None · Miami Beach, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.5/10.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
ONE BEDROOM ONE BATH CO-OP Miami Beach water front
Key facts
- $550 HOA
- Community pool
- Built 1948
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $165k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 0.6% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: North Beach Elementary School (math 75% / reading 79%, grade A, #170 of 2,144 statewide, top 9%, 937 students, 24% FRL); Miami Beach Nautilus Middle School (math 46% / reading 58%, grade C+, #217 of 571 statewide, top 40%, 918 students, 44% FRL); Miami Beach Senior High School (math 21% / reading 48%, grade F, #386 of 667 statewide, top 59%, 2,175 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 36% FRL vs 64% district-wide (28 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 907 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.51%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $203,509
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -18.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4730 Pine Tree Dr #14 | 0.01mi | 1/1.0 | 500 (0%) | 12mo | $117,000 | $234 | 90 |
| 4740 Pine Tree Dr #28 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 500 (0%) | 14mo | $150,000 | $300 | 88 |
| 4730 Pine Tree Dr #18 | 0.01mi | 1/1.0 | 500 (0%) | 23mo | $105,000 | $210 | 80 |
| 3030 Collins Ave Unit 1F | 1.13mi | 1/1.0 | 461 (-8%) | 13mo | $303,000 | $657 | 41 |
| 5445 Collins Ave Unit L3 | 0.86mi | 1/1.5 | 430 (-14%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $640 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.96% appreciation · 3.52% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $30,622
- Equity at exit
- $56,027
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.15×
- Total profit
- $99,492
- Equity at exit
- $74,223
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 8 active · 3 under contract
- Months of supply
- 48.0 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $324,700 ($601/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 163 d
- This list price
- 12% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -32.3% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33140
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 907
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,110 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$145 /mo · $1,741/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$550
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$653
- Net cashflow
- $402
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $495 | -5% $448 | +0% $402 | +5% $355 | +10% $308 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $156 | -5% $279 | +0% $402 | +5% $524 | +10% $647 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $485 | -0.5pp $444 | base $402 | +0.5pp $359 | +1.0pp $315 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4401 Collins Ave Unit 1540556P Miami Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1076 | $19,838 | $18.44 | 0d | 2 | 0.49mi |
| 4391 Collins Ave Unit 1540431P Miami Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 796 | $17,073 | $21.44 | 18d | 2 | 0.52mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Association pool availableAssociation-maintained pool
- Financial info
- Pets allowed
- HOA & community
- Monthly association fee of $550Association includes pool access
Exterior
- Security
- Fire alarm
- Utilities
- Has heatingCeiling fan(s) for cooling
- Home design
- Two-story propertyAttached propertyEntry on level 2Has a view
- Construction
- Block constructionResale property
- Exterior features
- BarbecueCanal-front waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen
- Microwave
- Bathrooms
- One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Heat pump heatingCeiling fan(s)
- Interior features
- Handicap accessFire alarm
HOA detail $550/mo · $6,600/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-13days on market $165,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-08-12days on market $165,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-08-11days on market $165,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-08-10days on market $165,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-08-09days on market $165,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-08-08days on market $165,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $165,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $165,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $165,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $165,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $165,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $165,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $165,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $165,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $165,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $165,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $165,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $165,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $165,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $165,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $165,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $165,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $165,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $165,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $165,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $165,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $165,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $165,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $165,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $165,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $165,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $165,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $165,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $165,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $165,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $165,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $165,000 Active 24 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $165,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $165,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $165,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $165,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $165,000 Active 16 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,741 · $145/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,741 · $145/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,325
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,741
- − Insurance
- −$5,944
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,986
- − Management
- −$2,986
- − HOA
- −$6,600
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $3,025
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$726
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,092/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, painting, flooring replacement, and landscaping improvements. Significant value can be added through these updates, making it a good investment opportunity.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Significant wear and tear observed.
- Major exterior walls — Significant discoloration and wear.
- Major flooring — Old and in need of replacement.
- Major interior walls/paint — Peeling paint and signs of wear.
- Major landscaping — Overgrown and in need of trimming.
- Major fencing — Old and in need of repair or replacement.
- Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible signs of recent maintenance or updates.
- Major landscaping/curb appeal — Overall low curb appeal due to lack of maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Replace roof — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both Paint exterior walls — Fresh paint would improve the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Replace flooring — New flooring would improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both Trim and maintain landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping would improve the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Repair or replace fencing — A new or repaired fence would improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both Update HVAC system — A new HVAC system would improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing its value. ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained and landscaped exterior would significantly improve the home's curb appeal and value. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami Beach
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #1672
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 3,126,439 people
- City population
- 90,533
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,342
- Household income
- $107,063
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 19% of renters
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 23% Black 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 19% Salvadoran 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 44% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 43% English-only · Spanish 45% Other Indo-European 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.96%
- Current HPI
- 302.8514
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.52%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2026-06-04 Pending — MARMLS
- 2026-06-01 Listed $165,000 MARMLS
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,741 · -24.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…