🏷️ Likely Rental
3640 Cannon St · Baton Rouge, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property was a rental for the last 25 years before tenant moved out of town. Needs minimal amount of work to make it rent ready.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Built 1963
- Listed 227 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $39 ($464/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($983 rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 4.3% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
- East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.2%/yr); 155 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $983/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($25k/yr) (locally 1980% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $311 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.30%
- DSCR
- 2.97
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $71,677
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- -37.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4249 Cannon St | 0.34mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (+2%) | 9mo | $116,000 | $97 | 70 |
| 3467 Hollywood St | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,150 (-2%) | 8mo | $49,900 | $43 | 64 |
| 5772 Alexander Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,170 (-1%) | 6mo | $95,000 | $81 | 58 |
| 6533 Nottingham St | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,162 (-2%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $30 | 58 |
| 5712 Beechwood Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+2%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $75 | 56 |
| 4313 Glen Oaks Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,127 (-4%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $124 | 53 |
| 4721 Hollywood St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,138 (-4%) | 2mo | $129,900 | $114 | 53 |
| 3310 Greenwell St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,027 (-13%) | 9mo | $25,000 | $24 | 52 |
| 6343 Beechwood Dr | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+12%) | 7mo | $50,000 | $38 | 42 |
| 5750 Saurage Dr | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,320 (+12%) | 3mo | $84,900 | $64 | 42 |
| 4525 Oaklon Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,292 (+10%) | 3mo | $204,400 | $158 | 42 |
| 2883 Lorraine St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,275 (+8%) | 3mo | $129,900 | $102 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.41×
- Total profit
- $-7,432
- Equity at exit
- $6,710
- IRR
- -43.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.06×
- Total profit
- $-13,304
- Equity at exit
- $3,891
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70805
- Rents YoY
- -1.2%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $983 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $675/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$206
- Net cashflow
- $39
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4540 Crown Ave Unit 94 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4540 Crown Ave Unit 94 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,098 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4540 Crown Ave Unit 91 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 19d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4540 Crown Ave Unit 93 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $900 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4540 Crown Ave Unit 85 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4963 Greenwell St Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5665 McClelland Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $825 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 5665 McClelland Dr Apt 133 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $825 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5665 McClelland Dr Unit 245 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 765 | $800 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5665 McClelland Dr Apt 201 Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 870 | $1,050 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5665 McClelland Dr Apt 220 Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 870 | $950 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2933 Dayton St Unit A Baton Rouge, LA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $540 | $0.68 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5315 McClelland Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $1,000 | $0.73 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2852 Dayton St Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $850 | $0.83 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4380 Mohican-Prescott Crossover Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 910 | $1,055 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5515 Paige St Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1238 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1945 77th Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,650 | $1.17 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5350 Clayton Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $850 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2606 Weller Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $650 | $0.65 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 225 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 224 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $45,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $45,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $45,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $45,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-05-10status Pending 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Property was a rental for the last 25 years before tenant moved out of town. Needs minimal amount of work to make it rent ready.
-
2026-05-10status Pending 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Property was a rental for the last 25 years before tenant moved out of town. Needs minimal amount of work to make it rent ready.
-
2026-04-13status Active 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Property was a rental for the last 25 years before tenant moved out of town. Needs minimal amount of work to make it rent ready.
-
2026-04-13status Active 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Property was a rental for the last 25 years before tenant moved out of town. Needs minimal amount of work to make it rent ready.
-
2026-04-06status Pending 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Property was a rental for the last 25 years before tenant moved out of town. Needs minimal amount of work to make it rent ready.
-
2026-04-06status Pending 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Property was a rental for the last 25 years before tenant moved out of town. Needs minimal amount of work to make it rent ready.
-
2026-03-04price $45,000 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Property was a rental for the last 25 years before tenant moved out of town. Needs minimal amount of work to make it rent ready.
-
2026-03-04price $45,000 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Property was a rental for the last 25 years before tenant moved out of town. Needs minimal amount of work to make it rent ready.
-
2025-12-08price $55,000 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Property was a rental for the last 25 years before tenant moved out of town. Needs minimal amount of work to make it rent ready.
-
2025-12-08price $55,000 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Property was a rental for the last 25 years before tenant moved out of town. Needs minimal amount of work to make it rent ready.
-
2025-10-09$60,000 Active 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Property was a rental for the last 25 years before tenant moved out of town. Needs minimal amount of work to make it rent ready.
-
2025-10-09$60,000 Active 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
Property was a rental for the last 25 years before tenant moved out of town. Needs minimal amount of work to make it rent ready.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,790
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$675
- − Insurance
- −$5,344
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$943
- − Management
- −$943
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $55
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$13
- After-tax cash flow
- $451/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 10 photos
The property requires significant renovations and repairs to improve its condition and increase its value for resale and rental purposes.
Repairs flagged
- Major Kitchen cabinets — Worn and outdated, need replacement or renovation.
- Major Bathtub and shower — Outdated and stained, need replacement or renovation.
- Major Exterior siding — Weathered and in need of repainting or replacement.
- Major Windows — Boarded up or in poor condition, need replacement.
- Major HVAC unit — Old and worn, needs replacement or repair.
- Major Paint — Chipped and worn in multiple areas, needs repainting.
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt, needs trimming and planting.
- Major Flooring — Worn tile flooring, needs replacement or renovation.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting and repainting — Improves both resale and rental value by enhancing curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping and trimming — Enhances curb appeal and creates a more inviting exterior space.
- Both Kitchen renovation — Modernizes the kitchen and increases both resale and rental value.
- Both Bathroom renovation — Modernizes the bathroom and increases both resale and rental value.
- Both HVAC replacement — Improves comfort and energy efficiency, increasing both resale and rental value.
- Both Exterior siding and painting — Enhances curb appeal and creates a more inviting exterior space, increasing both resale and rental value.
- Both Window replacement — Improves natural light and security, increasing both resale and rental value.
- Both Flooring replacement — Modernizes the flooring and creates a more inviting interior space, increasing both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn and outdated, need replacement or renovation. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathtub and shower · Outdated and stained, need replacement or renovation. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exterior siding · Weathered and in need of repainting or replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Windows · Boarded up or in poor condition, need replacement. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| HVAC unit · Old and worn, needs replacement or repair. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Paint · Chipped and worn in multiple areas, needs repainting. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown and unkempt, needs trimming and planting. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · Worn tile flooring, needs replacement or renovation. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 8 items | $120,000–400,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting and repainting — Improves both resale and rental value by enhancing curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping and trimming — Enhances curb appeal and creates a more inviting exterior space. ↑
- Both Kitchen renovation — Modernizes the kitchen and increases both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Bathroom renovation — Modernizes the bathroom and increases both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both HVAC replacement — Improves comfort and energy efficiency, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Exterior siding and painting — Enhances curb appeal and creates a more inviting exterior space, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Window replacement — Improves natural light and security, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Flooring replacement — Modernizes the flooring and creates a more inviting interior space, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,263
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7745
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in LA
Livability — Baton Rouge
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #4535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baton Rouge, LA
- County
- East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
- City population
- 351,868
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,288
- Household income
- $25,397
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1980.0
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% Hispanic / Latino 2% White 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.79%
- Current HPI
- 75.7121
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.21%
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-25.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-10 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2026-04-13 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-13 Relisted — GBRMLS
- 2026-04-06 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-06 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $45,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $45,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $55,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-12-08 Price Changed $55,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-10-09 Listed $60,000 GBRMLS
- 2025-10-09 Listed $60,000 AcadianaMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…