818 E Belleville Ave · Christopher, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.7/15.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Appreciation +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3-bedroom, 2- bath home featuring a spacious dining and living room combination, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The eat-in Kitchen offers a cozy space for casual meals. this one-and-a-half-story home includes a private upstairs bedroom and bath ideal for kids, guests, or a quiet retreat. Outside, you'll find a detached 2-care garage with additional built-on storage, providing plenty of room for tools, hobbies, or extra belongings. Conveniently located near the edge of town, this property offers a peaceful setting while still being just minutes from shipping, with Walmart only 5 miles away and beautiful Rend Lake within 8 miles for outdoor recreation.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1930
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $174 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($860 rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,100 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Christopher USD 99 (town): math 9% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #520 of 620 in IL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 17 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $80k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.35%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $95,121
- List price
- $79,900
- Delta
- -16.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 402 E Belleville Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,750 (+13%) | 3mo | $179,900 | $103 | 59 |
| 202 N Victor St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (-10%) | 7mo | $79,000 | $56 | 48 |
| 602 Illinois Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,375 (-12%) | 13mo | $90,000 | $65 | 46 |
| 312 Beulah St | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-14%) | 11mo | $110,000 | $82 | 44 |
| 201 N Maple St | 0.52mi | 3/3.0 | 1,380 (-11%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $120 | 44 |
| 201 N Maple St | 0.52mi | 3/3.0 | 1,380 (-11%) | 11mo | $165,000 | $120 | 44 |
| 516 S Safford St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,776 (+14%) | 4mo | $132,000 | $74 | 38 |
| 601 S State St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-7%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $73 | 38 |
| 601 S State St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-7%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $73 | 38 |
| 303 S Emma St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-10%) | 9mo | $59,533 | $43 | 33 |
| 303 S Emma St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,400 (-10%) | 9mo | $59,533 | $43 | 33 |
| 305 W Ray St | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,350 (-13%) | 12mo | $159,500 | $118 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-1,857
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $12,620
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62822
- Home prices YoY
- -4.8%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $860 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $633/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$181
- Net cashflow
- $174
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 305 S State St Christopher, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $860 | $0.78 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $79,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $79,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $84,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-20$89,900 Active 691-char remark
Show marketing remark (691 chars)
Charming 3-bedroom, 2- bath home featuring a spacious dining and living room combination, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The eat-in Kitchen offers a cozy space for casual meals. this one-and-a-half-story home includes a private upstairs bedroom and bath ideal for kids, guests, or a quiet retreat. Outside, you'll find a detached 2-care garage with additional built-on storage, providing plenty of room for tools, hobbies, or extra belongings. Conveniently located near the edge of town, this property offers a peaceful setting while still being just minutes from shipping, with Walmart only 5 miles away and beautiful Rend Lake within 8 miles for outdoor recreation.
-
2020-11-20soldstatus $40,000 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
Located Edge of Christopher on 2 lots, vinyl sided and nicely updated. This home comes with range and refrigerator. Upstair has extra room and bath. Main level has 2 bedrooms, full bath, large kitchen, separate laundry room and living room with side room used as office. Home has gas furnace and central air. Wiring has been updated. There is a cellar for storm protection. Double car garage with attached storage. Very affordable home that is also very nice. A must see.
-
2020-11-20soldstatus $40,000 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
Located Edge of Christopher on 2 lots, vinyl sided and nicely updated. This home comes with range and refrigerator. Upstair has extra room and bath. Main level has 2 bedrooms, full bath, large kitchen, separate laundry room and living room with side room used as office. Home has gas furnace and central air. Wiring has been updated. There is a cellar for storm protection. Double car garage with attached storage. Very affordable home that is also very nice. A must see.
-
2020-07-02$44,900 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
Located Edge of Christopher on 2 lots, vinyl sided and nicely updated. This home comes with range and refrigerator. Upstair has extra room and bath. Main level has 2 bedrooms, full bath, large kitchen, separate laundry room and living room with side room used as office. Home has gas furnace and central air. Wiring has been updated. There is a cellar for storm protection. Double car garage with attached storage. Very affordable home that is also very nice. A must see.
-
2020-07-02$44,900 473-char remark
Show marketing remark (473 chars)
Located Edge of Christopher on 2 lots, vinyl sided and nicely updated. This home comes with range and refrigerator. Upstair has extra room and bath. Main level has 2 bedrooms, full bath, large kitchen, separate laundry room and living room with side room used as office. Home has gas furnace and central air. Wiring has been updated. There is a cellar for storm protection. Double car garage with attached storage. Very affordable home that is also very nice. A must see.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $633 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,223 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$591/yr (+$49/mo · 93.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,320
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$633
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$826
- − Management
- −$826
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $837
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$201
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,892/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Christopher USD 99
- NCES district ID
- 1700217
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,947
- Composite
- 12.67/100
- National rank
- #9606
- State rank
- #520 of 620 in IL
Livability — Christopher
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1100
- US rank
- #20866
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Christopher, IL
- City population
- 2,437
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,437
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,954 people
- By 2030
- 36,828 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 34,452 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 31,855 · -16.1%
- By 2075
- 25,171 · -33.7%
- By 2100
- 18,462 · -51.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Slovak 6% Lithuanian 5%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.1% · R 74.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -50.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.6 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+45.3 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.29%
- Current HPI
- 65.1454
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+100.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $89,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-20 Sold (MLS) $40,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-11-20 Sold (MLS) $40,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-02 Listed $44,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-07-02 Listed $44,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2018): $633 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…