519 E Main St · Lock Haven, PA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming home ready for refreshment. This would be a great first home, or a fantastic opportunity to build some sweat equity on a rental opportunity. Call for your exclusive tour today.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1890
- Listed 105 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $157 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.0% in Lock Haven — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#275 in PA, #2,428 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment F.
- Keystone Central SD (town): math 32% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #384 of 539 in PA (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Robb El Sch (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,004 of 1,518 statewide, top 68%, 435 students, 79% FRL); Central Mountain Ms (math 21% / reading 42%, grade F, #367 of 512 statewide, top 73%, 939 students, 55% FRL); Central Mountain Hs (math 77% / reading 75%, grade A-, #25 of 437 statewide, top 6%, 1,127 students, 24% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 44 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clinton County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.4% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.75%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $165,466
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -39.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 Lockport Hts | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,458 (-1%) | 7mo | $185,000 | $127 | 76 |
| 338 E Bald Eagle St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,604 (+9%) | 10mo | $129,900 | $81 | 62 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-364
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 14.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.38×
- Total profit
- $38,592
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17745
- Home prices YoY
- -7.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,238 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$255 /mo · $3,063/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$260
- Net cashflow
- $157
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $214 | -5% $186 | +0% $157 | +5% $129 | +10% $101 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $60 | -5% $109 | +0% $157 | +5% $206 | +10% $255 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $208 | -0.5pp $183 | base $157 | +0.5pp $132 | +1.0pp $105 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Clarks Barn Rd Unit A Lock Haven, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,200 | $0.86 | 46d | 1 | 0.52mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $99,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-03-09$99,900 Active 185-char remark
Show marketing remark (185 chars)
Charming home ready for refreshment. This would be a great first home, or a fantastic opportunity to build some sweat equity on a rental opportunity. Call for your exclusive tour today.
-
2026-02-18soldstatus $90,000
-
2026-02-11soldstatus Closed 407-char remark
Show marketing remark (407 chars)
3 BR 1 bath home, vinyl siding, natural gas heat, 2 sheds. Wood flooring under carpet. Typical traditional home where you enter the LR, then the DR, then the kitchen and back porch. Upstairs are 3 BR, enclosed back porch, and full bath. There is some ceiling damage from a prior and repaired leak that will need attention. Home is being sold as-is. This is a great property for a rental or first-time buyer.
-
2025-12-30status Pending 407-char remark
Show marketing remark (407 chars)
3 BR 1 bath home, vinyl siding, natural gas heat, 2 sheds. Wood flooring under carpet. Typical traditional home where you enter the LR, then the DR, then the kitchen and back porch. Upstairs are 3 BR, enclosed back porch, and full bath. There is some ceiling damage from a prior and repaired leak that will need attention. Home is being sold as-is. This is a great property for a rental or first-time buyer.
-
2025-10-07price $102,500 407-char remark
Show marketing remark (407 chars)
3 BR 1 bath home, vinyl siding, natural gas heat, 2 sheds. Wood flooring under carpet. Typical traditional home where you enter the LR, then the DR, then the kitchen and back porch. Upstairs are 3 BR, enclosed back porch, and full bath. There is some ceiling damage from a prior and repaired leak that will need attention. Home is being sold as-is. This is a great property for a rental or first-time buyer.
-
2024-09-16$105,000 Active 407-char remark
Show marketing remark (407 chars)
3 BR 1 bath home, vinyl siding, natural gas heat, 2 sheds. Wood flooring under carpet. Typical traditional home where you enter the LR, then the DR, then the kitchen and back porch. Upstairs are 3 BR, enclosed back porch, and full bath. There is some ceiling damage from a prior and repaired leak that will need attention. Home is being sold as-is. This is a great property for a rental or first-time buyer.
-
1999-12-14soldstatus $13,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,063 · $255/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,063 · $255/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,859
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$3,063
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,189
- − Management
- −$1,189
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $417
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$100
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,789/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Keystone Central SD
- NCES district ID
- 4212725
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,713
- Composite
- 32.09/100
- National rank
- #5810
- State rank
- #384 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lock Haven
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #275
- US rank
- #2428
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lock Haven, PA
- County
- Clinton County · 17,718 people
- City population
- 17,718
- Metro
- Lock Haven, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,718
- Household income
- $58,555
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 522.0
Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,048 people
- By 2030
- 38,812 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 38,011 · -2.7%
- By 2050
- 36,931 · -5.4%
- By 2075
- 34,077 · -12.7%
- By 2100
- 29,683 · -24.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clinton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.1% · R 70.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.1pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -40.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.9 2020: R+36.3 2016: R+34.8 2012: R+11.3 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -21.42%
- Current HPI
- 270.5334
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.38%
- Metro
- Lock Haven, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+668.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Listed $99,900 WBVAR
- 2026-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2026-02-11 Sold (MLS) — WBVAR
- 2025-12-30 Pending — WBVAR
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed $102,500 WBVAR
- 2024-09-16 Listed $105,000 WBVAR
- 1999-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2026): $3,063 · -7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…