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12643 Rousby Hall Rd
D Composite 42.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.3/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$370,000

12643 Rousby Hall Rd · Drum Point, MD 20657
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,728 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1980 0.46 ac lot Est $368k · at est. $25/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully Updated 4 Bed, 2 Bath Rambler. Freshly painted with New kitchen cabinets with granite counter tops with deep double bowl stainless steel sink and coffee station , New stainless steel appliances, New washer and dryer New laminate water proof flooring in Dining room, kitchen, hallway, and 3 bedrooms. owners bathroom has had a complete make over. Hall bath has new vanity, toilet and flooring. Enjoy evenings out back in your private Oasis Fenced in yard with large deck and a 14 x 14 pergola . with built in flower boxes and extensive landscaping. A 24 foot diameter above ground pool with salt water system. Professionally maintained yard. Community offers a private beach , dock/pier and water access. .. .. .. . Please abide by the CDC Covid-19 Guidelines when viewing this home. Mask up, use hand sanitizer provided Thank you.

Key facts

  • Flat backyard
  • Major updates
  • Single-level living

Tags

FLAT BACKYARDOPEN KITCHENPAVER PATIOMAJOR UPDATESSINGLE-LEVEL LIVING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lease not considered
  • Financial info: Property assessed values reported (land and improvement amounts available)
  • HOA & community: HOA fee $300 annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Well water source; Holding tank sewer
  • Home design: Detached property; Finished area above grade reported as 1,728 by assessor; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Crawl space foundation; Other structures above and below grade; Year built reported by assessor
  • Exterior features: Located outside city limits

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump(s) heating; Electric heating fuel; Electric hot water; Cooling listed as other with electric fuel
  • Interior features: No basement; Living area reported by assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $370k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $102 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $340k (8.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $340k (8.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#286 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living D-.
  • Calvert County Public Schools (rural): math 23% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #5 of 24 in MD (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Dowell Elementary (math 15% / reading 18%, grade F, #433 of 860 statewide, top 51%, 585 students, 42% FRL); Mill Creek Middle (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #108 of 225 statewide, top 50%, 446 students, 42% FRL); Patuxent High (math 52% / reading 81%, grade B, #53 of 222 statewide, top 24%, 1,029 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 19% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 177 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 101 units permitted in Calvert County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($116k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($364k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $317k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $339,788 (8.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
6.62%
Cash-on-cash
1.19%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$368,064
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
324 Clubhouse Dr 0.25mi 4/2.5 1,750 (+1%) 8mo $340,000 $194 77
235 Calvert Dr 0.19mi 3/4.0 (-1) 1,728 (0%) 11mo $375,000 $217 69
256 Frontier Trl 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (-3%) 4mo $355,000 $211 66
12618 Corral Dr 0.16mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,852 (+7%) 12mo $405,000 $219 62
312 Clubhouse Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,545 (-11%) 9mo $359,900 $233 61
334 Longhorn Cir 0.42mi 3/3.0 (-1) 1,897 (+10%) 1mo $399,900 $211 54
440 Tumbleweed Trl 0.73mi 4/2.5 1,780 (+3%) 8mo $380,000 $213 52
12543 Calyx Rd 0.67mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,808 (+5%) 12mo $400,000 $221 44
12581 Catalina Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (-7%) 14mo $335,000 $209 42
12840 Eagle Dr 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,850 (+7%) 16mo $345,000 $186 41
288 Elkins Ln 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,928 (+12%) 4mo $610,000 $316 38
12468 Sagebrush Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,946 (+13%) 11mo $259,000 $133 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.4%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-53,371
Equity at exit
$55,168
10-year hold
IRR
-5.6%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-37,811
Equity at exit
$31,991

Cash invested: $103,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 20657

Home prices YoY
-7.1%
Active inventory
177
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,398 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,940
Tax est. 1.5%
$462 /mo · $5,550/yr
Insurance
$154
HOA
$25
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$714
Net cashflow
$102

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,268
Max offer price $370,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $358 -5% $230 +0% $102 +5% $-26 +10% $-153
Rent -10% $-166 -5% $-32 +0% $102 +5% $237 +10% $371
Rate -1.0pp $289 -0.5pp $196 base $102 +0.5pp $6 +1.0pp $-91

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$92,500
Closing costs
$11,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12433 Cree Ln Lusby, MD 3.0 2.0 1448 $1,850 $1.28 45d 1 0.53mi
12627 Hilltop Rd Lusby, MD 3.0 2.0 1108 $2,400 $2.17 18d 1 0.73mi
12995 Barreda Blvd Unit 1520893P Lusby, MD 4.0 3.0 1991 $8,400 $4.22 24d 1 1.00mi
12443 San Jose Ln Lusby, MD 3.0 3.0 1164 $2,350 $2.02 24d 1 1.21mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$25 · $300/yr
Likely covers
waterlandscapingpool

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $370,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $370,000 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $370,000 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $370,000 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $370,000 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $370,000 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $370,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $370,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $370,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $370,000 Active 12 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $370,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $370,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $370,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $370,000 Active 8 DOM
  15. 2026-05-25
    status Active
  16. 2026-04-09
    historical
  17. 2026-03-12
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2026-03-10
    listed $370,000 Active
  19. 2021-07-20
    soldstatus $317,000
  20. 2021-06-21
    soldstatus $317,000 Closed 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Beautifully Updated 4 Bed, 2 Bath Rambler. Freshly painted with New kitchen cabinets with granite counter tops with deep double bowl stainless steel sink and coffee station , New stainless steel appliances, New washer and dryer New laminate water proof flooring in Dining room, kitchen, hallway, and 3 bedrooms. owners bathroom has had a complete make over. Hall bath has new vanity, toilet and flooring. Enjoy evenings out back in your private Oasis Fenced in yard with large deck and a 14 x 14 pergola . with built in flower boxes and extensive landscaping. A 24 foot diameter above ground pool with salt water system. Professionally maintained yard. Community offers a private beach , dock/pier and water access. .. .. .. . Please abide by the CDC Covid-19 Guidelines when viewing this home. Mask up, use hand sanitizer provided Thank you.

  21. 2021-05-21
    historical Active Under Contract 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Beautifully Updated 4 Bed, 2 Bath Rambler. Freshly painted with New kitchen cabinets with granite counter tops with deep double bowl stainless steel sink and coffee station , New stainless steel appliances, New washer and dryer New laminate water proof flooring in Dining room, kitchen, hallway, and 3 bedrooms. owners bathroom has had a complete make over. Hall bath has new vanity, toilet and flooring. Enjoy evenings out back in your private Oasis Fenced in yard with large deck and a 14 x 14 pergola . with built in flower boxes and extensive landscaping. A 24 foot diameter above ground pool with salt water system. Professionally maintained yard. Community offers a private beach , dock/pier and water access. .. .. .. . Please abide by the CDC Covid-19 Guidelines when viewing this home. Mask up, use hand sanitizer provided Thank you.

  22. 2021-05-17
    price $309,990 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Beautifully Updated 4 Bed, 2 Bath Rambler. Freshly painted with New kitchen cabinets with granite counter tops with deep double bowl stainless steel sink and coffee station , New stainless steel appliances, New washer and dryer New laminate water proof flooring in Dining room, kitchen, hallway, and 3 bedrooms. owners bathroom has had a complete make over. Hall bath has new vanity, toilet and flooring. Enjoy evenings out back in your private Oasis Fenced in yard with large deck and a 14 x 14 pergola . with built in flower boxes and extensive landscaping. A 24 foot diameter above ground pool with salt water system. Professionally maintained yard. Community offers a private beach , dock/pier and water access. .. .. .. . Please abide by the CDC Covid-19 Guidelines when viewing this home. Mask up, use hand sanitizer provided Thank you.

  23. 2021-04-30
    price $319,000 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Beautifully Updated 4 Bed, 2 Bath Rambler. Freshly painted with New kitchen cabinets with granite counter tops with deep double bowl stainless steel sink and coffee station , New stainless steel appliances, New washer and dryer New laminate water proof flooring in Dining room, kitchen, hallway, and 3 bedrooms. owners bathroom has had a complete make over. Hall bath has new vanity, toilet and flooring. Enjoy evenings out back in your private Oasis Fenced in yard with large deck and a 14 x 14 pergola . with built in flower boxes and extensive landscaping. A 24 foot diameter above ground pool with salt water system. Professionally maintained yard. Community offers a private beach , dock/pier and water access. .. .. .. . Please abide by the CDC Covid-19 Guidelines when viewing this home. Mask up, use hand sanitizer provided Thank you.

  24. 2021-03-30
    listed $329,000 Active 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Beautifully Updated 4 Bed, 2 Bath Rambler. Freshly painted with New kitchen cabinets with granite counter tops with deep double bowl stainless steel sink and coffee station , New stainless steel appliances, New washer and dryer New laminate water proof flooring in Dining room, kitchen, hallway, and 3 bedrooms. owners bathroom has had a complete make over. Hall bath has new vanity, toilet and flooring. Enjoy evenings out back in your private Oasis Fenced in yard with large deck and a 14 x 14 pergola . with built in flower boxes and extensive landscaping. A 24 foot diameter above ground pool with salt water system. Professionally maintained yard. Community offers a private beach , dock/pier and water access. .. .. .. . Please abide by the CDC Covid-19 Guidelines when viewing this home. Mask up, use hand sanitizer provided Thank you.

  25. 2007-09-10
    soldstatus $265,400
  26. 2007-08-31
    soldstatus $265,400 390-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    JUST TURN THE KEY! THIS COZY 4 BR 2 BA HOME IS READY FOR YOU NOW! CONVENIENTLY LOCATED TO PAX NAVAL BASE, AND CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS. THIS CHARMING HOME OFFERS UPDATED APPLIANCES, A HUGE FAMILY ROOM, FRESH PAINT AND CEILING FANS IN EVERYROOM. ENJOY THE FULLY FENCED, LEVEL BACKYARD FROM YOUR ROOMY DECK! SELLERS OFFERING $7K IN CLOSING HELP/DECORATORS ALLOWANCE. HURRY IT WON'T LAST!

  27. 2007-08-14
    historical 390-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    JUST TURN THE KEY! THIS COZY 4 BR 2 BA HOME IS READY FOR YOU NOW! CONVENIENTLY LOCATED TO PAX NAVAL BASE, AND CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS. THIS CHARMING HOME OFFERS UPDATED APPLIANCES, A HUGE FAMILY ROOM, FRESH PAINT AND CEILING FANS IN EVERYROOM. ENJOY THE FULLY FENCED, LEVEL BACKYARD FROM YOUR ROOMY DECK! SELLERS OFFERING $7K IN CLOSING HELP/DECORATORS ALLOWANCE. HURRY IT WON'T LAST!

  28. 2007-04-01
    listed $259,000 390-char remark
    Show marketing remark (390 chars)

    JUST TURN THE KEY! THIS COZY 4 BR 2 BA HOME IS READY FOR YOU NOW! CONVENIENTLY LOCATED TO PAX NAVAL BASE, AND CLOSE TO SHOPPING AND SCHOOLS. THIS CHARMING HOME OFFERS UPDATED APPLIANCES, A HUGE FAMILY ROOM, FRESH PAINT AND CEILING FANS IN EVERYROOM. ENJOY THE FULLY FENCED, LEVEL BACKYARD FROM YOUR ROOMY DECK! SELLERS OFFERING $7K IN CLOSING HELP/DECORATORS ALLOWANCE. HURRY IT WON'T LAST!

  29. 1991-05-31
    soldstatus $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,775
− Mortgage interest
−$20,726
− Property taxes
−$5,550
− Insurance
−$1,850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,262
− Management
−$3,262
− HOA
−$300
− Depreciation
−$10,764
Taxable loss
−$4,939
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,185
After-tax cash flow
$2,413/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calvert County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400150
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$94,392
Composite
33.27/100
National rank
#5511
State rank
#5 of 24 in MD

Livability — Drum Point

Score
64/100
State rank
#286
US rank
#14756

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Drum Point, MD
County
Calvert County · 33,451 people
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
20,699
Household income
$115,748
Rent vs Own
12.8% rent · 87.2% own
Severe rent burden
136.0

Population outlook (Calvert County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
94,825 people
By 2030
96,197 · +1.4%
By 2040
96,954 · +2.2%
By 2050
94,628 · -0.2%
By 2075
91,576 · -3.4%
By 2100
83,431 · -12.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 15% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calvert

2024 margin
R (+11.0) · D 43.5% · R 54.5% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-4.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.3pp · 2024: -11.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.0 2020: R+5.6 2016: R+18.4 2012: R+8.2 2008: R+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -20.88%
Current HPI
274.4909
Rent YoY
Metro
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+289.5% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-25 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-12 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $370,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $317,000 Public Records
  • 2021-06-21 Sold (MLS) $317,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-05-21 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-05-17 Price Changed $309,990 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-04-30 Price Changed $319,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-03-30 Listed $329,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2007-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $265,400 Public Records
  • 2007-08-31 Sold (MLS) $265,400 MRIS
  • 2007-08-14 Delisted MRIS
  • 2007-04-01 Listed $259,000 MRIS
  • 1991-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-10.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $397 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…