2156 New York Ave · Savannah, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention investors and visionaries! This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence in Savannah’s Avondale community offers a rare opportunity to command over 2,000 square feet of potential on a sprawling . 24-acre lot. While this home is ready for a complete transformation, its substantial footprint and expansive yard provide the perfect blank canvas for a high-equity renovation or a standout fix-and-flip project. Properties with this much interior scale and outdoor space are hard to find, making it the ideal candidate for anyone looking to breathe new life into a diamond in the rough. Bring your creativity to unlock the massive value hidden within these walls and turn this ambitious project into an Avondale showstopper. Being sold as-is—seize the chance to capitalize on this significant footprint today!
Key facts
- Expansive yard
- Outdoor space
- Sprawling lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $881 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 4.0% in Savannah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#1 in GA, #397 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: employment D, schools F.
- Savannah-Chatham County (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #134 of 174 in GA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,694 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (973 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,427/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 1649% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chatham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $33k; list at $150k implies a 355% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.17%
- DSCR
- 2.12
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $343,368
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -56.32%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1895 Downing Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 | 2,200 (+3%) | 9mo | $607,000 | $276 | 61 |
| 2229 Tennessee Ave | 0.21mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,250 (+5%) | 20mo | $285,000 | $127 | 56 |
| 512 Gordonston Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 2,398 (+12%) | 15mo | $550,000 | $229 | 52 |
| 1908 Idaho Ave | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 | 1,870 (-13%) | 9mo | $464,000 | $248 | 50 |
| 518 Gordonston Ave | 0.30mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,458 (+15%) | 5mo | $500,000 | $203 | 48 |
| 109 Daisy Ct | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,216 (+4%) | 7mo | $640,000 | $289 | 47 |
| 2052 E 42nd St | 0.69mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,930 (-10%) | 2mo | $324,900 | $168 | 45 |
| 2011 E 38th St | 0.56mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,306 (+8%) | 7mo | $540,000 | $234 | 44 |
| 420 Lawton Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 | 2,300 (+8%) | 13mo | $546,000 | $237 | 41 |
| 2043 E 41st St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,900 (-11%) | 14mo | $332,000 | $175 | 38 |
| 2222 E 40th St | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,334 (+9%) | 18mo | $335,000 | $144 | 36 |
| 104 Daisy Ct | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,932 (-10%) | 17mo | $595,000 | $308 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $33,361
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 28.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.57×
- Total profit
- $107,777
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31404
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 227
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,427 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$510
- Net cashflow
- $881
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $985 | -5% $933 | +0% $881 | +5% $829 | +10% $777 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $689 | -5% $785 | +0% $881 | +5% $977 | +10% $1,073 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $956 | -0.5pp $919 | base $881 | +0.5pp $842 | +1.0pp $803 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1804 Georgia Ave Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $2,950 | $1.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 513 Kentucky Ave Savannah, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2828 | $3,500 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1315 Bonaventure Rd Unit upstair Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1650 | $1,500 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2201 E 37th St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1424 | $1,800 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 404 Gordonston Ave Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2028 | $2,800 | $1.38 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2033 E 41st St Savannah, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $2,800 | $1.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 430 Lawton Ave Savannah, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $3,400 | $1.70 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1611 E Henry St Unit A Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2226 | $1,850 | $0.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1612 Skidaway Rd Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1453 | $1,800 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2637 Evergreen Ave Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1642 | $2,000 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2800 Capital St Savannah, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,650 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 2112 Clars Ave Unit A Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2840 Wicklow St Savannah, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1071 | $2,869 | $2.68 | 15d | 50 | 1.11mi |
| 1436 E 42nd St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1447 | $2,290 | $1.58 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1904 E 51st St Savannah, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,300 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3601 Eastgate Dr Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1202 E 37th St Unit A Savannah, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $2,295 | $1.55 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1112 E Anderson St Savannah, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $2,300 | $1.55 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1302 E Victory Dr Unit 2 Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,995 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1122 E 37th St Unit 1/2 Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2492 | $1,710 | $0.69 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3712 Oakland Ct Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1903 | $2,495 | $1.31 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1014 E Anderson St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1642 | $2,200 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1107 E 38th St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1105 E 38th St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,400 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1331 E 48th St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1408 | $3,450 | $2.45 | 45d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1507 E 51st St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2135 | $2,880 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-15status Active 818-char remark
Show marketing remark (818 chars)
Attention investors and visionaries! This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence in Savannah’s Avondale community offers a rare opportunity to command over 2,000 square feet of potential on a sprawling . 24-acre lot. While this home is ready for a complete transformation, its substantial footprint and expansive yard provide the perfect blank canvas for a high-equity renovation or a standout fix-and-flip project. Properties with this much interior scale and outdoor space are hard to find, making it the ideal candidate for anyone looking to breathe new life into a diamond in the rough. Bring your creativity to unlock the massive value hidden within these walls and turn this ambitious project into an Avondale showstopper. Being sold as-is—seize the chance to capitalize on this significant footprint today!
-
2026-04-20historical Active Under Contract 818-char remark
Show marketing remark (818 chars)
Attention investors and visionaries! This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence in Savannah’s Avondale community offers a rare opportunity to command over 2,000 square feet of potential on a sprawling . 24-acre lot. While this home is ready for a complete transformation, its substantial footprint and expansive yard provide the perfect blank canvas for a high-equity renovation or a standout fix-and-flip project. Properties with this much interior scale and outdoor space are hard to find, making it the ideal candidate for anyone looking to breathe new life into a diamond in the rough. Bring your creativity to unlock the massive value hidden within these walls and turn this ambitious project into an Avondale showstopper. Being sold as-is—seize the chance to capitalize on this significant footprint today!
-
2026-04-13$150,000 Active 818-char remark
Show marketing remark (818 chars)
Attention investors and visionaries! This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence in Savannah’s Avondale community offers a rare opportunity to command over 2,000 square feet of potential on a sprawling . 24-acre lot. While this home is ready for a complete transformation, its substantial footprint and expansive yard provide the perfect blank canvas for a high-equity renovation or a standout fix-and-flip project. Properties with this much interior scale and outdoor space are hard to find, making it the ideal candidate for anyone looking to breathe new life into a diamond in the rough. Bring your creativity to unlock the massive value hidden within these walls and turn this ambitious project into an Avondale showstopper. Being sold as-is—seize the chance to capitalize on this significant footprint today!
-
1981-08-01soldstatus $33,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,127
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,250
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,330
- − Management
- −$2,330
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $8,701
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,088
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,483/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Savannah-Chatham County
- NCES district ID
- 1301020
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,443
- Composite
- 20.14/100
- National rank
- #8639
- State rank
- #134 of 174 in GA
Livability — Savannah
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #397
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Savannah, GA
- County
- Chatham County · 271,602 people
- City population
- 216,564
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,062
- Household income
- $53,303
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1649.0
Population outlook (Chatham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 332,584 people
- By 2030
- 355,508 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 400,030 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 443,019 · +33.2%
- By 2075
- 534,579 · +60.7%
- By 2100
- 583,863 · +75.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 33% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chatham
- 2024 margin
- D (+18.0) · D 58.6% · R 40.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.6pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+18.0 2020: D+18.8 2016: D+14.5 2012: D+12.0 2008: D+14.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -187.86%
- Current HPI
- 310.0764
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.62%
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+354.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-20 Contingent — Hive MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $150,000 Hive MLS
- 1981-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+206.4%/yrLatest (2023): $89 · +839.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…