69127 Wildwood Rd #46 · Saunders Lake, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 77°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Exceptionally well cared for manufactured home in rural family park.Park rent is $275.00, including water, sewer, garbage. Buyers mustqualify with park manager.
Key facts
- 2 outbuildings
- Remodeling inside
- Fully fenced lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot parcel number 147635; Lot size range: 0–2,999 sq ft; Lot rent charged monthly
- HOA & community: Land lease in effect (lot rent $440 monthly; lease expires April 30, 2026)
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Electric fuel; Public water; Community sewer; Cable internet
- Home design: Manufactured home in a park (residential); Not attached; Resale property; Territorial view
- Construction: Built in 1978; Skirting foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Outbuilding; Porch; Tool shed; Plywood exterior description; Level site; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Electric hot water
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on main level; Second bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling system
- Interior features: One-level accessibility; Laminate flooring; Double-pane windows; Crawl space basement; Utility room on main level; Dining room on main level; Family room; Kitchen on main level; Living room on main level; Great room; Primary bedroom on main level; Second bedroom on main level
- Laundry & utility: Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $594 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $93k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- North Bend SD 13 (town): math 30% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #21 of 58 in OR (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: North Bay Elementary School (math 34% / reading 42%, grade F, #197 of 412 statewide, top 48%, 443 students, 69% FRL); North Bend Middle School (math 24% / reading 45%, grade F, #61 of 128 statewide, top 54%, 494 students, 68% FRL); North Bend Senior High School (math 75% / reading 75%, grade A-, #2 of 143 statewide, top 6%, 731 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 40% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($93k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $99k implies a 296% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.72%
- DSCR
- 2.14
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 43.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.31×
- Total profit
- $91,711
- Equity at exit
- $89,187
- IRR
- 37.8%
- Equity multiple
- 9.67×
- Total profit
- $240,235
- Equity at exit
- $192,335
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97459
- Home prices YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,484 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$18 /mo · $210/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $594
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $99,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $99,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-23status Active
-
2026-04-28status Pending
-
2026-03-20$105,000 Active
-
2005-10-25soldstatus $25,000 161-char remark
Show marketing remark (161 chars)
Exceptionally well cared for manufactured home in rural family park.Park rent is $275.00, including water, sewer, garbage. Buyers mustqualify with park manager.
-
2005-10-20historical 161-char remark
Show marketing remark (161 chars)
Exceptionally well cared for manufactured home in rural family park.Park rent is $275.00, including water, sewer, garbage. Buyers mustqualify with park manager.
-
2005-10-05$25,000 161-char remark
Show marketing remark (161 chars)
Exceptionally well cared for manufactured home in rural family park.Park rent is $275.00, including water, sewer, garbage. Buyers mustqualify with park manager.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $210 · $18/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $960 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$750/yr (+$63/mo · 357.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥77°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,802
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$210
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,424
- − Management
- −$1,424
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $5,823
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,398
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,731/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Bend SD 13
- NCES district ID
- 4108820
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,614
- Composite
- 32.57/100
- National rank
- #5681
- State rank
- #21 of 58 in OR
Livability — Saunders Lake
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saunders Lake, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,328
Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,222 people
- By 2030
- 61,120 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 58,478 · -6.0%
- By 2050
- 56,819 · -8.7%
- By 2075
- 54,915 · -11.7%
- By 2100
- 51,403 · -17.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Portuguese 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Coos
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.5% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.9 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+24.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+3.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.02%
- Current HPI
- 887.7
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+320.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Relisted — RMLS
- 2026-04-28 Pending — RMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $105,000 RMLS
- 2005-10-25 Sold (MLS) $25,000 RMLS
- 2005-10-20 Delisted — RMLS
- 2005-10-05 Listed $25,000 RMLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $210 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…