CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
9779 York Rd SW
B Composite 71.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

9779 York Rd SW · Kirkersville, OH 43062
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,065 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1952 1.05 ac lot ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming one-story home nestled on 1+ acre featuring a private setting with a nice deck overlooking the backyard, fenced area, 2+ car attached garage, AND shed! Inside you'll find the dining room filled with lots of natural lighting, new laminate flooring, and garage and deck access. Kitchen with gas range (refrigerator does not stay) and adjacent to the kitchen is a family room that opens to the spacious living room accented with a wall of built-in bookshelves! 3 bedrooms, updated full bath, and laundry room complete the interior. Enjoy the wildlife all year round from your deck and easily host a gathering whether inside or out. Great location just minutes to I-70 and Rt 40 for a quick commute! Move right in and welcome home! * See agent remarks *

Key facts

  • Ranch structure
  • Shed
  • Deck

Tags

1 ACRE LOTRANCH STRUCTURECENTRAL AIRPROPANE HEATDECKSHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $813 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#814 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Southwest Licking Local (rural): math 59% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #243 of 656 in OH (top 37%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 159 units permitted in Licking County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
14.11%
Cash-on-cash
27.92%
DSCR
2.24
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$304,590
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9650 York Rd SW 0.17mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (-10%) 14mo $275,000 $286 58
7913 National Rd SW Lot 34 0.74mi 3/1.0 924 (-13%) 0mo $27,000 $29 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$30,012
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
27.8%
Equity multiple
3.47×
Total profit
$93,239
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43062

Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,353 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$215 /mo · $2,586/yr
Insurance
$56
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$494
Net cashflow
$813

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,324
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9526 Watkins Rd SW Etna, OH 3.0 2.0 1372 $2,500 $1.82 21d 1 1.10mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-04-16
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-12
    listed $135,000 Active
  3. 2025-10-10
    historical Contingent
  4. 2025-09-21
    status Active
  5. 2025-09-21
    price $170,000
  6. 2025-08-02
    status Active
  7. 2025-07-26
    status Pending
  8. 2025-07-26
    historical
  9. 2025-07-26
    historical
  10. 2025-07-25
    price $185,000
  11. 2025-06-11
    listed $675,000 Active
  12. 2025-05-30
    historical
  13. 2025-04-10
    soldstatus $180,000
  14. 2025-03-07
    soldstatus $180,000 Closed 759-char remark
    Show marketing remark (759 chars)

    Charming one-story home nestled on 1+ acre featuring a private setting with a nice deck overlooking the backyard, fenced area, 2+ car attached garage, AND shed! Inside you'll find the dining room filled with lots of natural lighting, new laminate flooring, and garage and deck access. Kitchen with gas range (refrigerator does not stay) and adjacent to the kitchen is a family room that opens to the spacious living room accented with a wall of built-in bookshelves! 3 bedrooms, updated full bath, and laundry room complete the interior. Enjoy the wildlife all year round from your deck and easily host a gathering whether inside or out. Great location just minutes to I-70 and Rt 40 for a quick commute! Move right in and welcome home! * See agent remarks *

  15. 2025-02-20
    status Pending 759-char remark
    Show marketing remark (759 chars)

    Charming one-story home nestled on 1+ acre featuring a private setting with a nice deck overlooking the backyard, fenced area, 2+ car attached garage, AND shed! Inside you'll find the dining room filled with lots of natural lighting, new laminate flooring, and garage and deck access. Kitchen with gas range (refrigerator does not stay) and adjacent to the kitchen is a family room that opens to the spacious living room accented with a wall of built-in bookshelves! 3 bedrooms, updated full bath, and laundry room complete the interior. Enjoy the wildlife all year round from your deck and easily host a gathering whether inside or out. Great location just minutes to I-70 and Rt 40 for a quick commute! Move right in and welcome home! * See agent remarks *

  16. 2025-02-19
    listed $180,000 Active 759-char remark
    Show marketing remark (759 chars)

    Charming one-story home nestled on 1+ acre featuring a private setting with a nice deck overlooking the backyard, fenced area, 2+ car attached garage, AND shed! Inside you'll find the dining room filled with lots of natural lighting, new laminate flooring, and garage and deck access. Kitchen with gas range (refrigerator does not stay) and adjacent to the kitchen is a family room that opens to the spacious living room accented with a wall of built-in bookshelves! 3 bedrooms, updated full bath, and laundry room complete the interior. Enjoy the wildlife all year round from your deck and easily host a gathering whether inside or out. Great location just minutes to I-70 and Rt 40 for a quick commute! Move right in and welcome home! * See agent remarks *

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,586 · $215/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,586 · $215/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,240
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,586
− Insurance
−$1,472
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,259
− Management
−$2,259
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$8,175
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,962
After-tax cash flow
$7,795/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southwest Licking Local
NCES district ID
3904804
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$72,711
Composite
53.66/100
National rank
#1432
State rank
#243 of 656 in OH

Livability — Kirkersville

Score
63/100
State rank
#814
US rank
#15084

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Licking County · 109,194 people
City population
413
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
32,037
Household income
$105,968
Rent vs Own
18.4% rent · 81.6% own
Severe rent burden
316.0

Population outlook (Licking County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,210 people
By 2030
180,917 · +1.5%
By 2040
183,885 · +3.2%
By 2050
182,985 · +2.7%
By 2075
178,377 · +0.1%
By 2100
161,075 · -9.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Asian 8% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
9% · India, Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 2% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Licking

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.0) · D 34.5% · R 64.6%
2008→2024 swing
-14.2pp toward R · 2008: -15.8pp · 2024: -30.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.0 2020: R+28.1 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+14.7 2008: R+15.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -255.15%
Current HPI
236.5135
Rent YoY
Metro
Columbus, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Pending CBRMLS
  • 2026-04-12 Listed $135,000 CBRMLS
  • 2025-10-10 Contingent CBRMLS
  • 2025-09-21 Relisted CBRMLS
  • 2025-09-21 Price Changed $170,000 CBRMLS
  • 2025-08-02 Relisted CBRMLS
  • 2025-07-26 Pending CBRMLS
  • 2025-07-26 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2025-07-26 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2025-07-25 Price Changed $185,000 CBRMLS
  • 2025-06-11 Listed $675,000 CBRMLS
  • 2025-05-30 Coming Soon CBRMLS
  • 2025-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
  • 2025-03-07 Sold (MLS) $180,000 CBRMLS
  • 2025-02-20 Pending CBRMLS
  • 2025-02-19 Listed $180,000 CBRMLS

Property tax history

+11.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,586 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…