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1615 #5 Halibut Point Rd
C Composite 58.76
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

1615 #5 Halibut Point Rd · Sitka, AK 99835
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 869 sqft · Manufactured · 201 Days on market
Built 1967

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Mobile Home with Mountain and Harbor Views! Conveniently located in Teachers Mobile Home Park, enjoy up front water views. Thoughtful modifications expand and enhance the living space, all under an asphalt shingle roof. Enjoy sweeping views of the harbor and surrounding mountains from inside or while relaxing on the deck. The fully equipped kitchen provides everything you need, and the entry area includes extra storage along with a washer and dryer for added convenience. A heat pump and forced-air heating system keep the home comfortable year-round. Monthly space rent is $408 mo. Receive a 5% discount for annual payment ($389mo. )

Key facts

  • Extra storage
  • Heat pump
  • Washer and dryer

Tags

MOUNTAIN AND HARBOR VIEWSFULLY EQUIPPED KITCHENEXTRA STORAGEWASHER AND DRYERHEAT PUMPFORCED-AIR HEATING SYSTEM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#1 in AK, #425 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Sitka City and Borough in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 201 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 201 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.50%
Cash-on-cash
7.90%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-10,867
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
2.7%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$8,026
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alaska
80 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; security deposits capped; courts moderate-paced.

ZIP-level market 99835

Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,662 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$349
Net cashflow
$210

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,396
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $314 -5% $262 +0% $210 +5% $158 +10% $106
Rent -10% $79 -5% $144 +0% $210 +5% $276 +10% $341
Rate -1.0pp $286 -0.5pp $248 base $210 +0.5pp $171 +1.0pp $132

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 201 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 200 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 199 DOM
  4. 2026-02-12
    status Active 638-char remark
    Show marketing remark (638 chars)

    Mobile Home with Mountain and Harbor Views! Conveniently located in Teachers Mobile Home Park, enjoy up front water views. Thoughtful modifications expand and enhance the living space, all under an asphalt shingle roof. Enjoy sweeping views of the harbor and surrounding mountains from inside or while relaxing on the deck. The fully equipped kitchen provides everything you need, and the entry area includes extra storage along with a washer and dryer for added convenience. A heat pump and forced-air heating system keep the home comfortable year-round. Monthly space rent is $408 mo. Receive a 5% discount for annual payment ($389mo. )

  5. 2026-02-08
    status Pending 638-char remark
    Show marketing remark (638 chars)

    Mobile Home with Mountain and Harbor Views! Conveniently located in Teachers Mobile Home Park, enjoy up front water views. Thoughtful modifications expand and enhance the living space, all under an asphalt shingle roof. Enjoy sweeping views of the harbor and surrounding mountains from inside or while relaxing on the deck. The fully equipped kitchen provides everything you need, and the entry area includes extra storage along with a washer and dryer for added convenience. A heat pump and forced-air heating system keep the home comfortable year-round. Monthly space rent is $408 mo. Receive a 5% discount for annual payment ($389mo. )

  6. 2025-11-06
    listed $150,000 Active 638-char remark
    Show marketing remark (638 chars)

    Mobile Home with Mountain and Harbor Views! Conveniently located in Teachers Mobile Home Park, enjoy up front water views. Thoughtful modifications expand and enhance the living space, all under an asphalt shingle roof. Enjoy sweeping views of the harbor and surrounding mountains from inside or while relaxing on the deck. The fully equipped kitchen provides everything you need, and the entry area includes extra storage along with a washer and dryer for added convenience. A heat pump and forced-air heating system keep the home comfortable year-round. Monthly space rent is $408 mo. Receive a 5% discount for annual payment ($389mo. )

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,945
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$1,547
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,596
− Management
−$1,596
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$190
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$46
After-tax cash flow
$2,474/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Sitka

Score
86/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#425

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A Employment A Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sitka, AK
City population
8,393
Population (ZIP)
8,393

Population outlook (Sitka County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
9,189 people
By 2030
9,264 · +0.8%
By 2040
9,254 · +0.7%
By 2050
9,225 · +0.4%
By 2075
9,386 · +2.1%
By 2100
9,164 · -0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Two or more races 19% Native American 9% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sitka

2016 margin
R (+15.2) · D 37.7% · R 52.9% · Other 9.4%
All cycles
2016: R+15.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -193.94%
Current HPI
112.4336
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-12 Relisted SEABR
  • 2026-02-08 Pending SEABR
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $150,000 SEABR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…