18 Rockway Rd #2660 · The Hideout, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +11.9/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$290,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This contemporary home features 3 bedrooms and 2 baths on a wooded lot with a horseshoe driveway. With 4 distinct levels, a finished lower level, a screened porch and a deck you're sure to find a favorite nook, whether that's the loft with it's own private balcony, the lower level bedroom with it's picture windows or the lower level bedroom with it's private bath. The home also has a unique ''sunken'' living room and it's a short walk to the North Recreation area with it's heated pool, playground, picnic area and tennis courts. Other recreational amenities include basketball and tennis courts, sandy beaches, a tiki bar, sports bar and full service restaurant, indoor tennis, fitness center, arcade, golf course and ski hill.
Key facts
- Fitness center
- Pickleball courts
- Swimming pools
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located on Roamingwood Lake; Subdivision: The Hideout
- HOA & community: Part of a homeowners association; Annual association fee (listed); Association amenities include clubhouse, pool, tennis and basketball courts, trails, marina, golf, fitness center, playground, park, picnic area, dog park, gated community, beach access, restaurant, trash service, security and game room
Exterior
- Security: Security service
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Updated / remodeled
- Construction: Other construction materials; Full basement (walk-out and walk-up access)
- Exterior features: Boat slip; Balcony; Covered, screened and enclosed porch; Shingle roof; Walk-out / walk-up full basement
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric oven
- Flooring: Hardwood; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Ceiling fan(s); Fireplace insert; Electric heating; Wood stove; Has cooling; Has heating; Has fireplace
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Dehumidifier; Security service
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $93 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $290k).
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.9% in The Hideout — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#668 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Western Wayne SD (rural): math 39% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #165 of 539 in PA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 340 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 177 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $31k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $29k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $81k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $135k; list at $290k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.37%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $321,584
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2659 Rockway Rd | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,490 (-6%) | 2mo | $249,500 | $167 | 87 |
| 64 High Point Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 1,568 (-2%) | 4mo | $325,000 | $207 | 74 |
| 64 Highpoint Dr Lot 2232 | 0.39mi | 3/2.5 | 1,568 (-2%) | 4mo | $325,000 | $207 | 74 |
| 2745 Boulder Rd #143 | 0.36mi | 3/3.0 | 1,691 (+6%) | 3mo | $239,000 | $141 | 66 |
| 22 Boulder Ct | 0.21mi | 3/3.0 | 1,805 (+13%) | 2mo | $360,000 | $199 | 62 |
| 74 Rockway Rd | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (-14%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $190 | 62 |
| 479 N Gate Rd | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,384 (-13%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $228 | 58 |
| 11 Highpoint Ct | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,436 (-10%) | 1mo | $287,000 | $200 | 54 |
| 2722 Pebble Ct Unit 10 Pebble Ct. Lake Ariel, PA 18436 | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,405 (-12%) | 1mo | $284,000 | $202 | 53 |
| 83 Northgate Rd | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,770 (+11%) | 1mo | $424,000 | $240 | 47 |
| 529 Lakeview Dr E | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,386 (-13%) | 5mo | $280,000 | $202 | 40 |
| 278 North Gate Rd | 0.68mi | 3/3.0 | 1,816 (+14%) | 4mo | $315,000 | $173 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $164,020
- Equity at exit
- $261,255
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.90×
- Total profit
- $478,684
- Equity at exit
- $563,406
Cash invested: $81,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18436
- Home prices YoY
- 16.9%
- Active inventory
- 340
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,521
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$362 /mo · $4,350/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$194
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$609
- Net cashflow
- $93
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $293 | -5% $193 | +0% $93 | +5% $-7 | +10% $-108 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-136 | -5% $-22 | +0% $93 | +5% $207 | +10% $322 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $239 | -0.5pp $167 | base $93 | +0.5pp $18 | +1.0pp $-59 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,500
- Closing costs
- $8,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1148 Golf Park Dr Lake Ariel, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1210 | $2,900 | $2.40 | 25d | 1 | 1.43mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $194 · $2,328/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $290,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$290,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,245
- − Property taxes
- −$4,350
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,784
- − Management
- −$2,784
- − HOA
- −$2,328
- − Depreciation
- −$8,436
- Taxable loss
- −$3,577
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$858
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,973/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Western Wayne SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226070
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,358
- Composite
- 43.65/100
- National rank
- #2964
- State rank
- #165 of 539 in PA
Livability — The Hideout
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #668
- US rank
- #6516
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- The Hideout, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,225
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 47,924 people
- By 2030
- 46,191 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 42,815 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 39,873 · -16.8%
- By 2075
- 34,556 · -27.9%
- By 2100
- 28,358 · -40.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.1) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.3pp · 2024: -37.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.1 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 47.95%
- Current HPI
- 331.9645
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+26.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $290,000 PWMLS
- 2024-09-15 Sold (MLS) $135,000 PWMLS
- 2024-08-12 Pending — PWMLS
- 2024-08-10 Price Changed $150,000 PWMLS
- 2024-07-24 Listed $229,900 PWMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…