🏗️ New Construction
CAVCO Beacon "A" Plan · Robinson, PA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$97,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into comfort and style with this beautiful manufactured home at 1218 Sunset Dr, Hidden Valley. Built by Cavco, this Beacon model features 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,493 sq. ft. of living space across a generous 28x56 layout. With its open floor plan, spacious kitchen, and thoughtful design, this home blends modern convenience with everyday comfort. Natural light and quality finishes create a warm, inviting atmosphere - perfect for both relaxing and entertaining. Located in the heart of Hidden Valley, this manufactured home offers the ideal balance of space, efficiency, and community living.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Listed 56 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 1,493
- Financial info: List price: $97,900
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Utilities: Has heating; Has cooling
- Home design: Single-family plan (CAVCO Beacon "A")
- Exterior features: Shake roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Other heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Plan: CAVCO Beacon "A"
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $98k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
- Recommended offer: $95k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,651 in PA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools F.
- Fort Cherry SD (rural): math 34% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #213 of 539 in PA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($660 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.42%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,500
- List price
- $97,900
- Delta
- 2.51%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1340 Hilltop Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,493 (0%) | 2mo | $95,500 | $64 | 96 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.25×
- Total profit
- $33,411
- Equity at exit
- $42,941
- IRR
- 23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.30×
- Total profit
- $88,308
- Equity at exit
- $66,177
Cash invested: $26,740 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market W2EWZ8
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,270 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$501
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$119 /mo · $1,432/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $344
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,875
- Closing costs
- $2,865
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $97,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $97,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $97,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $97,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $97,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $97,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $97,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $97,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $97,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $97,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $97,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $97,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $97,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-23$97,900 Active 606-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,245
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,349
- − Property taxes
- −$1,432
- − Insurance
- −$478
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,220
- − Management
- −$1,220
- − Depreciation
- −$2,778
- Taxable income
- $2,768
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$664
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,460/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This Cavco Beacon manufactured home is in good condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready with a cosmetic rehab level and minor maintenance items to address.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps home in good condition
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental Clean gutters — Keeps home in good condition ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Cherry SD
- NCES district ID
- 4209960
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,129
- Composite
- 41.12/100
- National rank
- #3564
- State rank
- #213 of 539 in PA
Livability — Robinson
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #1651
- US rank
- #22918
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…