🏷️ Likely Rental
1315 Cronk Ave · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming Two-Bedroom, One-Bath Home on Saginaw’s West Side. This move-in ready home features two bedrooms, one full bathroom, a basement, and a two-car garage, perfectly situated on the west side of Saginaw. Currently used as a rental property, it is generating $825 per month. Don’t miss the chance to make this well-maintained property yours. Call today for your private showing
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1922
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; 818 square feet above grade
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 100; Lot about 0.09 acres
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Full basement; Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $348 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($888 rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $45k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.7% vs local median 8.3% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 250 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $50k implies a 108% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.78% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.89%
- DSCR
- 2.33
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $66,330
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 920 Cronk Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 | 714 (-3%) | 4mo | $54,500 | $76 | 81 |
| 2529 N BOND St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 | 763 (+4%) | 6mo | $65,000 | $85 | 74 |
| 1807 Union Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 728 (-1%) | 10mo | $24,500 | $34 | 71 |
| 1815 W Genesee | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 818 (+11%) | 1mo | $74,000 | $90 | 64 |
| 2105 Mershon St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 822 (+12%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $146 | 63 |
| 2200 State St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 756 (+3%) | 10mo | $57,500 | $76 | 58 |
| 1629 Mershon St | 0.53mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-9%) | 3mo | $57,000 | $85 | 58 |
| 1906 N Charles St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 684 (-7%) | 10mo | $65,000 | $95 | 51 |
| 1912 Mershon St | 0.34mi | 2/1.0 | 837 (+14%) | 14mo | $78,400 | $94 | 50 |
| 1629 N Oakley St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 640 (-13%) | 12mo | $65,000 | $102 | 46 |
| 1701 Mershon St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 839 (+14%) | 14mo | $73,000 | $87 | 37 |
| 2524 N Carolina St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 845 (+15%) | 7mo | $78,000 | $92 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $14,981
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 33.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.25×
- Total profit
- $45,363
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48602
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $888 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$71 /mo · $856/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$187
- Net cashflow
- $348
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $49,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-02-09$49,900 Active
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
Charming Two-Bedroom, One-Bath Home on Saginaw’s West Side. This move-in ready home features two bedrooms, one full bathroom, a basement, and a two-car garage, perfectly situated on the west side of Saginaw. Currently used as a rental property, it is generating $825 per month. Don’t miss the chance to make this well-maintained property yours. Call today for your private showing
-
2026-02-09$49,900 Active 392-char remark
Show marketing remark (392 chars)
Charming Two-Bedroom, One-Bath Home on Saginaw’s West Side. This move-in ready home features two bedrooms, one full bathroom, a basement, and a two-car garage, perfectly situated on the west side of Saginaw. Currently used as a rental property, it is generating $825 per month. Don’t miss the chance to make this well-maintained property yours. Call today for your private showing
-
2025-04-04soldstatus $24,000 Closed 878-char remark
Show marketing remark (878 chars)
Charming Bungalow Perfect for a first time home buyer or Investor's Dream! Welcome to this delightful bungalow that boasts new hardwood floors throughout the entire house, offering both charm and modern appeal! This property is a blank canvas, perfect for savvy investors or those looking to put their personal stamp on a home. Spacious Living Area, New Hardwood Floors, Kitchen Needs Finishing Touches and awaiting your creative vision to bring them to life. Customize with your choice of countertops, backsplash, and appliances to create the kitchen of your dreams, Two Updated Comfortable Bedrooms, Updated Bathroom. m Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity to turn this charming bungalow into a beautiful home or a lucrative investment property! Invest in your future with this appealing bungalow-your vision is waiting to come to life! Schedule your showing today.
-
2025-04-04soldstatus $24,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (878 chars)
Charming Bungalow Perfect for a first time home buyer or Investor's Dream! Welcome to this delightful bungalow that boasts new hardwood floors throughout the entire house, offering both charm and modern appeal! This property is a blank canvas, perfect for savvy investors or those looking to put their personal stamp on a home. Spacious Living Area, New Hardwood Floors, Kitchen Needs Finishing Touches and awaiting your creative vision to bring them to life. Customize with your choice of countertops, backsplash, and appliances to create the kitchen of your dreams, Two Updated Comfortable Bedrooms, Updated Bathroom. m Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity to turn this charming bungalow into a beautiful home or a lucrative investment property! Invest in your future with this appealing bungalow-your vision is waiting to come to life! Schedule your showing today.
-
2025-04-01status Pending 878-char remark
Show marketing remark (878 chars)
Charming Bungalow Perfect for a first time home buyer or Investor's Dream! Welcome to this delightful bungalow that boasts new hardwood floors throughout the entire house, offering both charm and modern appeal! This property is a blank canvas, perfect for savvy investors or those looking to put their personal stamp on a home. Spacious Living Area, New Hardwood Floors, Kitchen Needs Finishing Touches and awaiting your creative vision to bring them to life. Customize with your choice of countertops, backsplash, and appliances to create the kitchen of your dreams, Two Updated Comfortable Bedrooms, Updated Bathroom. m Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity to turn this charming bungalow into a beautiful home or a lucrative investment property! Invest in your future with this appealing bungalow-your vision is waiting to come to life! Schedule your showing today.
-
2025-04-01status Pending
Show marketing remark (878 chars)
Charming Bungalow Perfect for a first time home buyer or Investor's Dream! Welcome to this delightful bungalow that boasts new hardwood floors throughout the entire house, offering both charm and modern appeal! This property is a blank canvas, perfect for savvy investors or those looking to put their personal stamp on a home. Spacious Living Area, New Hardwood Floors, Kitchen Needs Finishing Touches and awaiting your creative vision to bring them to life. Customize with your choice of countertops, backsplash, and appliances to create the kitchen of your dreams, Two Updated Comfortable Bedrooms, Updated Bathroom. m Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity to turn this charming bungalow into a beautiful home or a lucrative investment property! Invest in your future with this appealing bungalow-your vision is waiting to come to life! Schedule your showing today.
-
2025-03-30$30,000 Active 878-char remark
Show marketing remark (878 chars)
Charming Bungalow Perfect for a first time home buyer or Investor's Dream! Welcome to this delightful bungalow that boasts new hardwood floors throughout the entire house, offering both charm and modern appeal! This property is a blank canvas, perfect for savvy investors or those looking to put their personal stamp on a home. Spacious Living Area, New Hardwood Floors, Kitchen Needs Finishing Touches and awaiting your creative vision to bring them to life. Customize with your choice of countertops, backsplash, and appliances to create the kitchen of your dreams, Two Updated Comfortable Bedrooms, Updated Bathroom. m Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity to turn this charming bungalow into a beautiful home or a lucrative investment property! Invest in your future with this appealing bungalow-your vision is waiting to come to life! Schedule your showing today.
-
2025-03-30$30,000 Active
Show marketing remark (878 chars)
Charming Bungalow Perfect for a first time home buyer or Investor's Dream! Welcome to this delightful bungalow that boasts new hardwood floors throughout the entire house, offering both charm and modern appeal! This property is a blank canvas, perfect for savvy investors or those looking to put their personal stamp on a home. Spacious Living Area, New Hardwood Floors, Kitchen Needs Finishing Touches and awaiting your creative vision to bring them to life. Customize with your choice of countertops, backsplash, and appliances to create the kitchen of your dreams, Two Updated Comfortable Bedrooms, Updated Bathroom. m Don't miss out on this incredible opportunity to turn this charming bungalow into a beautiful home or a lucrative investment property! Invest in your future with this appealing bungalow-your vision is waiting to come to life! Schedule your showing today.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $856 · $71/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $856 · $71/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,660
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$856
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$853
- − Management
- −$853
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $3,602
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$865
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,311/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 2630390
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,940
- Composite
- 19.6/100
- National rank
- #8755
- State rank
- #444 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saginaw, MI
- County
- Saginaw County · 54,884 people
- City population
- 54,884
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,127
- Household income
- $46,984
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1416.0
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.15%
- Current HPI
- 159.8807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.98%
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+66.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-09 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-04 Sold (MLS) $24,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-04 Sold (MLS) $24,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-04-01 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2025-04-01 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-03-30 Listed $30,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-03-30 Listed $30,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $856 · -16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…