261 Minocqua St · Park Forest, IL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$146,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A True Park Forest Delight. .. 261 Minocqua has been fully renovated into an Open Concept with Fresh Paint Inside and Out. Generous Bedroom Sizes, Eat-In Kitchen, Laundry Closet, an Updated 2 car Garage, Driveway and Plenty of Yard space! The Rear Room addition has so much Character, offering a Double Door Entry, New Flooring, Full Closet and access to the Screened-in Patio, which also has Brand New Flooring. .. .This 3rd Room can be used as an Office, Family room or Indeed "Thee Primary Suite. " Stainless Steel Appliances stay! Roof has been Rejuvenated and Home is in Good Condition. Bring your Vision to Decorate your New Home. Sold As-Is. PRICED TO SELL!
Key facts
- Updated 2 car garage
- Open concept
- Screened-in patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession available at closing or immediate; Some photos are virtually staged
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (owned) with concrete driveway; 2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 60 x 125; Less than 0.25 acre lot; School bus service
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (approx. 10 x 18)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (approx. 12 x 15); Bedroom 2 on main level (approx. 12 x 13); Bedroom 3 on main level (approx. 11 x 22)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring in kitchen and master bedroom; Carpet in living room and Bedroom 2
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Screened porch (main level, approx. 8 x 20); Six total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $146k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $698 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $146k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 9.7% in Park Forest — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#148 in IL, #2,726 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
- Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $146k implies a 873% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.48% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.49%
- DSCR
- 1.91
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $170,128
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 245 Miami St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,363 (-1%) | 2mo | $139,000 | $102 | 89 |
| 287 Mohawk St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,408 (+3%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $124 | 87 |
| 210 Marquette St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,269 (-8%) | 0mo | $153,000 | $121 | 76 |
| 140 Nashua St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,313 (-4%) | 1mo | $103,000 | $78 | 73 |
| 397 Oswego St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,398 (+2%) | 2mo | $199,000 | $142 | 72 |
| 339 Blackhawk Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,417 (+3%) | 1mo | $234,200 | $165 | 68 |
| 360 Niagara St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,231 (-10%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $122 | 67 |
| 356 Waverly St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,419 (+3%) | 2mo | $120,000 | $85 | 58 |
| 251 Westwood Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-9%) | 2mo | $217,000 | $174 | 53 |
| 433 Lakewood Blvd | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (-9%) | 2mo | $165,000 | $132 | 53 |
| 340 Sauk Trl | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,576 (+15%) | 0mo | $180,000 | $114 | 48 |
| 364 Osage St | 0.72mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,503 (+10%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $163 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.51×
- Total profit
- $20,841
- Equity at exit
- $21,769
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.85×
- Total profit
- $75,539
- Equity at exit
- $12,623
Cash invested: $40,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60466
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,161 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$766
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$182 /mo · $2,190/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$454
- Net cashflow
- $698
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,500
- Closing costs
- $4,380
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 411 Huron St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,300 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 372 Oswego St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,600 | $2.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 277 Somonauk St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 966 | $2,000 | $2.07 | 3d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 111 Nashua St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 441 Talala St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $2,500 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 490 Shabbona Dr Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,895 | $1.46 | 3d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 194 Monee Rd Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,971 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 235 Tampa St Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $2,000 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 19 Apple Ln Park Forest, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1541 | $2,300 | $1.49 | 12d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 400 Watseka St Park Forest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1161 | $2,161 | $1.86 | 16d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3324 Western Ave Park Forest, IL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,995 | $1.94 | 1d | 11 | 1.06mi |
| 3905 Tower Dr Richton Park, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 905 | $1,795 | $1.98 | 1d | 19 | 1.18mi |
| 23439 Western Ave Unit C29 Park Forest, IL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $1,570 | $1.61 | 1d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 12d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 7d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4014 Euclid Ln Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,100 | $1.91 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22415-207 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 944 | $1,360 | $1.44 | 7d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-506 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,325 | $1.50 | 7d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22400-311 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,360 | $1.54 | 7d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-514 Richton Park, IL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1021 | $1,365 | $1.34 | 7d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4200 Arlington Dr Richton Park, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1595 | $2,061 | $1.29 | 20d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $146,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $146,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $146,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $146,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $146,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $146,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $146,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $146,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $146,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $146,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $146,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $146,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $146,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-22price $146,000
-
2026-04-19status Temporarily No Showings
-
2026-04-14historical Contingent - Continue to Show
-
2026-03-23price $144,000
-
2026-03-02price $148,000
-
2026-01-14$150,000 Active
-
2025-09-18historical
-
2025-08-14price
-
2025-08-06Active
-
2020-03-03historical
-
2020-02-25price
-
2020-02-05New
-
2018-11-15historical
-
2018-10-04status Reactivated
-
2018-09-30historical
-
2018-09-29price
-
2018-09-28status Reactivated
-
2018-09-16historical Contingent
-
2018-08-27New
-
2018-08-15historical
-
2018-07-25price
-
2018-07-13price
-
2018-06-27price
-
2018-06-14New
-
2015-08-28soldstatus $15,000 Closed Sale
-
2015-07-23status Pending
-
2015-07-15price $15,000
-
2015-04-09$25,000 New
-
1994-12-05soldstatus $71,000
-
1994-12-05soldstatus $71,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,931
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,178
- − Property taxes
- −$2,190
- − Insurance
- −$730
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,075
- − Management
- −$2,075
- − Depreciation
- −$4,247
- Taxable income
- $6,437
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,545
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,833/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rich Twp Hsd 227
- NCES district ID
- 1733420
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,056
- Composite
- 8.93/100
- National rank
- #9885
- State rank
- #577 of 620 in IL
Livability — Park Forest
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #148
- US rank
- #2726
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Park Forest, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 21,461
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,461
- Household income
- $61,654
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 900.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Iranian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.87%
- Current HPI
- 219.9692
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+105.6% since first listed30 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $146,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-19 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $144,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $148,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Listed $150,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-18 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-06 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-03-03 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-02-25 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-02-05 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-15 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-04 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-29 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-28 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-09-16 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-27 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-15 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-25 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-13 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-27 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-06-14 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-08-28 Sold (MLS) $15,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-23 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-15 Price Changed $15,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-04-09 Listed $25,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
- 1994-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.7%/yrLatest (2023): $10,981 · +42.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…