13247 Ny-22 · Pittsfield, MA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Appreciation +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$349,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for that Log Cabin in The Woods? Come and enjoy the exposed logs, inside and out! The cathedral ceilings and just the feeling of being Home. Perfectly located minutes to Pittsfield, Lenox, Tanglewood and a great Albany commute.
Key facts
- Improved grounds
- Log home living
- Spacious loft
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Utilities: Private well water
- Home design: Cabin-style single family residence; 1.4-acre lot; Private maintained road
- Construction: Metal roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Landscaped grounds; Level and meadow areas; Native plantings; Private setting; Wooded areas; Has view; Garage(s), outbuilding and shed(s)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Wood heating
- Interior features: Full walk-out basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $326k (7.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $326k (7.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.7% in Pittsfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#70 in MA, #3,820 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities D+, schools D.
- New Lebanon Central School District (rural): math 56% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #313 of 755 in NY (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 136 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Columbia County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $155k; list at $350k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.78%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,064,460
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13191 State Route 22 #27 | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 | 1,760 (-7%) | 23mo | $995,000 | $565 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-20,413
- Equity at exit
- $75,417
- IRR
- 2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $20,777
- Equity at exit
- $71,722
Cash invested: $97,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12029
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,255 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,835
- Tax from tax record
- −$365 /mo · $4,374/yr
- Insurance
- −$146
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$684
- Net cashflow
- $227
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $425 | -5% $326 | +0% $227 | +5% $128 | +10% $28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-31 | -5% $98 | +0% $227 | +5% $355 | +10% $484 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $403 | -0.5pp $316 | base $227 | +0.5pp $136 | +1.0pp $44 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,475
- Closing costs
- $10,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $349,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $349,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $349,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17pricedays on market $349,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $349,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $349,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $349,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $349,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-09$349,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,374 · $365/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,374 · $365/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $39,065
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,600
- − Property taxes
- −$4,374
- − Insurance
- −$1,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,125
- − Management
- −$3,125
- − Depreciation
- −$10,179
- Taxable loss
- −$3,088
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$741
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,460/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Lebanon Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620430
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,848
- Composite
- 50.96/100
- National rank
- #3837
- State rank
- #313 of 755 in NY
Livability — Pittsfield
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #3820
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 44,848
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,017
Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 58,662 people
- By 2030
- 56,557 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 51,324 · -12.5%
- By 2050
- 45,790 · -21.9%
- By 2075
- 35,232 · -39.9%
- By 2100
- 25,846 · -55.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Black 5% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 8% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Columbia
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.7) · D 57.4% · R 42.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.3pp toward D · 2008: 13.4pp · 2024: 14.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.7 2020: D+16.7 2016: D+1.4 2012: D+11.7 2008: D+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.54%
- Current HPI
- 384.886
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $76B |
|
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| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
|
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| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+365.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $349,000 HVCRMLS
- 2018-10-19 Sold (MLS) $155,000 BCMLS
- 2018-09-09 Sold (MLS) $159,000 Global MLS
- 2018-08-29 Sold (Public Records) $159,000 Public Records
- 2018-08-28 Sold (MLS) $159,000 HVCRMLS
- 2018-05-26 Listed $159,000 HVCRMLS
- 2018-05-26 Listed $159,000 Global MLS
- 2018-05-26 Listed $159,000 BCMLS
- 2000-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $4,374 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…