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220 S State St
D Composite 41.78
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,900

220 S State St · Hart, MI 49420
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,350 sqft · SingleFamily · 150 Days on market
Built 1940 8,712 sqft lot $108/sqft · 7% below area Est $157k · 7% under ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Full basement
  • 8,712 sq ft lot

Tags

WALKING DISTANCE TO SCHOOLSFULL BASEMENTLARGE BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $146k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-119/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (1.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (13.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.2% in Hart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#456 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Hart Public School District (town): math 18% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #399 of 540 in MI (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 147 units permitted in Oceana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oceana County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $59k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $125,997 (13.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
6.21%
Cash-on-cash
-0.29%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$157,333
List price
$145,900
Delta
-7.27%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
219 S Apple St 0.50mi 4/2.5 1,366 (+1%) 2mo $160,000 $117 73
210 E Church St 0.02mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,504 (+11%) 0mo $165,000 $110 73
410 Church St 0.15mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,306 (-3%) 9mo $143,000 $109 69
216 E Jefferson St 0.16mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,282 (-5%) 5mo $161,500 $126 68
214 S Griswold St 0.30mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,418 (+5%) 13mo $165,000 $116 60
515 Union St 0.28mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,300 (-4%) 15mo $35,000 $27 57
419 S Griswold St 0.26mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,228 (-9%) 8mo $165,000 $134 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.8%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-24,257
Equity at exit
$21,754
10-year hold
IRR
-8.6%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-21,866
Equity at exit
$12,615

Cash invested: $40,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49420

Home prices YoY
-22.2%
Active inventory
91
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,260 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$765
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,153/yr
Insurance
$61
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$-10

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,273
Max offer price $144,148
Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,475
Closing costs
$4,377
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  2. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  3. 2026-05-18
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  4. 2026-04-21
    price $145,900 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  5. 2026-04-21
    price $145,900 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  6. 2026-04-21
    price $145,900
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  7. 2026-03-20
    price $160,900 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  8. 2026-03-19
    price $160,900 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  9. 2026-03-19
    price $160,900
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  10. 2026-02-19
    price $180,900 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  11. 2026-02-18
    price $180,900 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  12. 2026-02-18
    price $180,900
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  13. 2026-01-26
    price $194,900 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  14. 2026-01-26
    price $194,900 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  15. 2026-01-26
    price $194,900
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  16. 2025-12-19
    listed $204,900 Active 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  17. 2025-12-19
    listed $204,900 Active 321-char remark
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  18. 2025-12-19
    listed $204,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (321 chars)

    Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today

  19. 2021-06-22
    soldstatus $160,000 Sold
  20. 2021-06-22
    soldstatus $160,000 Sold
  21. 2021-06-22
    soldstatus $160,000
  22. 2021-06-12
    status Pending
  23. 2021-06-12
    status Pending
  24. 2021-04-12
    historical Contingent - Continue To Show
  25. 2021-04-12
    historical Active Backup
  26. 2021-04-10
    listed $159,900 Active
  27. 2021-04-10
    listed $159,900 Active
  28. 2021-04-10
    listed $159,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,153 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,200 · $183/mo
Expected delta
+$47/yr (+$4/mo · 2.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,120
− Mortgage interest
−$8,173
− Property taxes
−$2,153
− Insurance
−$730
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,210
− Management
−$1,210
− Depreciation
−$4,244
Taxable loss
−$2,599
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$624
After-tax cash flow
$505/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hart Public School District
NCES district ID
2617860
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$37,795
Composite
23.3/100
National rank
#7923
State rank
#399 of 540 in MI

Livability — Hart

Score
65/100
State rank
#456
US rank
#12771

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hart, MI
Population (ZIP)
6,109

Population outlook (Oceana County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,141 people
By 2030
24,324 · -3.2%
By 2040
22,484 · -10.6%
By 2050
20,561 · -18.2%
By 2075
16,280 · -35.2%
By 2100
11,376 · -54.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Iranian 7% Romanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Oceana

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.2% · R 64.2% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-34.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -30.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+27.3 2012: R+10.3 2008: D+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.60%
Current HPI
188.1779
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.8% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-18 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $145,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $145,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $145,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $160,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $160,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $160,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $180,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $180,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $180,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $194,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $194,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $194,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listed $204,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listed $204,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-12-19 Listed $204,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-22 Sold (MLS) $160,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-22 Sold (MLS) $160,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-06-22 Sold (MLS) $160,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-12 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2021-06-12 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-04-12 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2021-04-12 Contingent SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-04-10 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-04-10 Listed $159,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2021-04-10 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,153 · -34.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…