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43244 Mound Rd #2
D Composite 40.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

43244 Mound Rd #2 · Sterling Heights, MI 48314
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 707 sqft · Condo public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1989 $161/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Open house! Saturday, June 20th from 12pm-2pm. Sterling Heights' leading home seller presents this inviting ground-floor condo with a spacious living room, a patio, and the ease of single-level living. Set within a well-kept brick community with mature trees, manicured lawns, and convenient carport parking, this move-in ready home offers comfort and low-maintenance appeal. Step inside to a large, light-filled living room with vinyl flooring and sliding glass doors that open right out to the patio, bringing in great natural light and a lovely view of the green common space. The living area flows easily into the galley kitchen, which features wood cabinetry, generous counter space, and plenty

Key facts

  • Ground floor condo
  • Single level living
  • Patio

Tags

GROUND FLOOR CONDOSPACIOUS LIVING ROOMPATIOSINGLE LEVEL LIVINGWELL KEPT BRICK COMMUNITYMATURE TREES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pet restrictions: call for details
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $161; Association covers lawn maintenance and water/sewer; Association phone available

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Condominium; 1 story; Unit/Building #2; Built in 1989
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Brick exterior; Porch; Paved street

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator; Disposal
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on entry level (13 x 11)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (entry level, approx. 8 x 5)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heat; Gas water heater
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Porch
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room on entry level (5 x 5)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-42 ($-503/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $108k (6.4% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
  • Recommended offer: $108k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.7% in Sterling Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#173 in MI, #4,545 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
  • Utica Community Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #126 of 540 in MI (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $80k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $107,593 (6.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
5.86%
Cash-on-cash
-1.56%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.7%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-21,174
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
-10.9%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-21,344
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48314

Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,186 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$167 /mo · $2,006/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$161
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$249
Net cashflow
$-42

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,239
Max offer price $107,593
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $23 -5% $-9 +0% $-42 +5% $-74 +10% $-107
Rent -10% $-136 -5% $-89 +0% $-42 +5% $5 +10% $52
Rate -1.0pp $16 -0.5pp $-13 base $-42 +0.5pp $-72 +1.0pp $-102

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7650 Greeley St Utica, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 662 $1,150 $1.74 23d 2 1.18mi
45600 Oak Hill Blvd Shelby Township, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1013 $1,345 $1.33 0d 70 1.23mi
8310 Hall Rd Utica, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $945 $1.45 21d 1 1.48mi
8310 Hall Rd Utica, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $945 $1.45 25d 2 1.48mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$161 · $1,932/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    statusdays on marketlisting id $115,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Coming Soon 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $115,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,006 · $167/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,006 · $167/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,236
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$2,006
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,139
− Management
−$1,139
− HOA
−$1,932
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$2,342
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$562
After-tax cash flow
$59/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Utica Community Schools
NCES district ID
2634470
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$65,953
Composite
40.52/100
National rank
#3709
State rank
#126 of 540 in MI

Livability — Sterling Heights

Score
74/100
State rank
#173
US rank
#4545

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sterling Heights, MI
County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
City population
133,573
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
21,803
Household income
$85,889
Rent vs Own
24.1% rent · 75.9% own
Severe rent burden
585.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Asian 12% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Arab 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
68% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Arabic 8% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -249.62%
Current HPI
172.8985
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+70.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Coming Soon $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2019-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 2000-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,006 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…