220 S State St · Hart, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Full basement
- 8,712 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $146k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-10 ($-119/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (1.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (13.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $126k (13.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.2% in Hart — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#456 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
- Hart Public School District (town): math 18% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #399 of 540 in MI (top 74%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 147 units permitted in Oceana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oceana County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $59k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.29%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $157,333
- List price
- $145,900
- Delta
- -7.27%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 S Apple St | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 | 1,366 (+1%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $117 | 73 |
| 210 E Church St | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,504 (+11%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $110 | 73 |
| 410 Church St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,306 (-3%) | 9mo | $143,000 | $109 | 69 |
| 216 E Jefferson St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,282 (-5%) | 5mo | $161,500 | $126 | 68 |
| 214 S Griswold St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,418 (+5%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $116 | 60 |
| 515 Union St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,300 (-4%) | 15mo | $35,000 | $27 | 57 |
| 419 S Griswold St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,228 (-9%) | 8mo | $165,000 | $134 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-24,257
- Equity at exit
- $21,754
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-21,866
- Equity at exit
- $12,615
Cash invested: $40,852 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49420
- Home prices YoY
- -22.2%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,260 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$765
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,153/yr
- Insurance
- −$61
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $-10
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,475
- Closing costs
- $4,377
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2026-05-18status Pending 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2026-05-18status Pending
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2026-04-21price $145,900 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2026-04-21price $145,900 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2026-04-21price $145,900
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2026-03-20price $160,900 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2026-03-19price $160,900 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2026-03-19price $160,900
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2026-02-19price $180,900 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2026-02-18price $180,900 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2026-02-18price $180,900
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2026-01-26price $194,900 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2026-01-26price $194,900 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2026-01-26price $194,900
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2025-12-19$204,900 Active 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2025-12-19$204,900 Active 321-char remark
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2025-12-19$204,900 Active
Show marketing remark (321 chars)
Looking for your next rental or income property this home is in a great location. Or maybe you are looking for your forever home. Located in downtown Hart, walking distance to local shops, restaurants & schools. Full basement with great extra space. Large backyard with a 2 stall garage. Schedule your showing today
-
2021-06-22soldstatus $160,000 Sold
-
2021-06-22soldstatus $160,000 Sold
-
2021-06-22soldstatus $160,000
-
2021-06-12status Pending
-
2021-06-12status Pending
-
2021-04-12historical Contingent - Continue To Show
-
2021-04-12historical Active Backup
-
2021-04-10$159,900 Active
-
2021-04-10$159,900 Active
-
2021-04-10$159,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,153 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,200 · $183/mo
- Expected delta
- +$47/yr (+$4/mo · 2.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,120
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,173
- − Property taxes
- −$2,153
- − Insurance
- −$730
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,210
- − Management
- −$1,210
- − Depreciation
- −$4,244
- Taxable loss
- −$2,599
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$624
- After-tax cash flow
- $505/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hart Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2617860
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,795
- Composite
- 23.3/100
- National rank
- #7923
- State rank
- #399 of 540 in MI
Livability — Hart
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #456
- US rank
- #12771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hart, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,109
Population outlook (Oceana County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,141 people
- By 2030
- 24,324 · -3.2%
- By 2040
- 22,484 · -10.6%
- By 2050
- 20,561 · -18.2%
- By 2075
- 16,280 · -35.2%
- By 2100
- 11,376 · -54.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 7% Romanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Oceana
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.2% · R 64.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -30.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+27.3 2012: R+10.3 2008: D+4.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.60%
- Current HPI
- 188.1779
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-8.8% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-18 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $145,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $145,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-21 Price Changed $145,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $160,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $160,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $160,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $180,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $180,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $180,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $194,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $194,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $194,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-12-19 Listed $204,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2025-12-19 Listed $204,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-19 Listed $204,900 REALCOMP
- 2021-06-22 Sold (MLS) $160,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-06-22 Sold (MLS) $160,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2021-06-22 Sold (MLS) $160,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-06-12 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2021-06-12 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2021-04-12 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2021-04-12 Contingent — SW Michigan MLS
- 2021-04-10 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-04-10 Listed $159,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2021-04-10 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,153 · -34.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…