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818 E Belleville Ave
B- Composite 66.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.7/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$79,900

818 E Belleville Ave · Christopher, IL 62822
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,554 sqft · SingleFamily · 59 Days on market
Built 1930 8,712 sqft lot $51/sqft · 16% below area Est $95k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3-bedroom, 2- bath home featuring a spacious dining and living room combination, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The eat-in Kitchen offers a cozy space for casual meals. this one-and-a-half-story home includes a private upstairs bedroom and bath ideal for kids, guests, or a quiet retreat. Outside, you'll find a detached 2-care garage with additional built-on storage, providing plenty of room for tools, hobbies, or extra belongings. Conveniently located near the edge of town, this property offers a peaceful setting while still being just minutes from shipping, with Walmart only 5 miles away and beautiful Rend Lake within 8 miles for outdoor recreation.

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1930

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($860 rent vs $80k).
  • Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,100 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Christopher USD 99 (town): math 9% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #520 of 620 in IL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 17 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $80k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $77,503 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.91%
Cash-on-cash
9.35%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$95,121
List price
$79,900
Delta
-16.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
402 E Belleville Ave 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,750 (+13%) 3mo $179,900 $103 59
202 N Victor St 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,400 (-10%) 7mo $79,000 $56 48
602 Illinois Ave 0.37mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,375 (-12%) 13mo $90,000 $65 46
312 Beulah St 0.40mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-14%) 11mo $110,000 $82 44
201 N Maple St 0.52mi 3/3.0 1,380 (-11%) 11mo $165,000 $120 44
201 N Maple St 0.52mi 3/3.0 1,380 (-11%) 11mo $165,000 $120 44
516 S Safford St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,776 (+14%) 4mo $132,000 $74 38
601 S State St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,440 (-7%) 10mo $105,000 $73 38
601 S State St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,440 (-7%) 10mo $105,000 $73 38
303 S Emma St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,400 (-10%) 9mo $59,533 $43 33
303 S Emma St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,400 (-10%) 9mo $59,533 $43 33
305 W Ray St 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,350 (-13%) 12mo $159,500 $118 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-1,857
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
7.5%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$12,620
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62822

Home prices YoY
-4.8%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$860 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$53 /mo · $633/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$181
Net cashflow
$174

Break-even live

Break-even rent $639
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
305 S State St Christopher, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $860 $0.78 43d 1 0.62mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $79,900 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $79,900 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $84,900 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-04-20
    listed $89,900 Active 691-char remark
    Show marketing remark (691 chars)

    Charming 3-bedroom, 2- bath home featuring a spacious dining and living room combination, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The eat-in Kitchen offers a cozy space for casual meals. this one-and-a-half-story home includes a private upstairs bedroom and bath ideal for kids, guests, or a quiet retreat. Outside, you'll find a detached 2-care garage with additional built-on storage, providing plenty of room for tools, hobbies, or extra belongings. Conveniently located near the edge of town, this property offers a peaceful setting while still being just minutes from shipping, with Walmart only 5 miles away and beautiful Rend Lake within 8 miles for outdoor recreation.

  16. 2020-11-20
    soldstatus $40,000 473-char remark
    Show marketing remark (473 chars)

    Located Edge of Christopher on 2 lots, vinyl sided and nicely updated. This home comes with range and refrigerator. Upstair has extra room and bath. Main level has 2 bedrooms, full bath, large kitchen, separate laundry room and living room with side room used as office. Home has gas furnace and central air. Wiring has been updated. There is a cellar for storm protection. Double car garage with attached storage. Very affordable home that is also very nice. A must see.

  17. 2020-11-20
    soldstatus $40,000 473-char remark
    Show marketing remark (473 chars)

    Located Edge of Christopher on 2 lots, vinyl sided and nicely updated. This home comes with range and refrigerator. Upstair has extra room and bath. Main level has 2 bedrooms, full bath, large kitchen, separate laundry room and living room with side room used as office. Home has gas furnace and central air. Wiring has been updated. There is a cellar for storm protection. Double car garage with attached storage. Very affordable home that is also very nice. A must see.

  18. 2020-07-02
    listed $44,900 473-char remark
    Show marketing remark (473 chars)

    Located Edge of Christopher on 2 lots, vinyl sided and nicely updated. This home comes with range and refrigerator. Upstair has extra room and bath. Main level has 2 bedrooms, full bath, large kitchen, separate laundry room and living room with side room used as office. Home has gas furnace and central air. Wiring has been updated. There is a cellar for storm protection. Double car garage with attached storage. Very affordable home that is also very nice. A must see.

  19. 2020-07-02
    listed $44,900 473-char remark
    Show marketing remark (473 chars)

    Located Edge of Christopher on 2 lots, vinyl sided and nicely updated. This home comes with range and refrigerator. Upstair has extra room and bath. Main level has 2 bedrooms, full bath, large kitchen, separate laundry room and living room with side room used as office. Home has gas furnace and central air. Wiring has been updated. There is a cellar for storm protection. Double car garage with attached storage. Very affordable home that is also very nice. A must see.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$633 · $53/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,223 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$591/yr (+$49/mo · 93.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,320
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$633
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$826
− Management
−$826
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$837
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$201
After-tax cash flow
$1,892/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Christopher USD 99
NCES district ID
1700217
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$38,947
Composite
12.67/100
National rank
#9606
State rank
#520 of 620 in IL

Livability — Christopher

Score
58/100
State rank
#1100
US rank
#20866

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Christopher, IL
City population
2,437
Population (ZIP)
2,437

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,954 people
By 2030
36,828 · -3.0%
By 2040
34,452 · -9.2%
By 2050
31,855 · -16.1%
By 2075
25,171 · -33.7%
By 2100
18,462 · -51.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Slovak 6% Lithuanian 5%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.1% · R 74.6% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-47.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -50.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.6 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+45.3 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+2.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.29%
Current HPI
65.1454
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $89,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-11-20 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-11-20 Sold (MLS) $40,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-02 Listed $44,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-07-02 Listed $44,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2018): $633 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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