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4444 49th St 8-Plex
C Composite 57.97
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.5/30.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$2,250,000

4444 49th St · San Diego, CA 92115
8 bd · 8.0 ba · 4,216 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1962

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 8 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

HUGE PRICE REDUCTION! $350,000!!! Incredible opportunity to own a fully remodeled 8-unit multifamily property just minutes from SDSU in the rapidly growing College Area of San Diego. Each 1-bed / 1-bath unit is newly upgraded and will be delivered fully furnished, offering a turnkey investment with strong existing income. Six units are currently producing high-demand mid-term rental income, with significant upside if converted to long-term tenants, achieving a projected 6.42% cap rate at the new price of $2,250,000. The property features modern interiors, on-site laundry, 10 parking spaces, and a Walk Score of 91, providing excellent accessibility to dining, retail, and transportation. With

Key facts

  • Fully remodeled
  • Newly upgraded
  • 11 parking spaces

Tags

FULLY REMODELEDNEWLY UPGRADEDFULLY FURNISHEDON-SITE LAUNDRY11 PARKING SPACESEXCELLENT ACCESSIBILITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $2.25M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5k ($56k/yr) — positive. Per door: $579/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($25k rent vs $2.25M).
  • Recommended offer: $2.18M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 2.0% in San Diego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#123 in CA, #4,206 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, cost of living F.
  • San Diego Unified (urban): math 19% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #393 of 517 in CA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 181 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 11,759 units permitted in San Diego County in 2024 (7,244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $24,929/mo this rent would consume 378% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 4584% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $16k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $68k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Diego County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($2.18M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $2,182,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.76%
Cash-on-cash
8.82%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-50,811
Equity at exit
$335,482
10-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$413,828
Equity at exit
$194,539

Cash invested: $630,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92115

Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
181
Price-to-rent
60.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$24,929 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$11,799
Tax from tax record
$2,325 /mo · $27,903/yr
Insurance
$938
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$5,235
Net cashflow
$4,632

Break-even live

Break-even rent $19,066
Max offer price $2,250,000
Occupancy floor 76%

8-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (8 units) $24,929

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$562,500
Closing costs
$67,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-01-02
    soldstatus $2,200,000
  2. 2025-11-18
    status Pending
  3. 2025-11-04
    price $2,250,000
  4. 2025-11-03
    price $2,500,000
  5. 2025-10-19
    price $2,300,000
  6. 2025-10-08
    listed $2,350,000 Active
  7. 2025-09-18
    historical
  8. 2025-06-18
    listed $2,699,000 Active
  9. 2025-06-15
    historical
  10. 2025-06-07
    listed $2,599,000
  11. 2023-02-06
    historical
  12. 2022-12-05
    listed $2,875,000
  13. 2022-09-21
    soldstatus $2,135,000
  14. 2022-08-29
    historical
  15. 2022-08-29
    historical
  16. 2022-07-06
    listed $2,300,000 Active
  17. 2022-04-13
    listed $2,300,000
  18. 2021-02-08
    soldstatus $1,685,000
  19. 2021-02-08
    soldstatus $1,685,000
  20. 2020-12-18
    listed $1,600,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$27,903 · $2,325/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$27,903 · $2,325/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$299,148
− Mortgage interest
−$126,035
− Property taxes
−$27,903
− Insurance
−$11,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$23,932
− Management
−$23,932
− Depreciation
−$65,455
Taxable income
$20,642
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,954
After-tax cash flow
$50,629/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Diego Unified
NCES district ID
0634320
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -28.00%
Median HH income
$61,673
Composite
22.31/100
National rank
#8135
State rank
#393 of 517 in CA

Livability — San Diego

Score
75/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#4206

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Diego, CA
County
San Diego County · 3,178,799 people
City population
1,397,612
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
Population (ZIP)
66,264
Household income
$79,199
Rent vs Own
60.0% rent · 40.0% own
Severe rent burden
4584.0

Population outlook (San Diego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,678,185 people
By 2030
3,856,546 · +4.8%
By 2040
4,171,407 · +13.4%
By 2050
4,421,607 · +20.2%
By 2075
4,831,599 · +31.4%
By 2100
4,832,502 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 15% Asian 13% Black 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
65% English-only · Spanish 21% Vietnamese 4% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · San Diego

2024 margin
D (+16.8) · D 56.9% · R 40.1% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 10.2pp · 2024: 16.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+16.8 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+17.8 2012: D+5.1 2008: D+10.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -973.18%
Current HPI
427.2256
Rent YoY
▲ 3.74%
Metro
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.5% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-02 Sold (Public Records) $2,200,000 Public Records
  • 2025-11-18 Pending SDMLS
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $2,250,000 SDMLS
  • 2025-11-03 Price Changed $2,500,000 SDMLS
  • 2025-10-19 Price Changed $2,300,000 SDMLS
  • 2025-10-08 Listed $2,350,000 SDMLS
  • 2025-09-18 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2025-06-18 Listed $2,699,000 SDMLS
  • 2025-06-15 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2025-06-07 Listed $2,599,000 SDMLS
  • 2023-02-06 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2022-12-05 Listed $2,875,000 SDMLS
  • 2022-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $2,135,000 Public Records
  • 2022-08-29 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2022-08-29 Listing Removed SDMLS
  • 2022-07-06 Listed $2,300,000 SDMLS
  • 2022-04-13 Listed $2,300,000 SDMLS
  • 2021-02-08 Sold (Public Records) $1,685,000 Public Records
  • 2021-02-08 Sold (MLS) $1,685,000 SDMLS
  • 2020-12-18 Listed $1,600,000 SDMLS

Property tax history

+17.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $27,903 · +3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…