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5206 Wisteria Cir
C+ Composite 60.59
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.7/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.8/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

5206 Wisteria Cir · New Port Richey, FL 34653
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1972 Est $96k · at est. $310/mo HOA · 20% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to easy Florida living in this active 55+ cooperative waterfront community! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home features a covered carport and a bright, inviting floor plan designed for comfortable everyday living. The galley-style kitchen offers a convenient closet pantry and is situated adjacent to the dining area, which showcases a charming built-in china cabinet for added storage and character. A dedicated laundry closet with built-in cabinetry helps keep household essentials organized. Relax and enjoy your morning coffee or evening breeze from the wonderful glass-enclosed front porch, providing additional living space year-round. Ceiling fans throughout most of the home

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Community pool
  • Built 1972

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Furnished status negotiable
  • Financial info: Total monthly association fees $310 ($3,720 annually); Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Has HOA (Colony Cove Co-op, Inc) with required monthly fee of $310; HOA covers cable TV, pool, grounds maintenance, recreational facilities, sewer, trash and water; Community amenities include clubhouse, pool, shuffleboard, tennis courts; golf carts allowed; Buyer/association approval required; Senior community; pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 1 space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Residential mobile home (double wide); One story; Faces northwest
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built-up roof; Double wide body type
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Storage; Paved road access; In-county lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Range hood; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Formal dining area; Sliding doors
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry in a laundry closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.0% in New Port Richey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#67 in FL, #1,139 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, commute D, employment F.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 20% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
8.72%
Cash-on-cash
8.68%
DSCR
1.39
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$96,000
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5140 Coquina Cir 0.17mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,100 (+15%) 5mo $110,000 $100 59
5150 Damsen Cir 0.13mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,104 (+15%) 10mo $115,000 $104 55
5702 Congress St 0.66mi 2/2.0 (-1) 960 (0%) 12mo $82,500 $86 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-11,770
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
-11.6%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-15,438
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34653

Home prices YoY
-18.4%
Rents YoY
-2.9%
Active inventory
305
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,536 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$136 /mo · $1,630/yr
Insurance
$42
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$310
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$136

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,364
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 39 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6807 Porter Rd Unit PBMP M-5826 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,380 $1.73 24d 1 0.26mi
6807 Porter Rd Unit PGC C-5432-105 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 895 $1,360 $1.52 24d 1 0.26mi
6807 Porter Rd Unit PGC C-5432-209 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 18d 1 0.26mi
6807 Porter Rd Unit PCG G-101 New Port Richey, FL 3.0 1.5 1080 $1,375 $1.27 5d 1 0.26mi
6807 Porter Rd Unit PCG G-203 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 770 $1,275 $1.66 5d 1 0.26mi
6807 Porter Rd Unit PBMP M-5836 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $1,475 $1.76 24d 1 0.26mi
6807 Porter Rd New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $1,475 $1.76 3d 1 0.26mi
7320 Broadmoor Dr New Port Richey, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 765 $1,715 $2.24 2d 59 0.39mi
4903 Myrtle Oak Dr #14 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 935 $1,250 $1.34 24d 1 0.56mi
6424 Spring Flower Dr #25 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 915 $1,175 $1.28 18d 1 0.63mi
6424 Spring Flower Dr #25 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 835 $1,175 $1.41 24d 1 0.63mi
7425 Trouble Creek Rd New Port Richey, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 812 $1,604 $1.97 2d 15 0.65mi
5816 Congress St New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 920 $1,400 $1.52 24d 1 0.78mi
5822 Congress St #104 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 920 $1,650 $1.79 24d 1 0.79mi
6322 Alaska Ave New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,500 $2.08 24d 1 0.88mi
4331 Fiji Dr New Port Richey, FL 1.0–5.0 2.0–5.0 1343 $1,708 $1.27 3d 11 1.03mi
6413 Sutters Mill Rd New Port Richey, FL 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,575 $1.46 4d 1 1.05mi
5511 Executive Dr Apt E1 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,459 $1.46 24d 1 1.11mi
5521 Executive Dr Unit D1 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,379 $1.38 24d 1 1.11mi
5543 Executive Dr Unit B4 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,459 $1.46 24d 1 1.13mi
5551 Executive Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,459 $1.33 24d 1 1.14mi
6029 Wyoming Ave New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 792 $1,850 $2.34 24d 1 1.18mi
5640 Ferguson Ct #2101 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,650 $1.56 24d 1 1.20mi
5743 Elm St New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 756 $1,200 $1.59 5d 1 1.20mi
6141 Chesham Dr #8 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 825 $1,250 $1.52 24d 1 1.25mi
5809 Dailey Ln New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 24d 1 1.25mi
6165 Chesham Dr #9 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 825 $1,350 $1.64 24d 1 1.27mi
6165 Chesham Dr #5 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 825 $1,500 $1.82 24d 1 1.27mi
5648 Townhouse Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 900 $1,495 $1.66 24d 1 1.30mi
6036 Chesham Dr #5 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.5 825 $1,275 $1.55 5d 1 1.34mi
6332 Pennsylvania Ave New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 962 $1,250 $1.30 20d 1 1.38mi
6332 Pennsylvania Ave New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 920 $1,250 $1.36 24d 1 1.38mi
5543 Gulf Dr New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 744 $1,550 $2.08 17d 1 1.39mi
5844 Sunshine Park Dr New Port Richey, FL 3.0 1.0 672 $1,100 $1.64 3d 1 1.41mi
8135 Brown Pelican Ave New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1089 $2,000 $1.84 5d 1 1.42mi
6635 Crossbow Ln New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1082 $1,695 $1.57 18d 1 1.43mi
5805 Delaware Ave New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 24d 1 1.45mi
7828 Hardwick Dr #927 New Port Richey, FL 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,650 $1.61 5d 1 1.46mi
5529 La Salle Ct New Port Richey, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 10d 1 1.46mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$310 · $3,720/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $99,900 Pending 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $99,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,630 · $136/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,630 · $136/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,437
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,630
− Insurance
−$1,297
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,475
− Management
−$1,475
− HOA
−$3,720
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$338
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$81
After-tax cash flow
$1,550/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL

Livability — New Port Richey

Score
82/100
State rank
#67
US rank
#1139

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute D Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Pasco County · 524,098 people
City population
137,708
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,945
Household income
$49,563
Rent vs Own
34.6% rent · 65.4% own
Severe rent burden
1439.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.10%
Current HPI
324.6519
Rent YoY
▼ -2.92%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $99,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,630 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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