900 N Grape #22 · Moses Lake, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-Maintained 2 Bedroom, 2 Bath Home in Central Moses Lake. This clean and move-in ready manufactured home offers 2 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms in a convenient central location. The home features a spacious living and dining area, kitchen with refreshed cabinets and countertops, and new flooring throughout. The primary suite includes a large tub and separate shower. The guest bath offers dual entrances, an updated vanity, and an integrated utility area. Situated in a quiet, well-kept park just minutes from downtown, shopping, schools, and parks. Ideal as a first home or for downsizing. Owner financing is available.
Key facts
- Large tub
- New flooring
- Separate shower
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $819 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.2% vs local median 3.3% in Moses Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#170 in WA, #4,228 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities A-; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Moses Lake School District (town): math 38% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #198 of 291 in WA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.7%/yr); 585 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 559 units permitted in Grant County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grant County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 277 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (39%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 277 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 63.84%
- DSCR
- 3.84
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $195,000
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -71.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 900 N Grape Dr #36 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (-4%) | 15mo | $48,500 | $52 | 76 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $38,838
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 63.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.45×
- Total profit
- $83,905
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98837
- Rents YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 585
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,518 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$69 /mo · $825/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$319
- Net cashflow
- $819
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1133 N Grape Dr Moses Lake, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 859 | $1,825 | $2.12 | 43d | 12 | 0.14mi |
| 523 W Crest Dr Unit 52303 Moses Lake, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $895 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 9396 Beacon Rd NE Moses Lake, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $995 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 4727 Owens Rd NE #24 Moses Lake, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5025 Owens Rd NE Unit A301 Moses Lake, WA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 596 | $1,250 | $2.10 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 615 S Alder St #02 Moses Lake, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 742 | $1,200 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $55,000 Active 277 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 275 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $55,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $55,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $55,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $55,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $64,999 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $64,999 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,999 Active 258 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $64,999 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-04-01status Active
-
2026-04-01historical
-
2026-03-25price $64,999
-
2026-01-15price $74,999
-
2025-09-27price $84,500
-
2025-09-15$89,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,217
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$825
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,457
- − Management
- −$1,457
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $9,522
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,285
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,545/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained and move-in ready manufactured home in Moses Lake offers a good condition with new updates and fresh paint, making it an ideal first home or downsizing option.
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both painting — fresh paint improves curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both painting — fresh paint improves curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both landscaping — enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moses Lake School District
- NCES district ID
- 5305220
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,033
- Composite
- 39.17/100
- National rank
- #8232
- State rank
- #198 of 291 in WA
Livability — Moses Lake
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #170
- US rank
- #4228
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Moses Lake, WA
- County
- Grant County · 61,643 people
- City population
- 49,455
- Metro
- Moses Lake, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,455
- Household income
- $74,586
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1064.0
Population outlook (Grant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 99,356 people
- By 2030
- 102,107 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 108,318 · +9.0%
- By 2050
- 114,712 · +15.5%
- By 2075
- 131,376 · +32.2%
- By 2100
- 146,163 · +47.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 15% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Subsaharan African 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 21% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Grant
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.5) · D 30.0% · R 67.4% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.9pp toward R · 2008: -27.5pp · 2024: -37.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.5 2020: R+34.4 2016: R+37.9 2012: R+32.6 2008: R+27.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -384.29%
- Current HPI
- 208.4574
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.72%
- Metro
- Moses Lake, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-27.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-01 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $64,999 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $74,999 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-27 Price Changed $84,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-15 Listed $89,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…