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69127 Wildwood Rd #46
B+ Composite 78.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$99,000

69127 Wildwood Rd #46 · Saunders Lake, OR 97459
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Other public records · 66 Days on market
Built 1978

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Exceptionally well cared for manufactured home in rural family park.Park rent is $275.00, including water, sewer, garbage. Buyers mustqualify with park manager.

Key facts

  • 2 outbuildings
  • Remodeling inside
  • Fully fenced lot

Tags

FULLY FENCED LOT2 OUTBUILDINGSREMODELING INSIDE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot parcel number 147635; Lot size range: 0–2,999 sq ft; Lot rent charged monthly
  • HOA & community: Land lease in effect (lot rent $440 monthly; lease expires April 30, 2026)

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Electric fuel; Public water; Community sewer; Cable internet
  • Home design: Manufactured home in a park (residential); Not attached; Resale property; Territorial view
  • Construction: Built in 1978; Skirting foundation; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Fenced yard; Outbuilding; Porch; Tool shed; Plywood exterior description; Level site; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Electric hot water
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Second bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling system
  • Interior features: One-level accessibility; Laminate flooring; Double-pane windows; Crawl space basement; Utility room on main level; Dining room on main level; Family room; Kitchen on main level; Living room on main level; Great room; Primary bedroom on main level; Second bedroom on main level
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $594 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $93k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • North Bend SD 13 (town): math 30% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #21 of 58 in OR (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: North Bay Elementary School (math 34% / reading 42%, grade F, #197 of 412 statewide, top 48%, 443 students, 69% FRL); North Bend Middle School (math 24% / reading 45%, grade F, #61 of 128 statewide, top 54%, 494 students, 68% FRL); North Bend Senior High School (math 75% / reading 75%, grade A-, #2 of 143 statewide, top 6%, 731 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 40% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $99k implies a 296% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $93,060 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
13.49%
Cash-on-cash
25.72%
DSCR
2.14
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.7%
Equity multiple
4.31×
Total profit
$91,711
Equity at exit
$89,187
10-year hold
IRR
37.8%
Equity multiple
9.67×
Total profit
$240,235
Equity at exit
$192,335

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97459

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,484 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$18 /mo · $210/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$312
Net cashflow
$594

Break-even live

Break-even rent $732
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,000 Active 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,000 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,000 Active 59 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 56 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 55 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 50 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 49 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 48 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 47 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,000 Active 46 DOM
  17. 2026-05-23
    status Active
  18. 2026-04-28
    status Pending
  19. 2026-03-20
    listed $105,000 Active
  20. 2005-10-25
    soldstatus $25,000 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Exceptionally well cared for manufactured home in rural family park.Park rent is $275.00, including water, sewer, garbage. Buyers mustqualify with park manager.

  21. 2005-10-20
    historical 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Exceptionally well cared for manufactured home in rural family park.Park rent is $275.00, including water, sewer, garbage. Buyers mustqualify with park manager.

  22. 2005-10-05
    listed $25,000 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    Exceptionally well cared for manufactured home in rural family park.Park rent is $275.00, including water, sewer, garbage. Buyers mustqualify with park manager.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$210 · $18/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$960 · $80/mo
Expected delta
+$750/yr (+$63/mo · 357.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥77°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,802
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$210
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,424
− Management
−$1,424
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$5,823
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,398
After-tax cash flow
$5,731/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Bend SD 13
NCES district ID
4108820
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$43,614
Composite
32.57/100
National rank
#5681
State rank
#21 of 58 in OR

Livability — Saunders Lake

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Saunders Lake, OR
Population (ZIP)
15,328

Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,222 people
By 2030
61,120 · -1.8%
By 2040
58,478 · -6.0%
By 2050
56,819 · -8.7%
By 2075
54,915 · -11.7%
By 2100
51,403 · -17.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 7% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Philippines
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coos

2024 margin
R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.5% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-16.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.9 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+24.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+3.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.02%
Current HPI
887.7
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+320.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Relisted RMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Pending RMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $105,000 RMLS
  • 2005-10-25 Sold (MLS) $25,000 RMLS
  • 2005-10-20 Delisted RMLS
  • 2005-10-05 Listed $25,000 RMLS

Property tax history

+1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $210 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…