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357 County Road 218
C+ Composite 60.91
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.7/30.0
  • DSCR +8.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

357 County Road 218 · Farmington, MS 38834
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 250 Days on market
Built 1960 0.87 ac lot ↓ 32% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Located on CR 218, this property includes a 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom main house with a den and sunroom, sitting on just under 1 acre. A second structure on the property offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a living room, and a kitchen. With multiple living spaces and a spacious lot, this property presents a great opportunity for rental income or future development. Property will not qualify for FHA, USDA, or VA financing.

Key facts

  • Second structure
  • Sunroom
  • Spacious lot

Tags

DENSUNROOMSECOND STRUCTUREMULTIPLE LIVING SPACESSPACIOUS LOTRENTAL INCOME

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#234 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Alcorn School District (rural): math 45% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 130 in MS (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Alcorn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Alcorn County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 250 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $48k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $88,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 250 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
9.16%
Cash-on-cash
10.25%
DSCR
1.46
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.9%
Equity multiple
0.97×
Total profit
$-911
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
8.9%
Equity multiple
1.68×
Total profit
$19,061
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38834

Active inventory
192
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,258 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$189 /mo · $2,266/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$239

Break-even live

Break-even rent $956
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $296 -5% $268 +0% $239 +5% $211 +10% $183
Rent -10% $140 -5% $189 +0% $239 +5% $289 +10% $339
Rate -1.0pp $290 -0.5pp $265 base $239 +0.5pp $213 +1.0pp $187

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    remarks 416-char remark
  2. 2026-06-01
    listed $100,000 Pending 250 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,266 · $189/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,266 · $189/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,100
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$2,266
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,208
− Management
−$1,208
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$1,408
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$338
After-tax cash flow
$2,533/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alcorn School District
NCES district ID
2800390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$37,645
Composite
36.24/100
National rank
#4715
State rank
#33 of 130 in MS

Livability — Farmington

Score
59/100
State rank
#234
US rank
#19647

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Farmington, MS
Population (ZIP)
27,146

Population outlook (Alcorn County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,392 people
By 2030
38,804 · +1.1%
By 2040
39,455 · +2.8%
By 2050
39,708 · +3.4%
By 2075
39,917 · +4.0%
By 2100
37,628 · -2.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Alcorn

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.3) · D 15.4% · R 83.8%
2008→2024 swing
-24.4pp toward R · 2008: -44.0pp · 2024: -68.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.3 2020: R+63.5 2016: R+61.8 2012: R+51.6 2008: R+44.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.19%
Current HPI
155.736
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-32.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Pending NEMSBD
  • 2026-01-07 Relisted NEMSBD
  • 2025-09-19 Relisted NEMSBD
  • 2025-06-27 Price Changed $100,000 NEMSBD
  • 2025-06-12 Price Changed $125,000 NEMSBD
  • 2025-04-21 Listed $148,000 NEMSBD

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,266 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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