona de Tucson. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a bright, open layout with vaulted ceilings, tile in all main living areas, and cozy carpeting in each bedroom. The kitchen is thoughtfully designed with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, bar seating, and generous cabinet space perfect for both entertaining and everyday life. The primary suite features a walk-in closet, dual sinks, and a large walk-in shower, offering a clean, functional retreat. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, home office space, or hobbies. Out back, your north-facing backyard is built for Arizona living, featuring a cooling pool, a 2-person spa for stargazing, and a fully walled yard for privacy even with homes behind the lot. =° Take advantage of available special financing options ask for details. And for qualified buyers, assumable VA financing at a 5% interest rate could make this home an even smarter investment. Located in the sought-after Vail School District with quick access to I-10, parks, hiking, and shopping, this home checks all the boxes. Whether you're settling in for the first time or moving up, 656 W Wilkinson offers the lifestyle, location, and opportunity you've been waiting for.

  12. 2025-06-16
    listed $379,000 Active 2007-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2007 chars)

    Beautifully maintained 3-bed, 2-bath home in Corona de Tucson with a private backyard retreat! This single-level gem features vaulted ceilings, tile in main areas, and carpeted bedrooms. The kitchen offers quartz countertops and stainless steel appliances. The primary suite includes a large walk-in shower and dual vanities. Enjoy a north-facing backyard with a sparkling pool and a 2-person spa for relaxing under the stars. Homes behind, but the fully walled yard adds privacy. Assumable VA financing at 5% interest for qualified buyers and special financing options available—ask for details. Located in the Vail School District near I-10, shopping, and outdoor recreation. Welcome to 656 W Wilkinson St, where smart design meets desert living in the heart of Corona de Tucson. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home offers a bright, open layout with vaulted ceilings, tile in all main living areas, and cozy carpeting in each bedroom. The kitchen is thoughtfully designed with quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, bar seating, and generous cabinet space perfect for both entertaining and everyday life. The primary suite features a walk-in closet, dual sinks, and a large walk-in shower, offering a clean, functional retreat. Two additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, home office space, or hobbies. Out back, your north-facing backyard is built for Arizona living, featuring a cooling pool, a 2-person spa for stargazing, and a fully walled yard for privacy even with homes behind the lot. =° Take advantage of available special financing options ask for details. And for qualified buyers, assumable VA financing at a 5% interest rate could make this home an even smarter investment. Located in the sought-after Vail School District with quick access to I-10, parks, hiking, and shopping, this home checks all the boxes. Whether you're settling in for the first time or moving up, 656 W Wilkinson offers the lifestyle, location, and opportunity you've been waiting for.

  13. 2023-06-09
    soldstatus $330,000 Closed
  14. 2023-04-07
    status Pending
  15. 2023-04-07
    price $334,900
  16. 2023-03-23
    price $329,900
  17. 2023-03-01
    listed $348,175 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,184 · $265/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,184 · $265/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,673
− Mortgage interest
−$18,199
− Property taxes
−$3,184
− Insurance
−$1,624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,134
− Management
−$2,134
− HOA
−$276
− Depreciation
−$9,452
Taxable loss
−$10,331
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,479
After-tax cash flow
$-1,980/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Vail Unified District (4413)
NCES district ID
0408850
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$77,126
Composite
49.1/100
National rank
#2051
State rank
#26 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Corona de Tucson

Score
71/100
State rank
#38
US rank
#7060

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corona de Tucson, AZ
County
Pima County · 1,012,107 people
Metro
Tucson, AZ
Population (ZIP)
34,752
Household income
$131,164
Rent vs Own
5.9% rent · 94.1% own
Severe rent burden
42.0

Population outlook (Pima County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,066,056 people
By 2030
1,086,684 · +1.9%
By 2040
1,117,160 · +4.8%
By 2050
1,149,778 · +7.9%
By 2075
1,271,480 · +19.3%
By 2100
1,321,160 · +23.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 15% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pima

2024 margin
D (+15.2) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+9.1pp toward D · 2008: 6.1pp · 2024: 15.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.2 2020: D+18.7 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+5.8 2008: D+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -70.78%
Current HPI
250.1814
Rent YoY
▲ 5.02%
Metro
Tucson, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.7% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-20 Pending MLSSAZ
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $324,900 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $359,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-05-11 Listing Removed MLSSAZ
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $363,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-03-24 Price Changed $365,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2026-02-12 Listed $375,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2025-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $379,000 Public Records
  • 2025-08-15 Sold (MLS) $379,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2025-08-11 Pending MLSSAZ
  • 2025-07-02 Contingent MLSSAZ
  • 2025-06-16 Listed $379,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2023-06-09 Sold (MLS) $330,000 MLSSAZ
  • 2023-04-07 Pending MLSSAZ
  • 2023-04-07 Price Changed $334,900 MLSSAZ
  • 2023-03-23 Price Changed $329,900 MLSSAZ
  • 2023-03-01 Listed $348,175 MLSSAZ

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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