1617 W 3rd St · Marion, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$72,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming two bedroom home with open concept. Living area offers great natural lighting and opens to the fully updated kitchen with farmhouse sink & butcher block countertop island. Two bedrooms, and two completely renovated full baths. Sellers will seed yard when weather permits & install fence on the west side of the home, or give credit at closing.
Key facts
- Built 1918
- Listed 18 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual property tax approximately $600
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built home; 1 story
- Construction: Vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 128 x 45
Interior
- Bedrooms: Main-level bedrooms (number not specified)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced air heating; Window cooling units
- Interior features: 5 total rooms; Partial, unfinished basement
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $73k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $405 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $73k).
- Recommended offer: $72k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 8.7% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#337 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Marion Community Schools (town): math 18% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #277 of 301 in IN (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Riverview Elementary School (math 42% / reading 27%, grade F, #597 of 994 statewide, top 63%, 396 students, 72% FRL); John L Mcculloch Junior High Sch (math 11% / reading 22%, grade F, #287 of 330 statewide, top 88%, 524 students, 74% FRL); Marion High School (math 12% / reading 47%, grade F, #308 of 369 statewide, top 84%, 1,050 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools at 71% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 52 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $504 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grant County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.81%
- DSCR
- 2.06
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $53,451
- List price
- $72,900
- Delta
- 36.39%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1420 W 5th St | 0.21mi | 2/1.5 | 1,074 (-6%) | 5mo | $48,000 | $45 | 73 |
| 1645 W Spencer Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,132 (-1%) | 4mo | $58,000 | $51 | 72 |
| 1148 W 6th St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 1,161 (+1%) | 8mo | $123,100 | $106 | 70 |
| 706 S Western Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 1,116 (-3%) | 11mo | $51,000 | $46 | 62 |
| 1640 W Spencer Ave | 0.30mi | 2/1.5 | 1,004 (-12%) | 2mo | $74,000 | $74 | 61 |
| 202 N G St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,114 (-3%) | 12mo | $18,000 | $16 | 59 |
| 221 N D St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,221 (+6%) | 2mo | $144,500 | $118 | 54 |
| 1015 W 3rd St | 0.48mi | 2/1.5 | 1,298 (+13%) | 7mo | $76,900 | $59 | 48 |
| 312 Horace Mann Ct | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,040 (-9%) | 5mo | $153,000 | $147 | 45 |
| 636 W 1st St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 1,218 (+6%) | 11mo | $113,200 | $93 | 42 |
| 2111 W Euclid Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,272 (+11%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $114 | 40 |
| 2115 W 8th St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,255 (+9%) | 9mo | $42,000 | $33 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $13,972
- Equity at exit
- $10,870
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.22×
- Total profit
- $45,350
- Equity at exit
- $6,303
Cash invested: $20,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46952
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,101 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$382
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $627/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $405
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,225
- Closing costs
- $2,187
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2116 W 2nd St Marion, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 764 | $945 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2145 W 2nd St Marion, IN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1377 | $1,650 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2111 W Frederick Dr Marion, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 965 | $937 | $0.97 | 44d | 4 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 182-char remark
-
2026-05-08price $72,900 182-char remark
-
2026-05-04price $74,900 182-char remark
-
2026-04-29price $77,900 182-char remark
-
2026-04-27$79,900 Active 182-char remark
-
2026-04-09$79,900 Active
-
2020-04-14soldstatus $60,000
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
Charming two bedroom home with open concept. Living area offers great natural lighting and opens to the fully updated kitchen with farmhouse sink & butcher block countertop island. Two bedrooms, and two completely renovated full baths. Sellers will seed yard when weather permits & install fence on the west side of the home, or give credit at closing.
-
2020-02-21$62,000
Show marketing remark (364 chars)
Charming two bedroom home with open concept. Living area offers great natural lighting and opens to the fully updated kitchen with farmhouse sink & butcher block countertop island. Two bedrooms, and two completely renovated full baths. Sellers will seed yard when weather permits & install fence on the west side of the home, or give credit at closing.
-
2020-01-12$59,000
-
2019-09-12soldstatus $3,500
-
2019-09-11soldstatus $3,500
-
2019-02-01$4,900
-
2019-02-01$4,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $627 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $627 · $52/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,213
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,084
- − Property taxes
- −$627
- − Insurance
- −$364
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,057
- − Management
- −$1,057
- − Depreciation
- −$2,121
- Taxable income
- $3,904
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$937
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,923/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1806390
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,415
- Composite
- 17.13/100
- National rank
- #9115
- State rank
- #277 of 301 in IN
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #337
- US rank
- #13006
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, IN
- County
- Grant County · 41,561 people
- City population
- 41,561
- Metro
- Marion, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,189
- Household income
- $52,880
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 662.0
Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 64,394 people
- By 2030
- 62,145 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 57,252 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 52,968 · -17.7%
- By 2075
- 45,986 · -28.6%
- By 2100
- 39,400 · -38.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Grant
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.8) · D 28.2% · R 70.0% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.1pp · 2024: -41.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.8 2020: R+38.8 2016: R+39.5 2012: R+22.0 2008: R+13.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.69%
- Current HPI
- 180.1174
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Marion, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+1387.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $72,900 IRMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $74,900 IRMLS
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $77,900 IRMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $79,900 IRMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $79,900 IRMLS
- 2020-04-14 Sold (MLS) $60,000 IRMLS
- 2020-02-21 Listed $62,000 IRMLS
- 2020-01-12 Listed $59,000 IRMLS
- 2019-09-12 Sold (MLS) $3,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-11 Sold (MLS) $3,500 IRMLS
- 2019-02-01 Listed $4,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-02-01 Listed $4,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+16.1%/yrLatest (2025): $627 · +14.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…