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5261 Harvard St
D+ Composite 47.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0

$18,000

5261 Harvard St · Beecher, MI 48505
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,510 sqft · SingleFamily · 39 Days on market
Built 1950 0.33 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special with strong upside. 4 year old roof and 4 year old furnace This 2-bedroom (formally 4), 2 full bath home offers excellent value-add potential, with an after-repair value estimated between $50,000–$75,000 once fully renovated(depending finishes). The property was in decent condition at the start of the current tenancy. Sale will be sight unseen; access will not be provided prior to closing. Buyer to assume responsibility for eviction and all future renovations. Ideal opportunity for investors or rehabbers looking for their next project.

Key facts

  • 4 year old furnace
  • 4 year old roof
  • 0.33 acre lot

Tags

4 YEAR OLD ROOF4 YEAR OLD FURNACEEXCELLENT VALUE-ADD POTENTIAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $18k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $647 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($977 rent vs $18k).
  • Recommended offer: $17k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#603 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: schools C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Beecher Community School District (suburban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #722 of 760 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($33k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $605 of equity ($124 loan paydown + $481 appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($17k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $4k; list at $18k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $17,460 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
5.43%
Cap rate
49.45%
Cash-on-cash
154.12%
DSCR
7.86
GRM
1.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$52,850
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1105 S Cornell Ave 0.20mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,400 (-7%) 20mo $37,000 $26 53
1163 Peachtree Dr 0.56mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,350 (-11%) 4mo $34,500 $26 46
1207 Orange Blossom Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,600 (+6%) 6mo $77,000 $48 43
5502 Fairhaven St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,650 (+9%) 15mo $84,900 $51 39
1432 Charwood Rd 0.72mi 2/1.5 1,353 (-10%) 12mo $45,000 $33 37
6019 Cypress Dr 0.55mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,728 (+14%) 14mo $69,000 $40 30
6041 Cypress Dr 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,700 (+13%) 16mo $69,900 $41 29
6043 Harwood Ave 0.74mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,650 (+9%) 16mo $40,000 $24 28
1130 Camellia Dr 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,334 (-12%) 22mo $40,000 $30 23
1422 W Coldwater Rd 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,299 (-14%) 22mo $46,000 $35 18

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
9.55×
Total profit
$43,102
Equity at exit
$7,765
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
20.06×
Total profit
$96,071
Equity at exit
$11,718

Cash invested: $5,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48505

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
1.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$977 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$94
Tax est. 1.5%
$22 /mo · $270/yr
Insurance
$8
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$205
Net cashflow
$647

Break-even live

Break-even rent $157
Max offer price $18,000
Occupancy floor 29%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $660 -5% $654 +0% $647 +5% $641 +10% $635
Rent -10% $570 -5% $609 +0% $647 +5% $686 +10% $724
Rate -1.0pp $656 -0.5pp $652 base $647 +0.5pp $643 +1.0pp $638

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,500
Closing costs
$540
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6113 Natchez Dr Mount Morris, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $990 $0.90 45d 1 0.77mi
1 Sunny Ln Mount Morris, MI 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 45d 1 0.86mi
6802 DuPont St Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,000 $0.83 22d 1 0.90mi
48 Sunny Ln Mount Morris, MI 3.0 2.0 1900 $1,100 $0.58 45d 1 0.94mi
6230 Natchez Dr Mount Morris, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,000 $0.94 15d 1 0.97mi
2216 Obrien Rd Mount Morris, MI 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,000 $0.93 15d 1 1.14mi
100 Rosewood Mnr Flint, MI 2.0 1.5 1159 $947 $0.82 15d 1 1.31mi
5813 Edwards Ave Flint, MI 3.0 1.0 1500 $899 $0.60 15d 1 1.35mi
5280 Cedar Shores Ct Flint, MI 2.0–3.0 2.0 1150 $881 $0.77 15d 6 1.47mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-03-10
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    Investor special with strong upside. 4 year old roof and 4 year old furnace This 2-bedroom (formally 4), 2 full bath home offers excellent value-add potential, with an after-repair value estimated between $50,000–$75,000 once fully renovated(depending finishes). The property was in decent condition at the start of the current tenancy. Sale will be sight unseen; access will not be provided prior to closing. Buyer to assume responsibility for eviction and all future renovations. Ideal opportunity for investors or rehabbers looking for their next project.

  2. 2026-03-10
    status Pending 564-char remark
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    Investor special with strong upside. 4 year old roof and 4 year old furnace This 2-bedroom (formally 4), 2 full bath home offers excellent value-add potential, with an after-repair value estimated between $50,000–$75,000 once fully renovated(depending finishes). The property was in decent condition at the start of the current tenancy. Sale will be sight unseen; access will not be provided prior to closing. Buyer to assume responsibility for eviction and all future renovations. Ideal opportunity for investors or rehabbers looking for their next project.

  3. 2026-02-24
    price $18,000 564-char remark
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    Investor special with strong upside. 4 year old roof and 4 year old furnace This 2-bedroom (formally 4), 2 full bath home offers excellent value-add potential, with an after-repair value estimated between $50,000–$75,000 once fully renovated(depending finishes). The property was in decent condition at the start of the current tenancy. Sale will be sight unseen; access will not be provided prior to closing. Buyer to assume responsibility for eviction and all future renovations. Ideal opportunity for investors or rehabbers looking for their next project.

  4. 2026-02-24
    price $18,000
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    Investor special with strong upside. 4 year old roof and 4 year old furnace This 2-bedroom (formally 4), 2 full bath home offers excellent value-add potential, with an after-repair value estimated between $50,000–$75,000 once fully renovated(depending finishes). The property was in decent condition at the start of the current tenancy. Sale will be sight unseen; access will not be provided prior to closing. Buyer to assume responsibility for eviction and all future renovations. Ideal opportunity for investors or rehabbers looking for their next project.

  5. 2026-01-30
    listed $25,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    Investor special with strong upside. 4 year old roof and 4 year old furnace This 2-bedroom (formally 4), 2 full bath home offers excellent value-add potential, with an after-repair value estimated between $50,000–$75,000 once fully renovated(depending finishes). The property was in decent condition at the start of the current tenancy. Sale will be sight unseen; access will not be provided prior to closing. Buyer to assume responsibility for eviction and all future renovations. Ideal opportunity for investors or rehabbers looking for their next project.

  6. 2026-01-30
    listed $25,000 Active 564-char remark
    Show marketing remark (564 chars)

    Investor special with strong upside. 4 year old roof and 4 year old furnace This 2-bedroom (formally 4), 2 full bath home offers excellent value-add potential, with an after-repair value estimated between $50,000–$75,000 once fully renovated(depending finishes). The property was in decent condition at the start of the current tenancy. Sale will be sight unseen; access will not be provided prior to closing. Buyer to assume responsibility for eviction and all future renovations. Ideal opportunity for investors or rehabbers looking for their next project.

  7. 2018-02-22
    historical
  8. 2018-02-22
    historical
  9. 2017-07-20
    price $12,000
  10. 2017-07-19
    price $12,000
  11. 2017-05-28
    price $13,000
  12. 2017-05-27
    price $13,000
  13. 2017-05-26
    price $15,000
  14. 2017-05-25
    price $15,000
  15. 2017-02-25
    listed $20,000 Active
  16. 2017-02-24
    listed $20,000 Active
  17. 2013-03-27
    soldstatus $4,500
  18. 2013-03-27
    soldstatus $4,500
  19. 2013-03-27
    soldstatus $4,500
  20. 2013-03-06
    historical
  21. 2013-03-06
    historical
  22. 2012-12-03
    listed $5,000
  23. 2012-12-03
    listed $5,000
  24. 2012-12-03
    listed $5,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,722
− Mortgage interest
−$1,008
− Property taxes
−$270
− Insurance
−$90
− Repairs & maintenance
−$938
− Management
−$938
− Depreciation
−$524
Taxable income
$7,955
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,909
After-tax cash flow
$5,859/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beecher Community School District
NCES district ID
2604500
Math proficiency
7% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$27,719
Composite
9.96/100
National rank
#14685
State rank
#722 of 760 in MI

Livability — Beecher

Score
59/100
State rank
#603
US rank
#19782

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Beecher, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,032
Household income
$33,283
Rent vs Own
51.7% rent · 48.3% own
Severe rent burden
960.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (79%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 79% White 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.67%
Current HPI
202.4878
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+260.0% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-10 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $18,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-30 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-02-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2018-02-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-20 Price Changed $12,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-07-19 Price Changed $12,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-05-28 Price Changed $13,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-05-27 Price Changed $13,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-05-26 Price Changed $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-05-25 Price Changed $15,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-02-25 Listed $20,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-02-24 Listed $20,000 REALCOMP
  • 2013-03-27 Sold (MLS) $4,500 REALCOMP
  • 2013-03-27 Sold (MLS) $4,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-03-27 Sold (MLS) $4,500 REALCOMP
  • 2013-03-06 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2013-03-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-12-03 Listed $5,000 REALCOMP
  • 2012-12-03 Listed $5,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-12-03 Listed $5,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,552 · +38.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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