CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
554 Perry St Duplex
A Composite 89.67
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$145,000

554 Perry St · Buffalo, NY 14210
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,872 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1910 3,450 sqft lot $77/sqft · 45% below area Est $266k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 554 Perry, a solid and spacious 2 unit property offering a total of 4 bedrooms, 2 full bedrooms and approximately 1872sq ftof living space with full attic. This classic double is ideal for investors or owner-occupants looking to build equity and generate rental income. Each unit features a traditional layout with generous living and dinging areas and plenty of natural light. The property offers great bones and endless potential. Conveniently located near downtown Buffalo, major highways and local amenities. This property provides easy access to shopping, employment centers and entertainment. Whether you're adding to your portfolio or looking for your first multifamily investment. Do not miss this opportunity.

Key facts

  • 3,450 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1910

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $690/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.7%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,085/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 959% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.13%
Cap rate
18.17%
Cash-on-cash
42.42%
DSCR
2.89
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$265,611
List price
$145,000
Delta
-45.41%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
183 Mackinaw St 0.40mi 5/2.0 (-1) 1,916 (+2%) 8mo $192,000 $100 66
93 Oconnell Ave 0.46mi 6/2.0 1,840 (-2%) 16mo $140,000 $76 62
137 Vincennes St 0.41mi 6/2.0 2,058 (+10%) 20mo $132,500 $64 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.5%
Equity multiple
5.51×
Total profit
$183,219
Equity at exit
$130,627
10-year hold
IRR
55.1%
Equity multiple
13.59×
Total profit
$511,004
Equity at exit
$281,703

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14210

Home prices YoY
13.8%
Rents YoY
12.7%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,085 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
Insurance
$60
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$648
Net cashflow
$1,380

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,339
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,480 -5% $1,430 +0% $1,380 +5% $1,329 +10% $1,279
Rent -10% $1,136 -5% $1,258 +0% $1,380 +5% $1,501 +10% $1,623
Rate -1.0pp $1,453 -0.5pp $1,416 base $1,380 +0.5pp $1,342 +1.0pp $1,304

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,085

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $145,000 Active 72 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 71 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 62 DOM
  15. 2026-03-30
    status Active 729-char remark
    Show marketing remark (729 chars)

    Welcome to 554 Perry, a solid and spacious 2 unit property offering a total of 4 bedrooms, 2 full bedrooms and approximately 1872sq ftof living space with full attic. This classic double is ideal for investors or owner-occupants looking to build equity and generate rental income. Each unit features a traditional layout with generous living and dinging areas and plenty of natural light. The property offers great bones and endless potential. Conveniently located near downtown Buffalo, major highways and local amenities. This property provides easy access to shopping, employment centers and entertainment. Whether you're adding to your portfolio or looking for your first multifamily investment. Do not miss this opportunity.

  16. 2026-03-03
    listed $145,000 729-char remark
    Show marketing remark (729 chars)

    Welcome to 554 Perry, a solid and spacious 2 unit property offering a total of 4 bedrooms, 2 full bedrooms and approximately 1872sq ftof living space with full attic. This classic double is ideal for investors or owner-occupants looking to build equity and generate rental income. Each unit features a traditional layout with generous living and dinging areas and plenty of natural light. The property offers great bones and endless potential. Conveniently located near downtown Buffalo, major highways and local amenities. This property provides easy access to shopping, employment centers and entertainment. Whether you're adding to your portfolio or looking for your first multifamily investment. Do not miss this opportunity.

  17. 2026-03-03
    historical 729-char remark
    Show marketing remark (729 chars)

    Welcome to 554 Perry, a solid and spacious 2 unit property offering a total of 4 bedrooms, 2 full bedrooms and approximately 1872sq ftof living space with full attic. This classic double is ideal for investors or owner-occupants looking to build equity and generate rental income. Each unit features a traditional layout with generous living and dinging areas and plenty of natural light. The property offers great bones and endless potential. Conveniently located near downtown Buffalo, major highways and local amenities. This property provides easy access to shopping, employment centers and entertainment. Whether you're adding to your portfolio or looking for your first multifamily investment. Do not miss this opportunity.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 77% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,020
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,175
− Insurance
−$1,392
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,962
− Management
−$2,962
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$15,190
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,646
After-tax cash flow
$12,909/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
15,563
Household income
$54,197
Rent vs Own
53.9% rent · 46.1% own
Severe rent burden
959.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 21% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 52.34%
Current HPI
431.7951
Rent YoY
▲ 12.67%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-30 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-03 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $145,000 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $207 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…