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19850 E Arrow Hwy
C+ Composite 64.09
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,000

19850 E Arrow Hwy · Charter Oak, CA 91724
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 540 sqft · Manufactured public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1986 Good condition $276/sqft · 159% above area Est $102k · 45% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for a turn-key home? This may be the gem you are looking for. Centrally located in the City of Covina is this well cared for and loved home. This home includes newer floors with plywood subfloors; remodeled kitchen; new garbage disposal; GFI’s installed; newer furnace and AC; new toilets; dual pane windows; indoor laundry; storage shed; 3 car carport; gated yard for kids and/or pets; stepping stones; space for plants and bbq; gutters and downspouts; new roof and more. The community welcomes all ages, is well maintained and includes amenities like a swimming pool and club house. Close to freeways, transportation, schools, shopping and more. Set your appointment today!

Key facts

  • New garbage disposal
  • New toilets
  • Newer furnace

Tags

REMODELED KITCHENNEW GARBAGE DISPOSALNEWER FURNACENEW ACNEW TOILETSDUAL PANE WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Accessible parking available; Access via city streets; Directions available to property
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease of $1,436.92 (park-managed)
  • HOA & community: Park name: Arrow Glen Manor; Manager approval required for multi-unit; Pets allowed with breed restrictions

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking; Parking available in Arrow Glen Manor
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Single-story home; Entry at ground level; Mobile home model: Somerset; Mobile home remains on site
  • Construction: Turnkey condition; Mobile home dimensions approximately 20' x 48'; Year built (source: public records)
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Yard; Street lighting; Has a view

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central furnace heating
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside the home

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $149k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $919 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 3.0% in Charter Oak — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#452 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A, employment B; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Charter Oak Unified (suburban): math 45% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #387 of 1,400 in CA (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Cedargrove Elementary (563 students, 67% FRL); Royal Oak Middle (622 students, 66% FRL); Charter Oak High (math 46% / reading 57%, grade D+, #312 of 1,170 statewide, top 27%, 1,329 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 43% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $144,530 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.66%
Cap rate
13.70%
Cash-on-cash
26.44%
DSCR
2.18
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$102,450
List price
$149,000
Delta
45.44%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19548 E Cypress St #40 0.74mi 1/1.0 (-1) 480 (-11%) 21mo $80,000 $167 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$34,433
Equity at exit
$22,216
10-year hold
IRR
28.5%
Equity multiple
3.53×
Total profit
$105,515
Equity at exit
$12,883

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 91724

Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,467 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax est. 1.5%
$186 /mo · $2,235/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$518
Net cashflow
$919

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,303
Max offer price $149,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,022 -5% $971 +0% $919 +5% $868 +10% $816
Rent -10% $724 -5% $822 +0% $919 +5% $1,017 +10% $1,114
Rate -1.0pp $994 -0.5pp $957 base $919 +0.5pp $881 +1.0pp $841

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1400 N Grand Ave Covina, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 846 $2,720 $3.22 3d 5 0.48mi
440 W Gladstone St Glendora, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 875 $2,390 $2.73 0d 8 0.70mi
711 Claraday St Unit A Glendora, CA 2.0 1.0 750 $2,250 $3.00 45d 1 0.81mi
21042 E Arrow Hwy Covina, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 803 $2,875 $3.58 0d 8 1.12mi
826 N Barranca Ave Covina, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 762 $2,295 $3.01 45d 2 1.19mi
1000 S Glendora Ave Glendora, CA 1.0 1.0 551 $1,820 $3.30 3d 1 1.19mi
18615 E Arrow Hwy Covina, CA 1.0 1.0 619 $1,976 $3.19 12d 2 1.37mi
18537 E Arrow Hwy Covina, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 937 $2,650 $2.83 6d 7 1.40mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $149,000 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,000 Active 50 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $149,000 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $149,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $149,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $149,000 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $149,000 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $149,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $149,000 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,000 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,000 Active 37 DOM
  16. 2026-04-24
    listed $149,000 Active 689-char remark
  17. 2023-08-31
    historical
  18. 2023-08-23
    status Active
  19. 2023-08-02
    historical Active Under Contract
  20. 2023-07-14
    price $134,999
  21. 2023-06-26
    status Active
  22. 2023-06-12
    historical Active Under Contract
  23. 2023-06-06
    price $139,900
  24. 2023-05-12
    status Active
  25. 2023-05-08
    historical Active Under Contract
  26. 2023-04-18
    status Active
  27. 2023-04-13
    historical Active Under Contract
  28. 2023-03-27
    price $150,000
  29. 2023-02-20
    listed $165,000 Active
  30. 2009-02-24
    historical
  31. 2009-02-24
    listed $119,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,603
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$2,235
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,368
− Management
−$2,368
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable income
$9,205
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,209
After-tax cash flow
$8,820/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained 1985 manufactured home is move-in ready with updated kitchens and bathrooms, new flooring, and a good exterior. Minor exterior painting and light fixture replacement would further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Resale Replace outdoor light fixtures — Improves curb appeal and safety.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Resale Replace outdoor light fixtures — Improves curb appeal and safety.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charter Oak Unified
NCES district ID
0608190
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 2.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$72,756
Composite
46.95/100
National rank
#5160
State rank
#387 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Charter Oak

Score
63/100
State rank
#452
US rank
#15268

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment B Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Charter Oak, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
28,352
Household income
$103,163
Rent vs Own
33.2% rent · 66.8% own
Severe rent burden
550.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 55% White 22% Two or more races 19% Asian 14% Black 5% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 44%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 1% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
53% English-only · Spanish 33% Chinese 5% Tagalog/Filipino 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -732.51%
Current HPI
370.5956
Rent YoY
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.2% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $149,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-08-31 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2023-08-23 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2023-08-02 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2023-07-14 Price Changed $134,999 CRMLS
  • 2023-06-26 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2023-06-12 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2023-06-06 Price Changed $139,900 CRMLS
  • 2023-05-12 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2023-05-08 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2023-04-18 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2023-04-13 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2023-03-27 Price Changed $150,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-02-20 Listed $165,000 CRMLS
  • 2009-02-24 Listed $119,000 CRMLS
  • 2009-02-24 Listing Removed CRMLS

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $148 · +6.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…