None · Marlboro Meadows, MD
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This spacious 3 bedroom with walk in closets, with a master suite and 2 full bathroom mobile home with Dining room and Family room. Open Floor plan, large yard with beautiful flower beds. Lot is located at the end of the curasack, including two parking spaces. $585.00 monthly lot rent. Available immediately. Owners must move before Thanksgiving, Bring all offers.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1999
- Listed 17 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease payment of $1,066 monthly; Pets allowed with size/weight restrictions
Exterior
- Parking: Two assigned off-street parking spaces (total of 2 garage/parking spaces)
- Utilities: Community water; Community septic tank; Electric for heating and cooling
- Home design: Manufactured property; Land lease ownership; Effective year of major remodel: 2026; Year built estimated
- Construction: Above-grade construction
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Tidal water: none; Above-grade other structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); 60+ gallon hot water tank
- Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement; Two or more access exits
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($33k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $145k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.8% vs local median 9.1% in Marlboro Meadows — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#327 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Anne Arundel County Public Schools (suburban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #10 of 24 in MD (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1,303 units permitted in Anne Arundel County in 2024 (299 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Anne Arundel County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $145k implies a 241% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 80.36%
- DSCR
- 4.58
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 80.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.69×
- Total profit
- $149,740
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- 84.0%
- Equity multiple
- 9.71×
- Total profit
- $353,658
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 20776
- Home prices YoY
- -32.9%
- Active inventory
- 13
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,710 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$989
- Net cashflow
- $2,719
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $145,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $145,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $145,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $145,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08$145,000 Active 7 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $56,520
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$2,175
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,522
- − Management
- −$4,522
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable income
- $32,237
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7,737
- After-tax cash flow
- $24,889/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Anne Arundel County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400060
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $87,880
- Composite
- 28.52/100
- National rank
- #6733
- State rank
- #10 of 24 in MD
Livability — Marlboro Meadows
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #327
- US rank
- #17129
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,354
Population outlook (Anne Arundel County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 617,384 people
- By 2030
- 642,094 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 686,621 · +11.2%
- By 2050
- 723,031 · +17.1%
- By 2075
- 809,346 · +31.1%
- By 2100
- 837,658 · +35.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2% Pacific Islander 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 6% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Anne Arundel
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.9) · D 55.7% · R 41.7% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.7pp toward D · 2008: -1.8pp · 2024: 13.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.9 2020: D+14.5 2016: D+0.7 2012: R+0.9 2008: R+1.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.47%
- Current HPI
- 253.8069
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+202.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-01-08 Sold (MLS) $42,500 MRIS
- 2016-01-08 Sold (MLS) $42,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-12-11 Pending — MRIS
- 2015-11-29 Relisted — MRIS
- 2015-11-29 Delisted — MRIS
- 2015-11-12 Price Changed $44,000 MRIS
- 2015-11-06 Price Changed $45,000 MRIS
- 2015-09-21 Listed $48,000 MRIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…