357 County Road 218 · Farmington, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located on CR 218, this property includes a 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom main house with a den and sunroom, sitting on just under 1 acre. A second structure on the property offers 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, a living room, and a kitchen. With multiple living spaces and a spacious lot, this property presents a great opportunity for rental income or future development. Property will not qualify for FHA, USDA, or VA financing.
Key facts
- Second structure
- Sunroom
- Spacious lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#234 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Alcorn School District (rural): math 45% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 130 in MS (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 192 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Alcorn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alcorn County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 250 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $48k (32%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 250 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.25%
- DSCR
- 1.46
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.97×
- Total profit
- $-911
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $19,061
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38834
- Active inventory
- 192
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,258 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,266/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $239
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $296 | -5% $268 | +0% $239 | +5% $211 | +10% $183 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $140 | -5% $189 | +0% $239 | +5% $289 | +10% $339 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $290 | -0.5pp $265 | base $239 | +0.5pp $213 | +1.0pp $187 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-01remarks 416-char remark
-
2026-06-01$100,000 Pending 250 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,266 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,266 · $189/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,100
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$2,266
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,208
- − Management
- −$1,208
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $1,408
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$338
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,533/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alcorn School District
- NCES district ID
- 2800390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,645
- Composite
- 36.24/100
- National rank
- #4715
- State rank
- #33 of 130 in MS
Livability — Farmington
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #234
- US rank
- #19647
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Farmington, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,146
Population outlook (Alcorn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,392 people
- By 2030
- 38,804 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 39,455 · +2.8%
- By 2050
- 39,708 · +3.4%
- By 2075
- 39,917 · +4.0%
- By 2100
- 37,628 · -2.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Alcorn
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+68.3) · D 15.4% · R 83.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.4pp toward R · 2008: -44.0pp · 2024: -68.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+68.3 2020: R+63.5 2016: R+61.8 2012: R+51.6 2008: R+44.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.19%
- Current HPI
- 155.736
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-32.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Pending — NEMSBD
- 2026-01-07 Relisted — NEMSBD
- 2025-09-19 Relisted — NEMSBD
- 2025-06-27 Price Changed $100,000 NEMSBD
- 2025-06-12 Price Changed $125,000 NEMSBD
- 2025-04-21 Listed $148,000 NEMSBD
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,266 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…