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A- Composite 84.31
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$165,000

None · Miami Beach, FL 33140
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 500 sqft · Townhouse public records · 69 Days on market
Built 1948 Poor condition $330/sqft · 19% below area Est $204k · 19% under $550/mo HOA · 18% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

ONE BEDROOM ONE BATH CO-OP Miami Beach water front

Key facts

  • $550 HOA
  • Community pool
  • Built 1948

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $165k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 0.6% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: North Beach Elementary School (math 75% / reading 79%, grade A, #170 of 2,144 statewide, top 9%, 937 students, 24% FRL); Miami Beach Nautilus Middle School (math 46% / reading 58%, grade C+, #217 of 571 statewide, top 40%, 918 students, 44% FRL); Miami Beach Senior High School (math 21% / reading 48%, grade F, #386 of 667 statewide, top 59%, 2,175 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools average 36% FRL vs 64% district-wide (28 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 907 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $155,100 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
12.32%
Cash-on-cash
21.51%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$203,509
List price
$165,000
Delta
-18.92%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4730 Pine Tree Dr #14 0.01mi 1/1.0 500 (0%) 12mo $117,000 $234 90
4740 Pine Tree Dr #28 0.00mi 1/1.0 500 (0%) 14mo $150,000 $300 88
4730 Pine Tree Dr #18 0.01mi 1/1.0 500 (0%) 23mo $105,000 $210 80
3030 Collins Ave Unit 1F 1.13mi 1/1.0 461 (-8%) 13mo $303,000 $657 41
5445 Collins Ave Unit L3 0.86mi 1/1.5 430 (-14%) 2mo $275,000 $640 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.96% appreciation · 3.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$30,622
Equity at exit
$56,027
10-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$99,492
Equity at exit
$74,223

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
8 active · 3 under contract
Months of supply
48.0 mo (2%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$324,700 ($601/sqft)
Median days on market
163 d
This list price
12% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-32.3% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33140

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Rents YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
907
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,110 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,741/yr
Insurance
$69
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$550
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$653
Net cashflow
$402

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,602
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 82%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $495 -5% $448 +0% $402 +5% $355 +10% $308
Rent -10% $156 -5% $279 +0% $402 +5% $524 +10% $647
Rate -1.0pp $485 -0.5pp $444 base $402 +0.5pp $359 +1.0pp $315

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4401 Collins Ave Unit 1540556P Miami Beach, FL 2.0 1.0–3.0 1076 $19,838 $18.44 0d 2 0.49mi
4391 Collins Ave Unit 1540431P Miami Beach, FL 1.0 1.0–2.0 796 $17,073 $21.44 18d 2 0.52mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Association pool availableAssociation-maintained pool
Financial info
Pets allowed
HOA & community
Monthly association fee of $550Association includes pool access

Exterior

Security
Fire alarm
Utilities
Has heatingCeiling fan(s) for cooling
Home design
Two-story propertyAttached propertyEntry on level 2Has a view
Construction
Block constructionResale property
Exterior features
BarbecueCanal-front waterfront

Interior

Kitchen
Microwave
Bathrooms
One full bathroom
Heating & cooling
Heat pump heatingCeiling fan(s)
Interior features
Handicap accessFire alarm

HOA detail $550/mo · $6,600/yr

Likely covers
water

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 69 DOM
  2. 2026-08-12
    days on market $165,000 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-08-11
    days on market $165,000 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-08-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-08-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-08-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-08-06
    days on market $165,000 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-08-05
    days on market $165,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-08-04
    days on market $165,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-08-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-07-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-07-28
    days on market $165,000 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-07-26
    days on market $165,000 Active 51 DOM
  14. 2026-07-24
    days on market $165,000 Active 49 DOM
  15. 2026-07-23
    days on market $165,000 Active 48 DOM
  16. 2026-07-22
    days on market $165,000 Active 47 DOM
  17. 2026-07-21
    days on market $165,000 Active 46 DOM
  18. 2026-07-20
    days on market $165,000 Active 45 DOM
  19. 2026-07-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 43 DOM
  20. 2026-07-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 42 DOM
  21. 2026-07-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 41 DOM
  22. 2026-07-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 40 DOM
  23. 2026-07-14
    days on market $165,000 Active 39 DOM
  24. 2026-07-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 38 DOM
  25. 2026-07-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 37 DOM
  26. 2026-07-11
    days on market $165,000 Active 36 DOM
  27. 2026-07-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 35 DOM
  28. 2026-07-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 34 DOM
  29. 2026-07-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 32 DOM
  30. 2026-07-06
    days on market $165,000 Active 31 DOM
  31. 2026-07-06
    days on market $165,000 Active 30 DOM
  32. 2026-07-05
    days on market $165,000 Active 29 DOM
  33. 2026-07-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 28 DOM
  34. 2026-07-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 27 DOM
  35. 2026-07-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 26 DOM
  36. 2026-06-30
    days on market $165,000 Active 25 DOM
  37. 2026-06-29
    days on market $165,000 Active 24 DOM
  38. 2026-06-28
    days on market $165,000 Active 23 DOM
  39. 2026-06-27
    days on market $165,000 Active 22 DOM
  40. 2026-06-26
    days on market $165,000 Active 21 DOM
  41. 2026-06-24
    days on market $165,000 Active 19 DOM
  42. 2026-06-22
    days on market $165,000 Active 17 DOM
  43. 2026-06-21
    days on market $165,000 Active 16 DOM
  44. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 13 DOM
  45. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 12 DOM
  46. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 11 DOM
  47. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 10 DOM
  48. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 8 DOM
  49. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 4 DOM
  50. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,741 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,741 · $145/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,325
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$1,741
− Insurance
−$5,944
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,986
− Management
−$2,986
− HOA
−$6,600
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable income
$3,025
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$726
After-tax cash flow
$4,092/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab Est. rehab $25,000–$45,000 screening

This property requires extensive repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, painting, flooring replacement, and landscaping improvements. Significant value can be added through these updates, making it a good investment opportunity.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — Significant wear and tear observed.
  • Major exterior walls — Significant discoloration and wear.
  • Major flooring — Old and in need of replacement.
  • Major interior walls/paint — Peeling paint and signs of wear.
  • Major landscaping — Overgrown and in need of trimming.
  • Major fencing — Old and in need of repair or replacement.
  • Major HVAC/mechanicals — No visible signs of recent maintenance or updates.
  • Major landscaping/curb appeal — Overall low curb appeal due to lack of maintenance.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Replace roof — A new roof would significantly improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Both Paint exterior walls — Fresh paint would improve the home's curb appeal and value.
  • Both Replace flooring — New flooring would improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Both Trim and maintain landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping would improve the home's curb appeal and value.
  • Both Repair or replace fencing — A new or repaired fence would improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Both Update HVAC system — A new HVAC system would improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing its value.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — A well-maintained and landscaped exterior would significantly improve the home's curb appeal and value.

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 54/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary North Beach Elementary School A FL #170/2,144 Nat'l #1,658/41,679 Middle Miami Beach Nautilus Middle School C+ FL #217/571 Nat'l #3,033/14,009 High Miami Beach Senior High School F FL #386/667 Nat'l #9,639/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL
A Composite livability gradescore 80/100

Livability — Miami Beach

Score
80/100
State rank
#108
US rank
#1672

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment B Housing C- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Miami Beach, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 3,126,439 people
City population
90,533
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
20,342
Household income
$107,063
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
19% of renters

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 44% Two or more races 23% Black 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 19% Salvadoran 6%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 5% Romanian 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
44% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
Languages at home
43% English-only · Spanish 45% Other Indo-European 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2026-06-04 Pending MARMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $165,000 MARMLS

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,741 · -24.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…