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1301 Taft Hwy #27
C+ Composite 62.47
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

1301 Taft Hwy #27 · Bakersfield, CA 93307
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured public records · 124 Days on market
Built 1987 $100/sqft · 27% above area Est $98k · 27% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Well-maintained double-wide manufactured home located in Southland Mobile Home Park. This move-in ready home offers 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The open-concept living area features a large, inviting living room ideal for entertaining and family gatherings. The kitchen provides ample cabinet space and flows seamlessly into the main living area. The primary bedroom includes a private full bathroom and generous closet space. The secondary bedroom is also well-sized and perfect for guests or family members. Located in a family-friendly community. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Ample cabinet space
  • Community pool
  • Built 1987

Tags

DOUBLE-WIDE MANUFACTURED HOMEOPEN-CONCEPT LIVING AREAAMPLE CABINET SPACEPRIVATE FULL BATHROOMGENEROUS CLOSET SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $662 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 3.6% in Bakersfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#716 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Kern High (urban): math 21% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #860 of 1,400 in CA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $93k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.65%
Cash-on-cash
22.71%
DSCR
2.01
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$98,422
List price
$125,000
Delta
27.00%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1301 Taft #91 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,243 (-0%) 6mo $75,000 $60 90
1301 Taft Hwy #58 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,152 (-8%) 9mo $100,000 $87 75
1301 Taft Hwy #96 0.11mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,316 (+5%) 9mo $99,900 $76 73
1301 Taft Hwy #163 0.00mi 3/1.8 (+1) 1,152 (-8%) 15mo $60,000 $52 68
1301 Taft Hwy #31 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,120 (-10%) 14mo $130,000 $116 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$27,086
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
28.6%
Equity multiple
3.87×
Total profit
$100,282
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93307

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
311
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,846 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,064/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$388
Net cashflow
$662

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,008
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 59%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1408 Interlaken Dr Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1159 $2,250 $1.94 21d 1 1.00mi
8914 S Union Ave Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,950 $1.30 2d 1 1.10mi
600 Hosking Ave Unit 75B Bakersfield, CA 2.0 1.5 1008 $1,650 $1.64 21d 1 1.38mi
600 Hosking Ave Unit 47B Bakersfield, CA 2.0 1.5 1008 $1,650 $1.64 10d 1 1.38mi
600 Hosking Ave Unit 56A Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,750 $1.46 2d 1 1.38mi
600 Hosking Ave Unit 51D Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 3d 1 1.38mi
600 Hosking Ave Unit 73D Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,850 $1.50 43d 1 1.38mi
600 Hosking Ave Unit 43B Bakersfield, CA 2.0 1.5 1050 $1,650 $1.57 43d 1 1.38mi
600 Hosking Ave Apt 69A Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1208 $1,850 $1.53 19d 1 1.38mi
600 Hosking Ave Unit 47C Bakersfield, CA 2.0 1.5 1008 $1,650 $1.64 2d 1 1.38mi
1305 Quartz Hill Rd Bakersfield, CA 3.0 2.0 1351 $2,250 $1.67 2d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 124 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 123 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 122 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 121 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 119 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 118 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 116 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 115 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 114 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 113 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $125,000 Active 110 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 109 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 108 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 107 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 106 DOM
  16. 2026-02-17
    price $135,000 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    Well-maintained double-wide manufactured home located in Southland Mobile Home Park. This move-in ready home offers 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The open-concept living area features a large, inviting living room ideal for entertaining and family gatherings. The kitchen provides ample cabinet space and flows seamlessly into the main living area. The primary bedroom includes a private full bathroom and generous closet space. The secondary bedroom is also well-sized and perfect for guests or family members. Located in a family-friendly community. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Schedule your showing today!

  17. 2026-02-13
    listed $130,000 Active 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    Well-maintained double-wide manufactured home located in Southland Mobile Home Park. This move-in ready home offers 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The open-concept living area features a large, inviting living room ideal for entertaining and family gatherings. The kitchen provides ample cabinet space and flows seamlessly into the main living area. The primary bedroom includes a private full bathroom and generous closet space. The secondary bedroom is also well-sized and perfect for guests or family members. Located in a family-friendly community. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Schedule your showing today!

  18. 2024-10-03
    soldstatus $93,000 Sold 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Southland Mobile Home Family Park remodeled spacious 1248sf 2 bed 2 bath Manufacture Home. Home includes fresh paint inside and out, new carpet and wood look vinyl flooring, new stainless steel appliances, large laundry room, new miniblinds, now toilets, new lighting, central a/c and much more. Outside includes large wood decking patio, plus open concrete area in the back yard.

  19. 2024-09-16
    status Pending 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Southland Mobile Home Family Park remodeled spacious 1248sf 2 bed 2 bath Manufacture Home. Home includes fresh paint inside and out, new carpet and wood look vinyl flooring, new stainless steel appliances, large laundry room, new miniblinds, now toilets, new lighting, central a/c and much more. Outside includes large wood decking patio, plus open concrete area in the back yard.

  20. 2024-09-04
    status Active 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Southland Mobile Home Family Park remodeled spacious 1248sf 2 bed 2 bath Manufacture Home. Home includes fresh paint inside and out, new carpet and wood look vinyl flooring, new stainless steel appliances, large laundry room, new miniblinds, now toilets, new lighting, central a/c and much more. Outside includes large wood decking patio, plus open concrete area in the back yard.

  21. 2024-08-13
    status Pending 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Southland Mobile Home Family Park remodeled spacious 1248sf 2 bed 2 bath Manufacture Home. Home includes fresh paint inside and out, new carpet and wood look vinyl flooring, new stainless steel appliances, large laundry room, new miniblinds, now toilets, new lighting, central a/c and much more. Outside includes large wood decking patio, plus open concrete area in the back yard.

  22. 2024-08-10
    listed $95,000 Active 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Southland Mobile Home Family Park remodeled spacious 1248sf 2 bed 2 bath Manufacture Home. Home includes fresh paint inside and out, new carpet and wood look vinyl flooring, new stainless steel appliances, large laundry room, new miniblinds, now toilets, new lighting, central a/c and much more. Outside includes large wood decking patio, plus open concrete area in the back yard.

  23. 2013-09-25
    soldstatus $23,000
  24. 2013-09-16
    historical
  25. 2013-09-10
    listed $23,000
  26. 2004-09-03
    soldstatus $36,000
  27. 2004-08-24
    price $40,000
  28. 2004-08-24
    historical
  29. 2004-08-09
    listed $36,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,064 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,064 · $89/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 37 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,156
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,064
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,773
− Management
−$1,773
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$6,284
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,508
After-tax cash flow
$6,440/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kern High
NCES district ID
0619540
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$49,686
Composite
33.68/100
National rank
#10443
State rank
#860 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Bakersfield

Score
58/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#21355

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bakersfield, CA
County
Kern County · 710,371 people
City population
499,124
Metro
Bakersfield, CA
Population (ZIP)
85,945
Household income
$56,446
Rent vs Own
53.0% rent · 47.0% own
Severe rent burden
3246.0

Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
947,286 people
By 2030
978,984 · +3.3%
By 2040
1,045,018 · +10.3%
By 2050
1,105,232 · +16.7%
By 2075
1,229,538 · +29.8%
By 2100
1,238,059 · +30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 80% Two or more races 12% White 10% Black 6% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 73%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
31% · Canada
Languages at home
28% English-only · Spanish 69% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kern

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -263.59%
Current HPI
447.1746
Rent YoY
▲ 5.71%
Metro
Bakersfield, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+275.0% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $135,000 GEMLS
  • 2026-02-13 Listed $130,000 GEMLS
  • 2024-10-03 Sold (MLS) $93,000 GEMLS
  • 2024-09-16 Pending GEMLS
  • 2024-09-04 Relisted GEMLS
  • 2024-08-13 Pending GEMLS
  • 2024-08-10 Listed $95,000 GEMLS
  • 2013-09-25 Sold (MLS) $23,000 GEMLS
  • 2013-09-16 Delisted GEMLS
  • 2013-09-10 Listed $23,000 GEMLS
  • 2004-09-03 Sold (MLS) $36,000 GEMLS
  • 2004-08-24 Delisted GEMLS
  • 2004-08-24 Price Changed $40,000 GEMLS
  • 2004-08-09 Listed $36,000 GEMLS

Property tax history

+17.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,064 · +366.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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