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B- Composite 68.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

None · Marlboro Meadows, MD 20776
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · Manufactured · 17 Days on market
Built 1999

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This spacious 3 bedroom with walk in closets, with a master suite and 2 full bathroom mobile home with Dining room and Family room. Open Floor plan, large yard with beautiful flower beds. Lot is located at the end of the curasack, including two parking spaces. $585.00 monthly lot rent. Available immediately. Owners must move before Thanksgiving, Bring all offers.

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1999
  • Listed 17 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Land lease payment of $1,066 monthly; Pets allowed with size/weight restrictions

Exterior

  • Parking: Two assigned off-street parking spaces (total of 2 garage/parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Community water; Community septic tank; Electric for heating and cooling
  • Home design: Manufactured property; Land lease ownership; Effective year of major remodel: 2026; Year built estimated
  • Construction: Above-grade construction
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Tidal water: none; Above-grade other structures

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); 60+ gallon hot water tank
  • Interior features: Estimated living area; No basement; Two or more access exits

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($33k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $143k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.8% vs local median 9.1% in Marlboro Meadows — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#327 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Anne Arundel County Public Schools (suburban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #10 of 24 in MD (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 1,303 units permitted in Anne Arundel County in 2024 (299 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Anne Arundel County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $145k implies a 241% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $142,825 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.25%
Cap rate
28.79%
Cash-on-cash
80.36%
DSCR
4.58
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
80.6%
Equity multiple
4.69×
Total profit
$149,740
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
84.0%
Equity multiple
9.71×
Total profit
$353,658
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 20776

Home prices YoY
-32.9%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,710 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,175/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$989
Net cashflow
$2,719

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,268
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 37%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    listed $145,000 Active 7 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$56,520
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$2,175
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,522
− Management
−$4,522
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable income
$32,237
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$7,737
After-tax cash flow
$24,889/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anne Arundel County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400060
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$87,880
Composite
28.52/100
National rank
#6733
State rank
#10 of 24 in MD

Livability — Marlboro Meadows

Score
62/100
State rank
#327
US rank
#17129

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,354

Population outlook (Anne Arundel County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
617,384 people
By 2030
642,094 · +4.0%
By 2040
686,621 · +11.2%
By 2050
723,031 · +17.1%
By 2075
809,346 · +31.1%
By 2100
837,658 · +35.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2% Pacific Islander 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 6% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Anne Arundel

2024 margin
D (+13.9) · D 55.7% · R 41.7% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
+15.7pp toward D · 2008: -1.8pp · 2024: 13.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.9 2020: D+14.5 2016: D+0.7 2012: R+0.9 2008: R+1.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -124.47%
Current HPI
253.8069
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+202.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-01-08 Sold (MLS) $42,500 MRIS
  • 2016-01-08 Sold (MLS) $42,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-12-11 Pending MRIS
  • 2015-11-29 Relisted MRIS
  • 2015-11-29 Delisted MRIS
  • 2015-11-12 Price Changed $44,000 MRIS
  • 2015-11-06 Price Changed $45,000 MRIS
  • 2015-09-21 Listed $48,000 MRIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…