43244 Mound Rd #2 · Sterling Heights, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Open house! Saturday, June 20th from 12pm-2pm. Sterling Heights' leading home seller presents this inviting ground-floor condo with a spacious living room, a patio, and the ease of single-level living. Set within a well-kept brick community with mature trees, manicured lawns, and convenient carport parking, this move-in ready home offers comfort and low-maintenance appeal. Step inside to a large, light-filled living room with vinyl flooring and sliding glass doors that open right out to the patio, bringing in great natural light and a lovely view of the green common space. The living area flows easily into the galley kitchen, which features wood cabinetry, generous counter space, and plenty
Key facts
- Ground floor condo
- Single level living
- Patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pet restrictions: call for details
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $161; Association covers lawn maintenance and water/sewer; Association phone available
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Condominium; 1 story; Unit/Building #2; Built in 1989
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Brick exterior; Porch; Paved street
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on entry level (13 x 11)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (entry level, approx. 8 x 5)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heat; Gas water heater
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Porch
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room on entry level (5 x 5)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-42 ($-503/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $108k (6.4% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.7% in Sterling Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#173 in MI, #4,545 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Utica Community Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #126 of 540 in MI (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $80k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.56%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-21,174
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- -10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-21,344
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48314
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,186 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,006/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$161
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$249
- Net cashflow
- $-42
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $23 | -5% $-9 | +0% $-42 | +5% $-74 | +10% $-107 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-136 | -5% $-89 | +0% $-42 | +5% $5 | +10% $52 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $16 | -0.5pp $-13 | base $-42 | +0.5pp $-72 | +1.0pp $-102 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7650 Greeley St Utica, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 662 | $1,150 | $1.74 | 23d | 2 | 1.18mi |
| 45600 Oak Hill Blvd Shelby Township, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1013 | $1,345 | $1.33 | 0d | 70 | 1.23mi |
| 8310 Hall Rd Utica, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $945 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 8310 Hall Rd Utica, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $945 | $1.45 | 25d | 2 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $161 · $1,932/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$115,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,006 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,006 · $167/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,236
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$2,006
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,139
- − Management
- −$1,139
- − HOA
- −$1,932
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable loss
- −$2,342
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$562
- After-tax cash flow
- $59/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Utica Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2634470
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $65,953
- Composite
- 40.52/100
- National rank
- #3709
- State rank
- #126 of 540 in MI
Livability — Sterling Heights
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #173
- US rank
- #4545
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sterling Heights, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 133,573
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,803
- Household income
- $85,889
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 585.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Asian 12% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Arab 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Arabic 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -249.62%
- Current HPI
- 172.8985
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+70.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Coming Soon $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 2000-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,006 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…