1813 Columbia St · Louisville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$23,490
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 1,350 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 142 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: No dedicated parking
- Utilities: No utilities listed
- Home design: Single-family residence in a shotgun style; 1 story
- Construction: Built in 1900; Wood frame construction; Shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Lot is approximately 0.03 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms, both on the first floor
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Heating present
- Interior features: Living room on the first floor; Total of 5 rooms; No basement
- Laundry & utility: First-floor laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $23k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $523 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($856 rent vs $23k).
- Recommended offer: $21k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 33.0% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
- Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($31k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $162 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $705 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($21k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 33.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 95.50%
- DSCR
- 5.25
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 97.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.59×
- Total profit
- $30,173
- Equity at exit
- $3,502
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 11.93×
- Total profit
- $71,872
- Equity at exit
- $2,031
Cash invested: $6,577 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 40203
- Home prices YoY
- -13.8%
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $856 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$123
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $241/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$180
- Net cashflow
- $523
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $537 | -5% $530 | +0% $523 | +5% $517 | +10% $510 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $456 | -5% $490 | +0% $523 | +5% $557 | +10% $591 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $535 | -0.5pp $529 | base $523 | +0.5pp $517 | +1.0pp $511 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,872
- Closing costs
- $705
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 N 18th St Unit 200-4 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $775 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 1704 Rowan St Unit 1704-2 Louisville, KY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $850 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 519 N 20th St Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $795 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 220 Doctor W. J. Hodge St Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 570 | $700 | $1.23 | 18d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2510 Portland Ave Unit 206 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 615 | $950 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2510 Portland Ave Unit 203 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $995 | $1.59 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2614 W Jefferson St Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $695 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2614 W Jefferson St Unit 2614-4 Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $795 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2717 Slevin St Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $725 | $1.17 | 17d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2718 W Jefferson St Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $699 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2718 W Jefferson St Unit 2718-3 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $699 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 980 W Liberty St Louisville, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1026 | $1,198 | $1.17 | 25d | 133 | 0.93mi |
| 2722 Portland Ave Unit 1 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $950 | $1.90 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3120 Bank St Unit B Louisville, KY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 521 N 33rd St Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $795 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3124 Vermont Ave Unit 3124-1 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $695 | $1.07 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3124 Vermont Ave Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $699 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2513 Date St Unit 2 Louisville, KY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $745 | $1.06 | 4d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $23,490 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $23,490 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $23,490 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $23,490 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $23,490 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $23,490 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $23,490 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $23,495 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $23,495 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $23,495 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $23,495 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $23,495 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $23,495 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $23,495 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-21price $23,495
-
2026-04-22price $23,499
-
2026-04-08price $23,500
-
2026-04-03price $23,899
-
2026-03-12price $23,900
-
2026-03-06price $24,997
-
2026-02-14price $24,998
-
2026-01-29$24,999 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $241 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $241 · $20/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,276
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,316
- − Property taxes
- −$241
- − Insurance
- −$117
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$822
- − Management
- −$822
- − Depreciation
- −$683
- Taxable income
- $6,274
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,506
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,776/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jefferson County
- NCES district ID
- 2102990
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,885
- Composite
- 23.45/100
- National rank
- #7884
- State rank
- #121 of 165 in KY
Livability — Louisville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #333
- US rank
- #15887
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Louisville, KY
- County
- Jefferson County · 790,184 people
- City population
- 769,292
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,742
- Household income
- $30,794
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1603.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 823,112 people
- By 2030
- 849,343 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 895,696 · +8.8%
- By 2050
- 933,630 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 1,028,262 · +24.9%
- By 2100
- 1,072,675 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 44% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.74%
- Current HPI
- 405.1872
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.73%
- Metro
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
-6.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $23,495 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $23,499 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $23,500 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $23,899 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $23,900 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $24,997 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $24,998 Metro Search MLS
- 2026-01-29 Listed $24,999 Metro Search MLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $241 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…