1301 Taft Hwy #27 · Bakersfield, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 33 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 37 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well-maintained double-wide manufactured home located in Southland Mobile Home Park. This move-in ready home offers 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The open-concept living area features a large, inviting living room ideal for entertaining and family gatherings. The kitchen provides ample cabinet space and flows seamlessly into the main living area. The primary bedroom includes a private full bathroom and generous closet space. The secondary bedroom is also well-sized and perfect for guests or family members. Located in a family-friendly community. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Ample cabinet space
- Community pool
- Built 1987
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $662 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 3.6% in Bakersfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#716 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, crime F.
- Kern High (urban): math 21% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #860 of 1,400 in CA (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $93k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.71%
- DSCR
- 2.01
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $98,422
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- 27.00%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1301 Taft #91 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,243 (-0%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $60 | 90 |
| 1301 Taft Hwy #58 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (-8%) | 9mo | $100,000 | $87 | 75 |
| 1301 Taft Hwy #96 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,316 (+5%) | 9mo | $99,900 | $76 | 73 |
| 1301 Taft Hwy #163 | 0.00mi | 3/1.8 (+1) | 1,152 (-8%) | 15mo | $60,000 | $52 | 68 |
| 1301 Taft Hwy #31 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-10%) | 14mo | $130,000 | $116 | 66 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.77×
- Total profit
- $27,086
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.87×
- Total profit
- $100,282
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93307
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 311
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,846 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,064/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $662
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1408 Interlaken Dr Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1159 | $2,250 | $1.94 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 8914 S Union Ave Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,950 | $1.30 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 600 Hosking Ave Unit 75B Bakersfield, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,650 | $1.64 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 600 Hosking Ave Unit 47B Bakersfield, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,650 | $1.64 | 10d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 600 Hosking Ave Unit 56A Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 2d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 600 Hosking Ave Unit 51D Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 3d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 600 Hosking Ave Unit 73D Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,850 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 600 Hosking Ave Unit 43B Bakersfield, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,650 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 600 Hosking Ave Apt 69A Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $1,850 | $1.53 | 19d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 600 Hosking Ave Unit 47C Bakersfield, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,650 | $1.64 | 2d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1305 Quartz Hill Rd Bakersfield, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1351 | $2,250 | $1.67 | 2d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $125,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $125,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $125,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-02-17price $135,000 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Well-maintained double-wide manufactured home located in Southland Mobile Home Park. This move-in ready home offers 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The open-concept living area features a large, inviting living room ideal for entertaining and family gatherings. The kitchen provides ample cabinet space and flows seamlessly into the main living area. The primary bedroom includes a private full bathroom and generous closet space. The secondary bedroom is also well-sized and perfect for guests or family members. Located in a family-friendly community. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-13$130,000 Active 657-char remark
Show marketing remark (657 chars)
Well-maintained double-wide manufactured home located in Southland Mobile Home Park. This move-in ready home offers 2 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. The open-concept living area features a large, inviting living room ideal for entertaining and family gatherings. The kitchen provides ample cabinet space and flows seamlessly into the main living area. The primary bedroom includes a private full bathroom and generous closet space. The secondary bedroom is also well-sized and perfect for guests or family members. Located in a family-friendly community. Conveniently situated near shopping, dining, and major roadways. Schedule your showing today!
-
2024-10-03soldstatus $93,000 Sold 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Southland Mobile Home Family Park remodeled spacious 1248sf 2 bed 2 bath Manufacture Home. Home includes fresh paint inside and out, new carpet and wood look vinyl flooring, new stainless steel appliances, large laundry room, new miniblinds, now toilets, new lighting, central a/c and much more. Outside includes large wood decking patio, plus open concrete area in the back yard.
-
2024-09-16status Pending 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Southland Mobile Home Family Park remodeled spacious 1248sf 2 bed 2 bath Manufacture Home. Home includes fresh paint inside and out, new carpet and wood look vinyl flooring, new stainless steel appliances, large laundry room, new miniblinds, now toilets, new lighting, central a/c and much more. Outside includes large wood decking patio, plus open concrete area in the back yard.
-
2024-09-04status Active 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Southland Mobile Home Family Park remodeled spacious 1248sf 2 bed 2 bath Manufacture Home. Home includes fresh paint inside and out, new carpet and wood look vinyl flooring, new stainless steel appliances, large laundry room, new miniblinds, now toilets, new lighting, central a/c and much more. Outside includes large wood decking patio, plus open concrete area in the back yard.
-
2024-08-13status Pending 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Southland Mobile Home Family Park remodeled spacious 1248sf 2 bed 2 bath Manufacture Home. Home includes fresh paint inside and out, new carpet and wood look vinyl flooring, new stainless steel appliances, large laundry room, new miniblinds, now toilets, new lighting, central a/c and much more. Outside includes large wood decking patio, plus open concrete area in the back yard.
-
2024-08-10$95,000 Active 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Southland Mobile Home Family Park remodeled spacious 1248sf 2 bed 2 bath Manufacture Home. Home includes fresh paint inside and out, new carpet and wood look vinyl flooring, new stainless steel appliances, large laundry room, new miniblinds, now toilets, new lighting, central a/c and much more. Outside includes large wood decking patio, plus open concrete area in the back yard.
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2013-09-25soldstatus $23,000
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2013-09-16historical
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2013-09-10$23,000
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2004-09-03soldstatus $36,000
-
2004-08-24price $40,000
-
2004-08-24historical
-
2004-08-09$36,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,064 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,064 · $89/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 37 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,156
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,064
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,773
- − Management
- −$1,773
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $6,284
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,508
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,440/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kern High
- NCES district ID
- 0619540
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,686
- Composite
- 33.68/100
- National rank
- #10443
- State rank
- #860 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Bakersfield
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #716
- US rank
- #21355
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bakersfield, CA
- County
- Kern County · 710,371 people
- City population
- 499,124
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 85,945
- Household income
- $56,446
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3246.0
Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 947,286 people
- By 2030
- 978,984 · +3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,045,018 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,105,232 · +16.7%
- By 2075
- 1,229,538 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 1,238,059 · +30.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 80% Two or more races 12% White 10% Black 6% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 73%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 28% English-only · Spanish 69% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kern
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -263.59%
- Current HPI
- 447.1746
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.71%
- Metro
- Bakersfield, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+275.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-17 Price Changed $135,000 GEMLS
- 2026-02-13 Listed $130,000 GEMLS
- 2024-10-03 Sold (MLS) $93,000 GEMLS
- 2024-09-16 Pending — GEMLS
- 2024-09-04 Relisted — GEMLS
- 2024-08-13 Pending — GEMLS
- 2024-08-10 Listed $95,000 GEMLS
- 2013-09-25 Sold (MLS) $23,000 GEMLS
- 2013-09-16 Delisted — GEMLS
- 2013-09-10 Listed $23,000 GEMLS
- 2004-09-03 Sold (MLS) $36,000 GEMLS
- 2004-08-24 Delisted — GEMLS
- 2004-08-24 Price Changed $40,000 GEMLS
- 2004-08-09 Listed $36,000 GEMLS
Property tax history
+17.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,064 · +366.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…