419 S Bond Ave · Dallas, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Needs lots of repairs. Cash Only!
Key facts
- Substantial repairs
- Full renovation
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as Active and For Sale; Possession at closing/funding
- Financial info: Listing terms include cash and other
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Overhead utilities; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Not attached to another unit
- Construction: Built in 1951; Wood construction; Composition roof; Bois DArc post foundation
- Exterior features: Lot smaller than 0.5 acre; Subdivision: Arcadia Park; Directions: From S Walton Walker Blvd, turn right onto W Jefferson Blvd, turn right onto S Bond Ave. House will be on the right.
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level; No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level); Primary bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: One level layout; Total of 4 rooms; One living area; One dining area; No listed appliances; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $108k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.3% in Dallas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#24 in TX, #1,380 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Arcadia Park El (math 34% / reading 26%, grade F, #2,500 of 4,322 statewide, top 58%, 571 students, 91% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.9%/yr); 161 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.27%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,928
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 S Bond Ave | 0.03mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+7%) | 23mo | $214,999 | $299 | 67 |
| 111 S Dwight Ave | 0.19mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 600 (-11%) | 24mo | $160,000 | $267 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-10,056
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-9,348
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75211
- Rents YoY
- -3.9%
- Active inventory
- 161
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,457 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$342 /mo · $4,100/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $187
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 407 N Justin Ave Unit C Dallas, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $1,200 | $2.18 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 4599 W Davis St Dallas, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 930 | $1,358 | $1.46 | 2d | 50 | 0.85mi |
| 5050 Keeneland Pkwy Dallas, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 808 | $1,665 | $2.06 | 2d | 64 | 0.89mi |
| 4311 Division St Unit 102 Dallas, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,300 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1210 N Cockrell Hill Rd Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 908 | $1,998 | $2.20 | 3d | 25 | 1.31mi |
| 1310 N Cockrell Hill Rd Dallas, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $1,944 | $2.22 | 1d | 39 | 1.41mi |
| 4000 Walker St Dallas, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 656 | $1,450 | $2.21 | 7d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $110,000 Pending 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $110,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $110,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $110,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $110,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $110,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-19$110,000 Active
-
2026-03-13soldstatus
-
2016-12-28soldstatus
-
2005-08-19soldstatus
-
2005-08-16soldstatus
-
2005-08-09soldstatus 33-char remark
Show marketing remark (33 chars)
Needs lots of repairs. Cash Only!
-
2005-07-18historical 33-char remark
Show marketing remark (33 chars)
Needs lots of repairs. Cash Only!
-
2005-06-20$19,000 33-char remark
Show marketing remark (33 chars)
Needs lots of repairs. Cash Only!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,100 · $342/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,100 · $342/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,485
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$4,100
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,399
- − Management
- −$1,399
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $675
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$162
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,078/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dallas ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816230
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,881
- Composite
- 28.41/100
- National rank
- #6763
- State rank
- #559 of 826 in TX
Livability — Dallas
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #1380
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dallas, TX
- County
- Dallas County · 2,612,404 people
- City population
- 1,168,437
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 73,534
- Household income
- $56,807
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2585.0
Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,979,839 people
- By 2030
- 3,191,823 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 3,619,611 · +21.5%
- By 2050
- 4,026,915 · +35.1%
- By 2075
- 4,957,073 · +66.4%
- By 2100
- 5,508,725 · +84.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 79% Two or more races 24% White 10% Black 9% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 69%
- Foreign-born
- 32% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 32% English-only · Spanish 67%
Political lean MEDSL · Dallas
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -233.57%
- Current HPI
- 343.4166
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.89%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+478.9% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Listed $110,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-12-28 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-08-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-08-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-08-09 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2005-07-18 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2005-06-20 Listed $19,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
+10.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,100 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…